Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 16?
open
Total volume
$333
$187 in 24h
Trades
70
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$755
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-17 04:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $59 | $36 | +$23 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $105 | $43 | +$62 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $14 | $1 | +$13 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $2 | $20 | $18 |
| Median | 15 | $41 | $27 | +$14 |
| Below median | 14 | $32 | $8 | +$23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $54 | $22 | +$32 |
| unranked | 4 | $7 | — | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Envious-Pancake 0x7e1a…d5a3 | Yes | +2,031 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 05-16 23:13 |
| Absolute-Quit 0xbb71…3e7b | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 04:34 |
| Dear-Exclamation 0xade1…b609 | Yes | +400 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-17 00:06 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +50 | $39 | $69 | 10 | 05-16 21:52 |
| Gray-Behavior 0x3df9…2bdd | No | +48 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-16 19:52 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | +34 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-16 01:44 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-14 23:37 |
| Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | +28 | $9 | $31 | 4 | 05-16 21:47 |
| Straight-Pattern 0x5aa4…fc3d | Yes | +18 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 22:34 |
| Indolent-Province 0xc41d…c51d | No | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 21:37 |
| Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 20:48 |
| Flowery-Reamer 0x2b95…898a | Yes | +14 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-16 20:15 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 14:08 |
| Sugary-Root 0x85a5…8ce7 | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 14:18 |
| Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-16 08:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xae92…329e | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 11:05 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 20:17 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:10 |
| Uncomfortable-Oatmeal 0xf307…e380 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:42 |
| Decent-Clip 0xa595…cdf1 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 20:07 |
| Zesty-Mosquito 0xfca5…66c4 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-16 21:22 |
| Barren-Stumbling 0x3b4c…17ce | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 19:36 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x127d…31a8 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 14:46 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 20:52 |
| Worn-Massage 0x188a…c11b | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:40 |
| Uncommon-Granddaughter 0xbcd0…b52f | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 17:04 |
| Frightened-Outfielder 0x5c75…627b | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 17:26 |
| Stunning-Leaker-Jellyfish 0x8aa2…5a0b | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 20:15 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +3 | $3 | $12 | 2 | 05-16 21:47 |
| Fancy-Overexertion 0x3940…9807 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 14:19 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 07:19 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:14 |
| Skeletal-Close 0x9915…0cfe | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 21:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 04:34:04 | Absolute-Quit 0xbb71…3e7b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xe69285… |
| 05-17 00:06:15 | Dear-Exclamation 0xade1…b609 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f1a24… |
| 05-17 00:00:06 | Dear-Exclamation 0xade1…b609 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x457b59… |
| 05-16 23:13:14 | Envious-Pancake 0x7e1a…d5a3 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x568245… |
| 05-16 23:13:01 | Envious-Pancake 0x7e1a…d5a3 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x429459… |
| 05-16 23:03:05 | Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xf1b7aa… |
| 05-16 22:15:29 | Spry-Notation 0xf1ab…5cf7 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x68cb4e… |
| 05-16 22:00:50 | Decent-Clip 0xa595…cdf1 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xc33af9… |
| 05-16 21:52:31 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x588988… |
| 05-16 21:52:28 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xc9ae8f… |
| 05-16 21:47:37 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 18 | 43¢ | $8 | 0x4692b7… |
| 05-16 21:47:37 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 8 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x3d8f07… |
| 05-16 21:37:23 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x5d6d3f… |
| 05-16 21:37:13 | Indolent-Province 0xc41d…c51d | No | BUY | 17 | 33¢ | $5 | 0xc64e4c… |
| 05-16 21:25:52 | Sane-Octagon 0x458e…8034 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 66¢ | $11 | 0x7ff53b… |
| 05-16 21:25:19 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xaf0bae… |
| 05-16 21:25:19 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x2f3f9d… |
| 05-16 21:22:34 | Zesty-Mosquito 0xfca5…66c4 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x4e918e… |
| 05-16 21:12:11 | Skeletal-Close 0x9915…0cfe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xaa2951… |
| 05-16 20:57:45 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $16 | 0xe017a6… |
| 05-16 20:52:12 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x1b6b38… |
| 05-16 20:42:24 | Envious-Pancake 0x7e1a…d5a3 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0xed417f… |
| 05-16 20:17:44 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xdcdec7… |
| 05-16 20:17:42 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xacc329… |
| 05-16 20:17:40 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0xd25350… |
| 05-16 20:17:40 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x4324e6… |
| 05-16 20:15:10 | Flowery-Reamer 0x2b95…898a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $11 | 0xf0ea9d… |
| 05-16 20:15:08 | Stunning-Leaker-Jellyfish 0x8aa2…5a0b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0xca85bb… |
| 05-16 20:07:02 | Decent-Clip 0xa595…cdf1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x21103f… |
| 05-16 19:52:11 | Profitable-Fledgling 0xdb5b…1d03 | No | SELL | 4 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xf41ce5… |
| 05-16 19:52:11 | Gray-Behavior 0x3df9…2bdd | No | BUY | 48 | 32¢ | $15 | 0x375102… |
| 05-16 19:51:59 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | No | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x111398… |
| 05-16 18:12:00 | Profitable-Fledgling 0xdb5b…1d03 | No | SELL | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x8c0548… |
| 05-16 18:11:56 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x5e6871… |
| 05-16 18:11:54 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x32f4f3… |
| 05-16 18:11:49 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x1dc42d… |
| 05-16 18:11:47 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xa46131… |
| 05-16 17:26:59 | Frightened-Outfielder 0x5c75…627b | No | BUY | 4 | 59¢ | $2 | 0x3393af… |
| 05-16 17:26:35 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | BUY | 11 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x5ebd8d… |
| 05-16 17:21:32 | Zesty-Mosquito 0xfca5…66c4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x93deea… |
| 05-16 17:04:41 | Uncommon-Granddaughter 0xbcd0…b52f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xc91638… |
| 05-16 17:04:25 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | BUY | 40 | 39¢ | $15 | 0xc3264d… |
| 05-16 14:50:06 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 11 | 65¢ | $7 | 0x9365e3… |
| 05-16 14:44:32 | Charming-Sonnet 0xe68b…dc9e | Yes | SELL | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x4f0173… |
| 05-16 14:19:41 | Fancy-Overexertion 0x3940…9807 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x7615ff… |
| 05-16 11:05:38 | (anonymous) 0xae92…329e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x2e9631… |
| 05-16 08:51:35 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xc30cca… |
| 05-16 08:21:29 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xc478e3… |
| 05-16 08:14:47 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x1168e3… |
| 05-16 08:14:47 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xec46b5… |
| 05-16 05:09:38 | Charming-Sonnet 0xe68b…dc9e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xccdf51… |
| 05-16 01:44:09 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 28¢ | $9 | 0xb7a3b4… |
| 05-16 00:53:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 19 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x40efac… |
| 05-15 22:34:04 | Straight-Pattern 0x5aa4…fc3d | Yes | BUY | 18 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xb509dd… |
| 05-15 21:18:32 | Secondary-Ease 0xed9a…3efb | No | SELL | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xecccea… |
| 05-15 14:46:28 | (anonymous) 0x127d…31a8 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xc84cbb… |
| 05-15 07:19:33 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | BUY | 3 | 70¢ | $2 | 0xd5245f… |
| 05-14 23:40:37 | Worn-Massage 0x188a…c11b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xb13cfb… |
| 05-14 23:37:43 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x6f7d10… |
| 05-14 20:48:33 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0xa6db62… |
| 05-14 19:36:41 | Barren-Stumbling 0x3b4c…17ce | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x4f9f61… |
| 05-14 14:18:22 | Sugary-Root 0x85a5…8ce7 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x370abe… |
| 05-14 14:08:08 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x3b77f4… |
| 05-14 13:10:38 | (anonymous) 0xee41…3e9c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x147cfb… |
| 05-14 13:10:37 | (anonymous) 0xee41…3e9c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x455dd7… |
| 05-14 13:10:37 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 0 | 75¢ | $0 | 0xc3edc0… |
| 05-14 13:10:35 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x6c406a… |
| 05-14 12:42:30 | Uncomfortable-Oatmeal 0xf307…e380 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xa7756c… |
| 05-14 10:29:38 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | No | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x1c2342… |
| 05-14 07:14:10 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x68a727… |