Skeletal-Close — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

846

Trades

1,483

lifetime

Volume

$2.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-22 20:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

95% 75% -$42

Politics

4% 25% -$7

Sports

1% 33% +$12

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-0	$0	90¢	$-0	$0	04-29 17:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 78°F or higher on May 5?	3	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-06 05:27
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$16	17	17	+0	Yes	+$14	07-07 17:56
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	9	$16	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	04-19 01:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	7	$12	20	18	+1	No	-$2	04-13 16:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	8	$11	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	04-19 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?	2	$11	19	0	+19	No	+$8	04-28 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on April 30?	2	$11	13	0	+13	No	+$2	04-30 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 29?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$3	04-29 15:04
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 2?	1	$10	14	0	+14	No	+$4	05-02 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 4?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$3	05-04 07:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	5	$10	8	5	+3	No	+$0	04-17 21:47
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 26?	3	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-26 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 19?	3	$9	6	3	+3	Yes	$0	07-19 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18?	3	$8	6	3	+3	Yes	+$0	07-18 07:39
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$8	66	66	+0	No	-$2	05-02 18:29
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	7	$8	32	24	+8	No	-$2	04-11 08:53
nhl edm sj 2026 04 08	4	$8	6	2	+4	Oilers	+$0	04-09 04:15
highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 14c	2	$8	8	8	+0	Yes	+$4	04-21 13:10
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 2?	4	$8	12	2	+10	Yes	+$4	05-01 13:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on May 26?	3	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-25 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 2?	6	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	-$1	06-02 04:25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 25?	3	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-25 10:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?	5	$6	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 30?	4	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-30 05:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$6	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-02 11:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 24?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 17:31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 6?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-06 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 7?	2	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	07-07 15:48
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$6	37	37	+0	No	$0	04-12 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 20:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xe8e05a…
10-21 07:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd7ef05…
10-20 18:39:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd10fa1…
10-15 04:28:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 15?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc56de2…
10-02 19:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 2?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x7efba5…
09-30 23:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 1?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xfc15c6…
08-31 04:31:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 31?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb9f7f6…
08-30 06:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x347aa5…
08-29 23:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x56fc6e…
08-29 21:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x911bc1…
08-29 21:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2b3b6c…
08-29 20:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 29?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x810c11…
08-29 04:25:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 29?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x2752fd…
08-29 03:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x16c922…
08-29 03:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x818141…
08-29 03:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 29?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xdb64a8…
08-28 21:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x77caf1…
08-28 21:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 29?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x3bd66b…
08-28 21:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb5b717…
08-28 21:01:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x94353d…
08-28 18:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8d5eeb…
08-28 18:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 29?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x59593d…
08-28 17:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x191db8…
08-28 13:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28?	No	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x33b473…
08-28 10:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xef3a02…
08-28 10:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x53f16a…
08-20 08:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x01e233…
08-20 08:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x56f20d…
08-20 05:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 20?	No	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x6e523a…
08-20 05:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on August 20?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x870753…
08-20 04:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4e7e47…
08-19 23:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4421f9…
08-19 20:01:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 19?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x60928b…
08-19 19:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x042e7b…
08-19 19:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x748467…
08-19 19:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8e7b80…
08-19 18:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x021be0…
08-19 17:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 19?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5f6e00…
08-19 16:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x97a09f…
08-19 15:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x038d66…
08-19 15:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x14e8b7…
08-19 15:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 19?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa54d38…
08-19 14:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa42623…
08-19 11:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x98aa84…
08-19 07:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xa833d4…
08-18 18:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 18?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfbf371…
08-18 12:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 18?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x95c8d4…
08-18 05:57:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 18?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfc8302…
08-18 05:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 18?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb55c4d…
08-18 05:53:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x74e9fe…
08-18 05:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcfefb5…
08-18 05:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd8ac7e…
08-18 05:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9a8af0…
08-18 05:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb78f5a…
08-18 05:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6fe1c3…
08-18 00:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x27229d…
08-18 00:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 18?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4f39b9…
08-18 00:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xca4e92…
08-18 00:35:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 18?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x90e911…
08-17 00:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 17?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbab4af…
08-17 00:01:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 17?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbec7e7…
08-17 00:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 17?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xfbf9ee…
08-17 00:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 17?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6278b5…
08-17 00:00:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 17?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbab81c…
08-17 00:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x756022…
08-16 21:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8b10dd…
08-16 20:48:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xba25d6…
08-16 20:48:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x79c6bb…
08-16 20:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x391be5…
08-16 20:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0b0213…
08-16 13:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7a5c29…
08-16 09:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 16?	No	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xa2fdc9…
08-16 08:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x15d201…
08-16 05:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x654c5d…
08-16 02:47:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 16?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x300147…
08-16 00:30:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 16?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x22fc83…
08-15 22:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 16?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8c4de8…
08-15 22:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 16?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x205392…
08-15 22:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x293bb1…
08-15 22:16:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2c8647…
08-15 22:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc3413d…
08-15 22:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd3839f…
08-15 20:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 16?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa5cf60…
08-15 18:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc74c63…
08-15 16:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 16?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x86b3c0…
08-15 16:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8ba9fb…
08-15 16:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x317417…
08-15 16:10:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x12ddb2…
08-15 12:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 16?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x609e31…
08-15 12:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 16?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe7aa7d…
08-15 12:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4134c0…
08-15 08:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x246078…
08-15 08:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdd3cb7…
08-15 08:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x217496…
08-15 06:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf4fd37…
08-15 00:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 15?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3b94b3…
08-15 00:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on August 15?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8533ce…
08-15 00:51:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 15?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x36f28c…
08-14 21:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa20f6a…
08-14 21:44:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on August 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf9cd3d…