Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 16?
open
Total volume
$718
$30 in 24h
Trades
90
Unique wallets
42
Liquidity
$770
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 23:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $22 | $472 | $450 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 37 | $76 | $89 | $13 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $6 | $3 | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $16 | $478 | $462 |
| Median | 8 | $15 | $2 | +$12 |
| Below median | 10 | $29 | $59 | $30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $25 | $18 | +$7 |
| unranked | 4 | $5 | $3 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | +499 | $455 | $455 | 21 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Direct-Golf 0x6e41…5e0c | No | +61 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-16 08:46 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +21 | $12 | $28 | 3 | 05-16 14:16 |
| Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | +19 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-16 17:46 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | +19 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-16 12:10 |
| First-Macaroni 0xbe45…fd22 | No | +17 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-16 17:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | +13 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-16 05:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-14 20:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cff…3e06 | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 16:51 |
| Wet-Following 0xcd90…4bfc | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 13:46 |
| Elderly-Badger 0xaaf9…5211 | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 16:30 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 20:35 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +7 | $3 | $13 | 4 | 05-14 22:21 |
| Spirited-Vicinity 0x0135…e8d1 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 09:38 |
| Favorable-Place 0x6f0b…8202 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 23:02 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 20:58 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 22:21 |
| Crushing-Aquarium 0x1c27…ee11 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 15:52 |
| Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fdb…6b04 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 21:33 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 20:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 02:50 |
| Nocturnal-Ton 0x86e9…3606 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 07:46 |
| Sentimental-Exasperation 0x05bc…008a | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 03:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa76…a43c | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 15:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x9345…b1b1 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:03 |
| Spotted-Collateral 0x5cd3…5b9a | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 20:58 |
| Plastic-Upper 0x6660…865c | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 20:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | +2 | $1 | $5 | 5 | 05-14 22:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 23:58:49 | Polished-Runaway 0xa7f1…c062 | No | SELL | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0xe85a43… |
| 05-16 22:00:52 | Idealistic-Adjustment 0x41fa…7cc4 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xbe0b71… |
| 05-16 18:57:28 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x57b7a6… |
| 05-16 18:57:26 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x330356… |
| 05-16 18:57:23 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xf6b561… |
| 05-16 18:57:23 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 12 | 94¢ | $12 | 0x4321f4… |
| 05-16 18:57:23 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x7c4782… |
| 05-16 18:57:21 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x48a6fb… |
| 05-16 18:57:19 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x859da9… |
| 05-16 18:57:17 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x40b821… |
| 05-16 18:57:16 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0xddc68a… |
| 05-16 18:57:16 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xd1c161… |
| 05-16 18:57:14 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x51cdd7… |
| 05-16 18:57:14 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xd7b6cd… |
| 05-16 18:57:14 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 26 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x1ed98d… |
| 05-16 18:57:14 | Wet-Following 0xcd90…4bfc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0xd05035… |
| 05-16 18:57:12 | Direct-Golf 0x6e41…5e0c | No | BUY | 61 | 97¢ | $59 | 0x323e41… |
| 05-16 18:57:10 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x73b424… |
| 05-16 18:57:10 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 9 | 73¢ | $6 | 0xb5fda0… |
| 05-16 18:57:10 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0xff7538… |
| 05-16 18:57:10 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x02a9f4… |
| 05-16 18:57:10 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 218 | 96¢ | $210 | 0x39b0e4… |
| 05-16 18:57:10 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 117 | 88¢ | $103 | 0xe8d227… |
| 05-16 18:57:10 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 17 | 73¢ | $12 | 0xfdb964… |
| 05-16 18:57:10 | Defenseless-Veto 0x376a…d270 | No | BUY | 13 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x482e63… |
| 05-16 18:31:55 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x9afe92… |
| 05-16 18:31:53 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x115499… |
| 05-16 17:46:53 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x5a633e… |
| 05-16 17:16:47 | Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xb625fb… |
| 05-16 17:11:51 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x14cf85… |
| 05-16 17:11:48 | First-Macaroni 0xbe45…fd22 | No | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xb089d3… |
| 05-16 17:01:26 | First-Macaroni 0xbe45…fd22 | No | BUY | 11 | 53¢ | $6 | 0x9bdd43… |
| 05-16 16:30:07 | Elderly-Badger 0xaaf9…5211 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x6f67e5… |
| 05-16 15:52:10 | Crushing-Aquarium 0x1c27…ee11 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xc5d811… |
| 05-16 15:41:51 | (anonymous) 0xfa76…a43c | No | BUY | 3 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x816ec4… |
| 05-16 14:16:11 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0x702fcf… |
| 05-16 14:11:03 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x380e7f… |
| 05-16 14:10:56 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xaefd4f… |
| 05-16 13:46:45 | Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xa44dcc… |
| 05-16 12:10:41 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | BUY | 10 | 57¢ | $5 | 0x0bd923… |
| 05-16 10:10:41 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | BUY | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0x0f07ca… |
| 05-16 08:46:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x5e34b5… |
| 05-16 08:46:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xd29bdf… |
| 05-16 08:46:18 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x968b33… |
| 05-16 08:46:18 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xd7fc02… |
| 05-16 08:46:18 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 59¢ | $18 | 0xc47218… |
| 05-16 07:46:20 | Nocturnal-Ton 0x86e9…3606 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x165b2c… |
| 05-16 05:31:07 | (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x4b3e00… |
| 05-16 03:38:50 | Sentimental-Exasperation 0x05bc…008a | No | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x23d048… |
| 05-15 20:58:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xec6eab… |
| 05-15 20:58:47 | Spotted-Collateral 0x5cd3…5b9a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xe1bf13… |
| 05-15 20:40:30 | Plastic-Upper 0x6660…865c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xcbc66d… |
| 05-15 17:31:40 | (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x7458dc… |
| 05-15 16:51:37 | (anonymous) 0x8cff…3e06 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x82419a… |
| 05-15 02:50:36 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0x26c987… |
| 05-15 02:40:18 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | SELL | 1 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xb99401… |
| 05-15 02:40:17 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xea0a4e… |
| 05-14 23:02:42 | Favorable-Place 0x6f0b…8202 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 46¢ | $3 | 0xc9ed18… |
| 05-14 22:21:57 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x91a8ff… |
| 05-14 22:21:57 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x5414b4… |
| 05-14 22:21:52 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 45¢ | $0 | 0xee6268… |
| 05-14 22:21:52 | (anonymous) 0x4cd5…fce9 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 45¢ | $0 | 0xe1ae20… |
| 05-14 22:21:52 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 45¢ | $0 | 0x68b098… |
| 05-14 22:21:52 | (anonymous) 0x4cd5…fce9 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 45¢ | $0 | 0xd4d885… |
| 05-14 22:21:50 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x0728e2… |
| 05-14 22:21:50 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xdcafac… |
| 05-14 22:21:43 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 45¢ | $0 | 0x9c9614… |
| 05-14 22:21:43 | (anonymous) 0x4cd5…fce9 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 45¢ | $0 | 0x11b408… |
| 05-14 22:21:41 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x04042c… |
| 05-14 22:21:41 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | SELL | 8 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x34638a… |
| 05-14 22:21:34 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x9c3d9a… |
| 05-14 22:21:34 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xf46b41… |
| 05-14 21:33:35 | (anonymous) 0x5fdb…6b04 | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xcbf390… |
| 05-14 21:03:28 | (anonymous) 0x9345…b1b1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x9d9335… |
| 05-14 20:35:12 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0xca05f7… |
| 05-14 20:35:12 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x592be5… |
| 05-14 20:35:10 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x30a953… |
| 05-14 20:35:08 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0xa23589… |
| 05-14 20:35:08 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x80cdc0… |
| 05-14 20:35:08 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x6218eb… |
| 05-14 20:35:07 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0x5788c0… |
| 05-14 20:35:05 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x7f4f7e… |
| 05-14 20:35:05 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 41¢ | $0 | 0xad9dcc… |
| 05-14 20:35:03 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | SELL | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x2d8b38… |
| 05-14 20:35:03 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0xac47da… |
| 05-14 20:35:01 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x200528… |
| 05-14 10:04:28 | Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xbf5bf1… |
| 05-14 09:54:07 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x1ca5e2… |
| 05-14 09:38:50 | Spirited-Vicinity 0x0135…e8d1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x0ced90… |
| 05-14 05:05:41 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xeabbdd… |