Forked-Phenotype — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

39.8%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$369

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-03 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 50% $-8

Other

9% — —

Sports

9% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes		+16	$1	3¢	$1	$-1	05-31 06:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	18	$141	219	218	+1	open	—	05-12 13:00
Will Solana reach $110 in May?	2	$49	154	154	+0	open	—	05-09 16:01
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	2	$45	57	57	+0	open	—	05-09 04:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	17	$19	191	35	+156	No	$-10	05-11 15:01
bitboy convicted	8	$14	25	25	+0	open	—	03-10 10:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 8?	2	$12	18	18	+0	No	+$3	05-08 12:01
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	2	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	06-03 00:00
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	13	$10	0	71	-71	open	—	05-31 04:35
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$10	58	58	+0	open	—	03-10 10:15
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$10	21	21	+0	open	—	03-10 10:16
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	35	$9	30	29	+1	open	—	05-13 13:31
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	2	$9	61	61	+0	open	—	06-02 00:00
will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	3	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 10:16
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	05-31 12:01
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$5	16	16	+0	open	—	03-10 04:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	5	$4	0	14	-14	open	—	05-31 04:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	5	$3	0	16	-16	open	—	05-31 04:35
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	06-01 16:00
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	14	$2	6	5	+1	open	—	05-10 16:31
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	14	$2	19	3	+16	open	—	05-31 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 00:00:43	Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	Yes	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x6bcef2…
06-02 08:01:43	Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	Yes	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x7e3c58…
06-02 00:00:10	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	6¢	$4	0xcbfe6c…
06-01 16:00:11	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xe12abc…
06-01 00:01:51	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xaaadae…
05-31 16:01:16	Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x3a79e7…
05-31 12:01:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf89940…
05-31 06:10:44	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x654bad…
05-31 04:35:49	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x21e371…
05-31 04:35:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x5a22fd…
05-31 04:35:37	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	47	14¢	$7	0xe96f80…
05-31 04:34:38	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xdeaaf0…
05-31 04:34:34	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xcbe271…
05-31 04:34:31	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xe0f941…
05-31 04:34:27	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xb12b1d…
05-31 04:34:22	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x7536b8…
05-31 04:34:18	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x3bba53…
05-31 04:34:13	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x13b999…
05-31 04:34:10	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xa6cee5…
05-31 04:34:06	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x74d628…
05-31 04:34:03	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xc84e91…
05-31 04:33:59	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0xa28a72…
05-31 04:33:56	Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x717278…
05-31 04:33:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xce3c3c…
05-31 04:33:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x7e6dcc…
05-31 04:33:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x8e1e05…
05-31 04:33:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xa1f59f…
05-31 04:33:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xb6b152…
05-31 04:33:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xb83ba2…
05-31 04:33:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x72f96a…
05-31 04:33:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xc94f26…
05-31 04:33:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x212927…
05-31 04:33:10	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x23a231…
05-31 04:33:08	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xac7f53…
05-31 04:33:03	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x24fdb4…
05-31 04:33:00	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x80ce7a…
05-31 04:32:56	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x60f09a…
05-31 04:32:53	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xd15d5f…
05-31 04:32:49	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xe8df4a…
05-31 04:32:46	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x24b53c…
05-31 04:32:40	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xcc5d73…
05-31 04:32:37	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x552247…
05-31 04:32:33	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x0bab7e…
05-31 04:32:30	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x9f32fd…
05-13 13:31:25	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x71d097…
05-13 13:30:20	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xed1855…
05-13 13:00:13	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x15e632…
05-12 13:00:59	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x5cfaba…
05-12 12:30:35	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x15d396…
05-12 12:01:08	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x75be44…
05-12 11:30:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xd3fb6e…
05-12 11:00:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x15b102…
05-12 10:30:53	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xd60084…
05-12 10:00:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x090e91…
05-12 09:30:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x54995c…
05-12 09:01:05	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x4b89d3…
05-12 08:30:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x554c08…
05-12 02:31:02	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x7ece46…
05-12 01:30:38	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x1440fe…
05-12 01:00:30	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xc25e0e…
05-12 00:30:17	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x1fd845…
05-12 00:01:16	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xd5b8c2…
05-12 00:00:38	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0xbd2d97…
05-11 23:30:40	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x0e7fdc…
05-11 23:00:38	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x49de0b…
05-11 22:30:56	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x52d65e…
05-11 22:01:01	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x3fdcfa…
05-11 21:30:39	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xab7154…
05-11 21:00:56	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xc1028e…
05-11 20:30:50	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x2bcce4…
05-11 20:00:40	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x68378e…
05-11 19:30:40	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x4d0c78…
05-11 19:00:35	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xa7340a…
05-11 18:30:19	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x480a47…
05-11 18:01:02	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x3a3075…
05-11 17:30:49	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x53f75f…
05-11 15:31:00	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x4d7576…
05-11 15:01:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x852f4d…
05-11 14:30:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xbaf778…
05-11 13:31:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x3e573b…
05-11 11:00:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xc4dd3e…
05-11 10:31:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x4f86fc…
05-11 10:01:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xeb2540…
05-11 09:00:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x0ddc18…
05-11 07:01:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xea2e8f…
05-11 03:31:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x61ecac…
05-11 03:31:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x23b526…
05-11 03:00:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x0db6fa…
05-11 02:31:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x7a56c3…
05-11 02:00:47	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x68c046…
05-11 01:31:09	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x1429af…
05-11 01:30:27	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xc6b6b3…
05-11 01:01:18	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x1d6156…
05-11 01:01:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x0ea642…
05-11 00:31:07	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xeb8f83…
05-11 00:01:01	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xcb9510…
05-11 00:00:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x14429b…
05-10 23:31:16	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x8bef7f…
05-10 23:31:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x1d805a…
05-10 23:31:11	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	14	46¢	$6	0x4e06bd…