Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$104
$305 in 24h
Trades
19
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$286
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 13:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $80 | $80 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $1 | $24 | $23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $24 | $24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 6 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $80 | $80 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9efd…1e7f | Yes | +69 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 18:30 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-07 13:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6d29b… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbba75c… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa79909… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa7cd69… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x983ae8… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6287ee… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf33c4c… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd0f430… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xe6fb55… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb7766e… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8f9883… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb6e55a… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4ae3f0… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe4710b… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x47bdc1… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdde118… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0xe4880a… |
| 05-07 13:19:22 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf16e9e… |
| 05-06 18:30:57 | (anonymous) 0x9efd…1e7f | Yes | BUY | 69 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xddb806… |