Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc97…77701b
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Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
+$290
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
62
Trades
3,207
lifetime
Volume
$23.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.08K
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 07-01 00:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
48% 63% +$12
Other
37% 48% +$11
Crypto
9% — —
Tech
6% — —
Sports
0% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 290 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +384 $182 100¢ $384 +$202 06-19 19:30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +302 $134 97¢ $293 +$159 06-30 10:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +148 $110 99¢ $147 +$37 06-18 02:38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +104 $55 100¢ $104 +$49 06-19 13:57
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? No +38 $15 100¢ $38 +$23 06-18 12:13
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No +37 $26 100¢ $37 +$11 06-20 17:31
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +24 $8 100¢ $24 +$16 06-27 18:32
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +13 $10 100¢ $13 +$3 06-15 00:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +13 $10 90¢ $12 +$2 06-08 23:17
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $9 64¢ $10 +$2 06-16 17:40
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +19 $10 36¢ $7 $-3 06-05 03:36
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +115 $69 3¢ $3 $-66 06-30 05:17
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? No +2 $1 100¢ $2 +$1 06-26 06:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +79 $17 1¢ $1 $-16 06-17 21:59
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +84 $20 0¢ $0 $-20 06-15 17:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +111 $62 0¢ $0 $-62 06-19 18:12
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +102 $30 0¢ $0 $-30 06-19 01:13
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes +10 $4 1¢ $0 $-4 06-15 13:39
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes +40 $10 0¢ $0 $-10 06-16 19:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +5 $4 0¢ $0 $-4 06-26 02:00