Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc97…77701b
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Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
52.7%
Resolved
62
Trades
3,659
lifetime
Volume
$30.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$452
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 07-22 05:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
46% 48% +$11
Politics
41% 63% +$12
Crypto
7% — —
Tech
5% — —
Sports
0% 0% $-1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +104 $55 100¢ $104 +$49 06-19 13:57
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +118 $90 81¢ $96 +$6 07-10 11:27
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +204 $88 46¢ $95 +$7 07-07 21:05
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +483 $99 16¢ $77 $-21 07-21 22:43
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +67 $50 75¢ $50 +$0 07-08 16:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +48 $9 22¢ $11 +$2 07-16 22:05
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 +$0 06-08 23:17
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $9 54¢ $9 $-0 06-16 17:40
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +102 $30 0¢ $0 $-30 06-19 01:13