Tricky-Overload — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.3%

Resolved

Trades

147,368

lifetime

Volume

$1.37M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 04-28 10:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

76% 71% +$19

Politics

15% 87% +$36

Sports

4% 94% +$57

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 3784 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 360 379	358	$4.1K	4,111	0	+4,111	open	—	02-20 15:47
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 340 359	364	$4.1K	4,193	0	+4,193	open	—	02-20 16:24
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 320 339	361	$3.4K	4,130	0	+4,130	open	—	02-20 16:24
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 380 399	290	$3.2K	3,227	0	+3,227	open	—	02-20 14:28
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 300 319	352	$2.4K	2,438	0	+2,438	open	—	02-17 15:23
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	361	$2.4K	4,137	0	+4,137	open	—	02-20 16:24
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	358	$2.4K	2,496	0	+2,496	open	—	02-17 16:05
will the us next strike iran on march 3 2026 et	245	$2.2K	2,241	28	+2,213	open	—	02-28 08:35
will the us next strike iran on march 25 2026 et	239	$2.2K	2,192	6	+2,185	open	—	02-28 06:50
will the us next strike iran on march 2 2026 et	243	$2.2K	2,229	20	+2,210	open	—	02-28 08:35
will the us next strike iran on march 15 2026 et	239	$2.2K	2,196	0	+2,196	open	—	02-28 06:56
will the us next strike iran on march 21 2026 et	241	$2.2K	2,204	0	+2,204	open	—	02-28 07:14
will the us next strike iran on march 12 2026 et	238	$2.2K	2,191	0	+2,191	open	—	02-28 06:56
will the us next strike iran on march 24 2026 et	239	$2.2K	2,181	0	+2,181	open	—	02-28 06:50
will the us next strike iran on march 13 2026 et	241	$2.2K	2,206	0	+2,206	open	—	02-28 07:14
will the us next strike iran on march 27 2026 et	239	$2.2K	2,184	12	+2,172	open	—	02-28 06:54
will the us next strike iran on march 5 2026 et	239	$2.2K	2,185	39	+2,146	open	—	02-28 08:35
will the us next strike iran on march 19 2026 et	238	$2.1K	2,168	39	+2,129	open	—	02-28 06:56
will the us next strike iran on march 17 2026 et	237	$2.1K	2,166	19	+2,147	open	—	02-28 06:50
will the us next strike iran on march 9 2026 et	238	$2.1K	2,168	39	+2,129	open	—	02-28 06:56
will the us next strike iran on march 29 2026 et	236	$2.1K	2,162	19	+2,143	open	—	02-28 06:39
will the us next strike iran on march 1 2026 et	241	$2.1K	2,210	54	+2,156	open	—	02-28 08:35
will the us next strike iran on march 20 2026 et	241	$2.1K	2,186	0	+2,186	open	—	02-28 07:14
will the us next strike iran on march 4 2026 et	239	$2.1K	2,173	39	+2,134	open	—	02-28 07:14
will the us next strike iran on march 28 2026 et	239	$2.1K	2,158	45	+2,114	open	—	02-28 06:56
will the us next strike iran on march 10 2026 et	237	$2.1K	2,158	39	+2,119	open	—	02-28 06:54
will the us next strike iran on march 7 2026 et	240	$2.1K	2,197	0	+2,197	open	—	02-28 06:56
will the us next strike iran on march 31 2026 et	236	$2.1K	2,153	44	+2,109	open	—	02-28 06:54
will the us next strike iran on march 14 2026 et	238	$2.1K	2,168	39	+2,129	open	—	02-28 06:56
will the us next strike iran on march 6 2026 et	243	$2.1K	2,192	20	+2,172	open	—	02-28 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 10:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	27	77¢	$20	0xd70e27…
04-28 10:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4bc924…
04-28 10:45:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x882f33…
04-28 10:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?	No	SELL	28	66¢	$18	0x99214c…
04-28 10:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfcd177…
04-28 10:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 28?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x5b726a…
04-28 10:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2ba823…
04-28 10:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6ff644…
04-28 10:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9858e3…
04-28 10:38:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 28?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x477cd2…
04-28 10:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 29?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xbc188b…
04-28 10:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x9de2b2…
04-28 10:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x14c9ea…
04-28 10:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x1eec99…
04-28 10:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 28?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xc9aa7a…
04-28 10:35:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 29?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0xf3c622…
04-28 10:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?	No	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x2ae7be…
04-28 10:33:28	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	25	78¢	$19	0x4cc04a…
04-28 10:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 28?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xaef779…
04-28 10:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x72aec1…
04-28 10:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 29?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x2bd904…
04-28 10:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x507852…
04-28 10:30:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1e0d90…
04-28 10:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on April 28?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xf40c3a…
04-28 10:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 29?	No	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xe48137…
04-28 10:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xce5fa6…
04-28 10:21:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 28?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x34784f…
04-28 10:20:02	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 28?	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x28ae3a…
04-28 10:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xf64922…
04-28 10:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 29?	No	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x5a643e…
04-28 10:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 28?	No	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xa560a5…
04-28 10:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0x53b947…
04-28 10:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 28?	No	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x6f0dc3…
04-28 10:14:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x7536f4…
04-28 10:14:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x5429ba…
04-28 10:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 28?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xbfddd2…
04-28 10:08:30	Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xa20845…
04-28 10:08:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 29?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$8	0x8a419a…
04-28 10:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 28?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xca8fd6…
04-28 10:05:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xab1bf7…
04-28 10:04:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xf49584…
04-28 10:03:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 28?	No	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x32c39c…
04-28 10:03:54	Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	No	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0x39a9f0…
04-28 10:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 28?	No	SELL	8	84¢	$6	0x890fc8…
04-28 10:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 28?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xcf1d9e…
04-28 10:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 28?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x77bd6e…
04-28 10:00:40	Will Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x43b3f2…
04-28 10:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	No	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x274584…
04-28 09:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xf42311…
04-28 09:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 29?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x3c0a41…
04-28 09:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 29?	No	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0xd816f9…
04-28 09:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xda761f…
04-28 09:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xab3c46…
04-28 09:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x977b2e…
04-28 09:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 29?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x922fcf…
04-28 09:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x909ac3…
04-28 09:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 29?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x193873…
04-28 09:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 29?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x8b19db…
04-28 09:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 29?	No	BUY	29	74¢	$22	0x4fa055…
04-28 09:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 28?	No	BUY	26	44¢	$11	0xa03a25…
04-28 09:44:50	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x63224e…
04-28 09:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 29?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xcdb8f0…
04-28 09:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xddccc8…
04-28 09:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9f667f…
04-28 09:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x6b0699…
04-28 09:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5aaf2f…
04-28 09:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x2b9203…
04-28 09:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?	No	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0x208d85…
04-28 09:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4ac308…
04-28 09:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x1f3239…
04-28 09:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x144b43…
04-28 09:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0xfd9d4f…
04-28 09:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 29?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xebb12a…
04-28 09:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x40b623…
04-28 09:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0x1e6ce1…
04-28 09:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xa8d75e…
04-28 09:29:12	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 28?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x82f9b1…
04-28 09:25:24	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 28?	No	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0xd6b894…
04-28 09:24:54	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xd159f9…
04-28 09:24:54	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	27	77¢	$21	0xcc3f67…
04-28 09:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xd84c79…
04-28 09:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 28?	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xdf64b0…
04-28 09:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xb72546…
04-28 09:19:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xabbb0b…
04-28 09:19:26	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on April 29?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0xd0cf7b…
04-28 09:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 28?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0x3ecc47…
04-28 09:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 28?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x757467…
04-28 09:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 28?	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x4bf7e0…
04-28 09:13:32	Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x8ce2c9…
04-28 09:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 28?	No	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x8e027a…
04-28 09:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 29?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xdb1340…
04-28 09:10:04	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 28?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfc8129…
04-28 09:09:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xd53d25…
04-28 09:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xb2ec11…
04-28 09:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0xad72e9…
04-28 09:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xc3a8e1…
04-28 09:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5b6305…
04-28 09:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x92029f…
04-28 09:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xac906d…
04-28 09:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x1374c0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	850	$1.10M	312,454	04-28 10:21
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	800	$347.6K	26,200	04-16 15:32
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	800	$193.5K	11,570	04-28 10:48
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	786	$274.1K	55,161	04-28 07:42
Different-Hazel 0x3dd2…9ab1	744	$731.4K	16,219	04-28 10:47
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	705	$3.94M	293,381	04-16 17:35
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	687	$1.86M	50,936	04-28 10:59
(anonymous) 0x77b5…9170	674	$266.9K	16,908	04-14 08:04