Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$1,253
$937 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
37
Liquidity
$2,226
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 08:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $2 | $972 | $971 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $11 | $207 | $196 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $4 | $864 | $860 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Median | 10 | $6 | $127 | $122 |
| Below median | 15 | $3 | $71 | $68 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $109 | $109 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awful-Butter 0x8796…eb9f | No | +860 | $859 | $859 | 1 | 05-15 08:32 |
| Pure-Pantsuit 0xb3b6…0d2b | No | +104 | $98 | $102 | 2 | 05-15 08:54 |
| Insignificant-Blowhole 0xcdb2…0c7a | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-15 08:32 |
| Few-Card 0x6028…a32d | Yes | +55 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:56 |
| Cloudy-Closing 0x2c6c…8cc1 | No | +45 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-14 22:22 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 07:19 |
| Indolent-Sensitive 0x8bac…cf49 | Yes | +28 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 07:30 |
| Frozen-Control 0x10c0…a15e | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-13 22:53 |
| Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Stunning-Greens 0x75fd…e4f9 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-15 07:09 |
| Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 15:11 |
| Wet-Influx 0x0b76…1a84 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 17:19 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 22:08 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 00:02 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 22:08 |
| Livid-Anthropology 0xc6d8…b90d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-15 07:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 17:19 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 18:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xecd5…ebdc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 01:25 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-14 18:19 |
| Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-15 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 14:24 |
| Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 22:19 |
| Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 15:11 |
| Stained-Pew 0xb02e…90a5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 07:59 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 08:54:31 | Pure-Pantsuit 0xb3b6…0d2b | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x2909de… |
| 05-15 08:39:40 | Hideous-Herbs 0xc9e1…7521 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x0b6232… |
| 05-15 08:32:24 | Awful-Butter 0x8796…eb9f | No | BUY | 860 | 100¢ | $859 | 0xfadebc… |
| 05-15 08:32:23 | Insignificant-Blowhole 0xcdb2…0c7a | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0xcc5bca… |
| 05-15 08:24:25 | Pure-Pantsuit 0xb3b6…0d2b | No | BUY | 105 | 95¢ | $100 | 0x395d8b… |
| 05-15 07:59:44 | Stained-Pew 0xb02e…90a5 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd8dda1… |
| 05-15 07:40:22 | Livid-Anthropology 0xc6d8…b90d | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x4a415b… |
| 05-15 07:40:21 | Livid-Anthropology 0xc6d8…b90d | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x8dc177… |
| 05-15 07:30:33 | Indolent-Sensitive 0x8bac…cf49 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x6ad0a3… |
| 05-15 07:09:50 | Stunning-Greens 0x75fd…e4f9 | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xed8c0a… |
| 05-15 05:24:24 | Blind-Wick 0x5628…0b12 | No | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x5f3daf… |
| 05-15 04:39:22 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xa9d24a… |
| 05-15 04:00:31 | Hideous-Herbs 0xc9e1…7521 | No | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x6e0acc… |
| 05-15 01:25:19 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x8c5d80… |
| 05-15 01:25:16 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xc21617… |
| 05-15 01:25:14 | (anonymous) 0xecd5…ebdc | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x0f18e6… |
| 05-15 01:25:14 | Huge-Ejector 0x1611…f0ea | No | SELL | 0 | 84¢ | $0 | 0x98bb73… |
| 05-15 01:25:14 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x6bf0c3… |
| 05-15 00:02:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xb9a958… |
| 05-14 23:42:55 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | No | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x986776… |
| 05-14 22:22:16 | Cloudy-Closing 0x2c6c…8cc1 | No | BUY | 45 | 82¢ | $37 | 0xcbaed0… |
| 05-14 22:19:46 | Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x735762… |
| 05-14 21:27:03 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 30¢ | $4 | 0x095ba4… |
| 05-14 18:34:46 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf4a977… |
| 05-14 18:19:31 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x394662… |
| 05-14 17:19:42 | Wet-Influx 0x0b76…1a84 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xad126a… |
| 05-14 17:19:40 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xb7ddd0… |
| 05-14 15:11:29 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x81f10d… |
| 05-14 15:11:22 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x0ac62d… |
| 05-14 14:24:22 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x9ac7bd… |
| 05-14 12:19:24 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x38c5dc… |
| 05-14 07:19:16 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8c920a… |
| 05-14 06:10:45 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa4dd57… |
| 05-14 06:10:45 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf6715f… |
| 05-14 06:10:44 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x43f33f… |
| 05-13 22:56:02 | Few-Card 0x6028…a32d | Yes | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x209ef3… |
| 05-13 22:53:19 | Frozen-Control 0x10c0…a15e | No | BUY | 23 | 95¢ | $22 | 0xe77c51… |
| 05-13 22:15:50 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 48 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xdb9be3… |
| 05-13 22:12:04 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x0de9b9… |
| 05-13 22:12:01 | Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x602fb6… |
| 05-13 22:08:31 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x23d277… |
| 05-13 22:08:31 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xcd6d18… |
| 05-13 22:08:31 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xd9a0e1… |
| 05-13 21:23:59 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x020a13… |