Cloudy-Closing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

496

lifetime

Volume

$1.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-23 11:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$3

Other

39% 0% $-5

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$248	196	196	+0	open	—	05-21 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	05-23 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$86	238	0	+238	open	—	05-21 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$70	143	0	+143	open	—	05-22 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$62	42	42	+0	open	—	05-22 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$58	39	39	+0	open	—	05-22 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$56	103	0	+103	open	—	05-22 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$49	29	29	+0	open	—	05-22 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$40	95	0	+95	open	—	05-22 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$40	105	0	+105	open	—	05-22 20:10
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on April 26?	45	$37	454	377	+77	open	—	04-26 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$27	26	26	+0	open	—	05-22 20:47
highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 28c	4	$21	19	18	+1	open	—	04-14 07:31
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-13 18:02
btc updown 5m 1776273300	2	$20	15	14	+1	open	—	04-15 17:20
btc updown 5m 1776879900	2	$20	20	19	+1	open	—	04-22 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-22 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	05-22 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	05-22 22:07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 26?	8	$17	88	74	+14	open	—	04-26 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 26?	9	$13	78	43	+35	open	—	04-26 06:10
highest temperature in ankara on april 22 2026 18c	2	$13	21	20	+1	open	—	04-22 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 26?	4	$12	7	6	+0	open	—	04-26 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 26?	11	$11	184	0	+184	open	—	04-26 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 25?	6	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-25 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 16:33
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 21 2026 22c	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-20 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 26?	4	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 17:12
lowest temperature in london on april 24 2026 6c	6	$10	66	63	+3	open	—	04-24 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-22 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 11:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x04e88c…
05-22 22:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	143	49¢	$70	0xeda8a1…
05-22 22:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x1b30a6…
05-22 22:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xbd2e4b…
05-22 22:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x10df92…
05-22 22:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x3266f1…
05-22 22:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xdd4f4f…
05-22 20:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	26	63¢	$17	0x89ed0e…
05-22 20:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x3a352b…
05-22 20:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0xe247d2…
05-22 20:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xad8406…
05-22 20:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x1d8e8e…
05-22 20:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xee6a35…
05-22 20:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x6421fb…
05-22 11:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x1c19a1…
05-22 11:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	39	53¢	$21	0xa5c04f…
05-22 11:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xcb5b44…
05-22 10:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3e9598…
05-22 08:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	103	55¢	$56	0x953805…
05-21 10:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	238	36¢	$86	0x3de289…
05-21 10:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	196	75¢	$148	0x76bb4b…
05-21 10:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x74efad…
05-13 18:02:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x5b0d11…
05-12 16:45:20	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe8255b…
05-12 16:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x4dda1a…
05-12 16:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5da9b2…
05-06 17:29:36	Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xafb3b7…
05-05 17:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2e5f2a…
05-04 01:12:10	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xeea3e9…
05-01 06:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2a7e05…
04-29 14:15:06	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf2026e…
04-28 10:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x50f8c3…
04-28 08:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5b2539…
04-28 08:32:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39246a…
04-28 08:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x06e671…
04-28 07:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x443b7f…
04-28 07:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0xefff0c…
04-28 01:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd539a3…
04-28 01:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa0d363…
04-28 00:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x33281c…
04-28 00:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb1a726…
04-28 00:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x29cfe7…
04-28 00:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb381ae…
04-28 00:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x96a7ca…
04-27 23:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 28?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x144b28…
04-27 23:06:16	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x813e8b…
04-27 23:06:08	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8d82ef…
04-27 22:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xe41680…
04-27 21:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf84f22…
04-27 21:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2004a3…
04-27 20:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2045dc…
04-27 20:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x46aeba…
04-27 20:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2d0ac1…
04-27 20:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4d1589…
04-27 20:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x152928…
04-27 20:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x88d659…
04-27 20:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x176a4b…
04-27 20:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xb0db4d…
04-27 20:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3a1b4…
04-27 20:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x451fbb…
04-27 20:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xde2922…
04-27 20:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x64f4f5…
04-27 20:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x97b473…
04-27 20:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xdd4cc0…
04-27 19:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x9eef2f…
04-27 15:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xded557…
04-27 15:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xb2637a…
04-27 13:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x067a75…
04-27 10:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x231ac3…
04-27 00:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeda833…
04-27 00:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x09397d…
04-27 00:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x644a89…
04-27 00:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4c0a3…
04-27 00:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x733c52…
04-27 00:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9336cb…
04-27 00:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8e2af2…
04-27 00:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x89b9f4…
04-27 00:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfce2c8…
04-27 00:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2109a1…
04-27 00:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x397e63…
04-27 00:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0a96d4…
04-27 00:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x523cf7…
04-27 00:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x000f93…
04-27 00:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x58d54f…
04-27 00:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 27?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x83eec6…
04-26 21:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3fc1d3…
04-26 17:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0f2bfe…
04-26 17:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 26?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfbc268…
04-26 07:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 26?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x0a1163…
04-26 07:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on April 26?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x48842f…
04-26 07:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x4f5279…
04-26 07:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x529a6d…
04-26 07:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x8aa39a…
04-26 07:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x9ac015…
04-26 07:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xf495ac…
04-26 07:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	74	12¢	$9	0xb79ea4…
04-26 06:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0x025f3b…
04-26 06:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x1d3eac…
04-26 06:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0xeda39f…
04-26 06:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xbf53e7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f	214	$4.97K	4,605	04-28 10:16
Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572	211	$3.84K	3,509	04-28 10:16
Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa	206	$3.17K	2,724	04-28 10:16
Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621	201	$2.63K	2,207	04-28 10:16
Upset-Fireman 0xdedd…17e1	193	$17.1K	3,612	04-28 10:15
Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190	192	$2.21K	1,826	04-28 10:16
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	191	$9.85K	5,405	04-27 22:09
Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430	183	$1.93K	1,547	04-28 10:14