Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 12?
No won
Total volume
$591
Trades
47
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 15:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $96 | $96 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $126 | $291 | $165 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $1 | $300 | $299 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $8 | $23 | $15 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| Below median | 11 | $11 | $13 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $34 | $43 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $72 | $4 | +$68 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | +608 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 05-11 10:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x71d0…b73a | No | +223 | $204 | $204 | 1 | 05-12 03:29 |
| Disgusting-Marxism 0xfb85…f401 | Yes | +106 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 05-12 11:32 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +65 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-10 23:25 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-11 21:14 |
| Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | +28 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 18:52 |
| Fancy-Outset 0x6a32…cab6 | Yes | +28 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 12:32 |
| Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | +27 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 05:37 |
| Spiffy-Check 0xcdf3…76a5 | No | +25 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-12 12:47 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +23 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 10:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 05:37 |
| Quarterly-Giggle 0xd0e1…7e35 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 06:56 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-11 02:05 |
| Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 04:08 |
| Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 10:48 |
| Ill-Fated-Stepgrandmother 0xe260…3f01 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 10:10 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 12:02 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:08 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:20 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 12:27 |
| Silent-Light 0x6136…96cb | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 01:20 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:47 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Luxurious-Flu 0x802e…9a31 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 00:07 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 01:45 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 01:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 15:23:14 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x289b31… |
| 05-12 12:47:41 | Spiffy-Check 0xcdf3…76a5 | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x41e17d… |
| 05-12 12:32:54 | Fancy-Outset 0x6a32…cab6 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 25¢ | $7 | 0x812ad7… |
| 05-12 12:27:44 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $4 | 0xe49939… |
| 05-12 11:32:38 | Disgusting-Marxism 0xfb85…f401 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x0203bb… |
| 05-12 11:32:28 | Disgusting-Marxism 0xfb85…f401 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $13 | 0xe1c4f9… |
| 05-12 11:27:27 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0x1dcb60… |
| 05-12 11:07:49 | Disgusting-Marxism 0xfb85…f401 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x13fcb1… |
| 05-12 09:32:25 | Grubby-Pagan 0x17e0…64e7 | No | SELL | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x3d6a9a… |
| 05-12 06:56:19 | Quarterly-Giggle 0xd0e1…7e35 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x272003… |
| 05-12 03:29:21 | (anonymous) 0x71d0…b73a | No | BUY | 223 | 91¢ | $204 | 0x28e3e3… |
| 05-12 03:13:36 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | SELL | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xb1f618… |
| 05-12 02:03:46 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0x5d6724… |
| 05-12 01:33:24 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | SELL | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xdff0e8… |
| 05-12 00:47:51 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb75bc3… |
| 05-12 00:08:32 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x27f453… |
| 05-12 00:07:55 | Luxurious-Flu 0x802e…9a31 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xc0ed2d… |
| 05-12 00:02:23 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x30b1cb… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x1a31db… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xdf100b… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xea2fac… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfc8c9a… |
| 05-11 21:14:07 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0x2c29db… |
| 05-11 18:52:57 | Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xc3cdc2… |
| 05-11 18:31:04 | Orderly-Crunch 0x4add…9acb | Yes | SELL | 115 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x9d6584… |
| 05-11 10:48:12 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xad2d30… |
| 05-11 10:47:04 | Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0xf39fde… |
| 05-11 10:46:51 | Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x2c8aec… |
| 05-11 10:30:58 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xb7b225… |
| 05-11 10:20:08 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xe1a79e… |
| 05-11 10:10:59 | Ill-Fated-Stepgrandmother 0xe260…3f01 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x5b9afd… |
| 05-11 05:07:51 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6d6933… |
| 05-11 04:08:30 | Far-Flung-Pillbox 0x35fa…13b5 | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x1c2e08… |
| 05-11 02:05:25 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xf885a8… |
| 05-11 02:05:23 | Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | BUY | 455 | 12¢ | $55 | 0x6fdfcd… |
| 05-11 01:45:38 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xc28909… |
| 05-11 01:45:19 | (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd789f7… |
| 05-11 01:45:17 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x768da9… |
| 05-11 01:45:16 | Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 8¢ | $9 | 0x9332e4… |
| 05-11 01:20:00 | Silent-Light 0x6136…96cb | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x95d7fc… |
| 05-10 23:25:49 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 65 | 93¢ | $60 | 0xcd3a09… |
| 05-10 22:28:09 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x8e4f54… |
| 05-10 15:27:01 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x18766f… |
| 05-10 12:02:23 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x8c97ae… |
| 05-10 09:08:17 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xa37976… |
| 05-10 05:37:32 | Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb9805e… |
| 05-10 05:37:32 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | No | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xefdc8e… |