Grubby-Pagan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$772

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

5,301

Trades

26,512

lifetime

Volume

$178.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-29 10:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 54% -$393

Other

4% 56% -$232

Sports

0% 0% -$79

Politics

0% 25% -$44

Tech

0% 35% -$24

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 14:30 UTC	38	$1.4K	1,223	693	+530	Up	-$33	06-05 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 22:45 UTC	100	$1.4K	2,390	0	+2,390	Down	-$185	06-05 22:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 06:30 UTC	56	$1.2K	1,049	1,049	+0	Down	+$29	06-06 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 04:15 UTC	87	$1.2K	2,075	0	+2,075	Down	-$384	06-06 04:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 13:30 UTC	64	$1.2K	1,860	712	+1,148	Down	+$166	06-05 13:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 15:45 UTC	17	$1.1K	935	629	+306	Up	+$138	06-05 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 16:45 UTC	19	$1.1K	662	662	+0	Up	+$190	06-05 16:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 03:45 UTC	92	$1.0K	1,692	0	+1,692	Down	-$105	06-06 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 19:00 UTC	84	$1000	1,693	0	+1,693	Up	-$242	06-05 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 12:30 UTC	53	$970	964	955	+10	Up	+$66	06-06 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 14:00 UTC	47	$904	1,383	0	+1,383	Up	-$60	06-05 14:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 12:00 UTC	20	$885	808	851	-43	Up	+$163	06-05 12:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 22:30 UTC	63	$862	1,981	0	+1,981	Up	+$155	06-05 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 17:45 UTC	43	$843	649	649	+0	Up	+$52	06-04 17:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 05:30 UTC	63	$812	1,427	0	+1,427	Up	-$159	06-06 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 13:00 UTC	33	$799	918	913	+5	Down	-$237	06-06 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	52	$761	1,895	0	+1,895	Up	+$94	06-05 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 18:30 UTC	63	$754	1,343	0	+1,343	Down	-$61	06-05 18:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 15:00 UTC	37	$745	1,094	0	+1,094	Down	-$13	06-05 15:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 17:30 UTC	49	$733	588	588	+0	Down	+$16	06-04 17:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 06:45 UTC	58	$693	1,184	0	+1,184	Down	-$145	06-06 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 21:15 UTC	43	$667	1,200	0	+1,200	Down	-$127	06-05 21:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 10:15 UTC	54	$660	1,205	0	+1,205	Down	-$115	06-06 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 16:45 UTC	38	$622	549	309	+240	Down	-$10	06-04 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 14:45 UTC	30	$620	1,105	0	+1,105	Up	+$164	06-05 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 13:00 UTC	31	$614	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$223	06-05 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	15	$609	359	359	+0	Down	+$55	06-05 17:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 02:45 UTC	50	$609	1,199	0	+1,199	Up	+$30	06-06 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	30	$603	479	445	+33	Up	+$7	06-09 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	23	$588	549	549	+0	Up	+$77	06-03 08:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 10:47:15	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x612b89…
07-29 10:39:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x635bc8…
07-29 10:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x143a21…
07-29 10:29:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x34a638…
07-29 10:26:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x36b244…
07-29 10:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd4bc6b…
07-29 10:18:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb18b8f…
07-29 10:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2df81f…
07-29 09:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0612c3…
07-29 09:43:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x11882f…
07-29 09:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb4462e…
07-29 09:36:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2c2027…
07-29 09:30:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x305d73…
07-29 09:26:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8bf414…
07-29 09:21:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd192bf…
07-29 09:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3f3efa…
07-29 09:07:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xce1d44…
07-29 08:56:30	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x524215…
07-29 08:52:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1c8325…
07-29 08:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xbd9ca0…
07-29 08:36:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfbe6f2…
07-29 08:34:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xe15ed5…
07-29 08:34:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x9b2f6a…
07-29 08:34:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x4ce7de…
07-29 08:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa2ce30…
07-29 08:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x354f17…
07-29 08:31:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x9eaefc…
07-29 08:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9113d2…
07-29 08:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2a8edd…
07-29 08:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xb162a6…
07-29 08:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf02f89…
07-29 08:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x713601…
07-29 08:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x01a92e…
07-12 15:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x9fa9e8…
07-12 15:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 12?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x354993…
07-12 15:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x33607c…
07-12 15:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on July 13?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xabdbad…
07-12 15:43:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 12?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x99c339…
07-12 15:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 12?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x866ce0…
07-12 15:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x4b4bb1…
07-12 15:43:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 12?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x757c71…
07-12 15:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 12?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9b0a2e…
07-12 15:42:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbb57d8…
07-12 15:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x878b92…
07-12 15:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 12?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xfc2b1a…
07-12 15:42:11	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x7ae432…
07-12 15:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x56d104…
07-12 15:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x80b5ea…
07-12 15:40:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfc3271…
07-12 15:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x520410…
07-12 15:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb8a799…
07-12 15:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x194839…
07-12 15:38:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0b101e…
07-12 15:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x12c8fe…
07-12 15:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x261bc6…
07-12 15:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb51fbd…
07-12 15:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf002af…
07-12 15:32:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3c104c…
07-12 15:32:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	128	56¢	$72	0xf79a68…
07-12 15:30:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x29e4d2…
07-12 15:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xce6db4…
07-12 15:22:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x43a7e9…
07-12 15:20:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x909126…
07-12 15:17:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	71	81¢	$58	0xb785de…
07-12 15:17:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x24453d…
07-12 15:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x18955c…
07-12 15:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x44e3c4…
07-12 15:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1e5993…
07-12 15:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 12?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9e94b1…
07-12 15:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd70ae9…
07-12 15:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeb6af1…
07-12 15:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x48970d…
07-12 15:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0c31b9…
07-12 14:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xec83a6…
07-12 14:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd28f42…
07-12 14:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1b0e8d…
07-12 14:26:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x29f678…
07-12 14:24:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x150394…
07-12 14:17:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x3f742c…
07-12 14:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x3674b6…
07-12 14:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1b6f2f…
07-12 14:08:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 12?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0db86…
07-12 14:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x595ce6…
07-12 14:03:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6836b4…
07-12 13:47:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa92b2a…
07-12 13:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0xa1c9dc…
07-12 13:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdc786f…
07-12 13:27:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1e1ce6…
07-12 13:15:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x752036…
07-12 13:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x63926d…
07-12 13:10:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x75d5a0…
07-12 13:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2a0c72…
07-12 13:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfd4286…
07-12 13:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x137427…
07-12 13:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0ba31f…
07-12 13:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x872cc1…
07-12 12:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8d3032…
07-12 12:34:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8c1b5f…
07-12 12:30:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0d9f87…
07-12 12:27:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6d147d…