Will the highest temperature in Houston be 88°F or higher on May 16?
open
Total volume
$791
$6 in 24h
Trades
53
Unique wallets
49
Liquidity
$119
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 20:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $6 | $0 | +$6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $625 | $62 | +$564 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $12 | $7 | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $435 | — | +$435 |
| Median | 12 | $116 | $24 | +$92 |
| Below median | 17 | $65 | $34 | +$32 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $4 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzled-Candidate 0x901f…64f0 | No | +1,001 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 19:01 |
| Hot-Bloom 0xeb0f…b951 | Yes | +150 | $137 | $137 | 1 | 05-16 18:55 |
| Pesky-Thong 0x875e…e6b5 | Yes | +150 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 05-16 18:55 |
| Exhausted-Frost 0x2e9d…e9f4 | Yes | +150 | $144 | $144 | 1 | 05-16 18:55 |
| Lonely-Convenience 0xb33e…28c3 | Yes | +150 | $107 | $107 | 1 | 05-16 18:55 |
| Thankful-Quinoa 0x4dc9…b10b | Yes | +102 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-16 14:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xdeb5…e19c | No | +31 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-16 08:30 |
| Modern-Claim 0x879e…e339 | No | +22 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-16 13:06 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 18:55 |
| Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | +19 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 23:53 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-16 05:54 |
| Foolish-Elicit 0xe437…5773 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 09:29 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 00:13 |
| Quick-Dispatch 0x13b2…1dec | No | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 11:36 |
| Impractical-Unblinking 0xd654…2efe | Yes | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 15:51 |
| Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 11:45 |
| Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 14:05 |
| Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-15 23:53 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 10:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xb537…14cc | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 15:31 |
| Uncommon-Granddaughter 0xbcd0…b52f | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 09:18 |
| Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:40 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 01:21 |
| Lean-Ketchup 0x3580…ad44 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 16:44 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 09:35 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 18:42 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 17:06 |
| Envious-Sculpture 0xb7f8…a683 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:46 |
| Ready-Syndicate 0x3511…ee71 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:22 |
| Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 09:59 |
| Intent-Cholesterol 0x73e7…8b59 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 15:41 |
| Plastic-Upper 0x6660…865c | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 20:40 |
| Tight-Freak 0x18de…0b64 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 14:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 20:37:27 | Idealistic-Adjustment 0x41fa…7cc4 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x14fcb2… |
| 05-16 19:01:52 | Grizzled-Candidate 0x901f…64f0 | No | BUY | 1,001 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x229188… |
| 05-16 18:57:12 | Odd-Canoe 0x6e2a…967b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2b8536… |
| 05-16 18:57:09 | Self-Assured-Put 0x0377…ae31 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xd1472b… |
| 05-16 18:56:02 | Self-Assured-Put 0x0377…ae31 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xa91fce… |
| 05-16 18:55:53 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5d54b4… |
| 05-16 18:55:52 | Pesky-Thong 0x875e…e6b5 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0x597374… |
| 05-16 18:55:52 | Lonely-Convenience 0xb33e…28c3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 71¢ | $107 | 0xdc9532… |
| 05-16 18:55:52 | Hot-Bloom 0xeb0f…b951 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 92¢ | $137 | 0x323cc7… |
| 05-16 18:55:52 | Exhausted-Frost 0x2e9d…e9f4 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 96¢ | $144 | 0xa2a63d… |
| 05-16 18:42:27 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x40ff55… |
| 05-16 18:36:54 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x179eab… |
| 05-16 18:36:54 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xffd093… |
| 05-16 18:36:54 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xbb5d35… |
| 05-16 18:36:54 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x060c0c… |
| 05-16 18:36:54 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x593d79… |
| 05-16 18:36:54 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xe2355f… |
| 05-16 18:36:54 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xcab964… |
| 05-16 18:36:54 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x692173… |
| 05-16 18:36:54 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x9701f4… |
| 05-16 18:32:02 | Unnatural-Daffodil 0x360f…e6e1 | No | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x247284… |
| 05-16 15:51:14 | Impractical-Unblinking 0xd654…2efe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 58¢ | $6 | 0xdb3e31… |
| 05-16 15:41:47 | Intent-Cholesterol 0x73e7…8b59 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x624b07… |
| 05-16 14:41:18 | Self-Assured-Put 0x0377…ae31 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x156cfb… |
| 05-16 14:36:48 | Thankful-Quinoa 0x4dc9…b10b | Yes | BUY | 102 | 49¢ | $50 | 0x743cb5… |
| 05-16 14:05:55 | Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x1fad14… |
| 05-16 13:06:07 | Modern-Claim 0x879e…e339 | No | BUY | 22 | 59¢ | $13 | 0xe7339e… |
| 05-16 12:10:44 | Exhausted-Freon 0xd390…a1c7 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x73ce36… |
| 05-16 11:45:57 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0xeedc73… |
| 05-16 11:36:44 | Quick-Dispatch 0x13b2…1dec | No | BUY | 11 | 57¢ | $6 | 0xb41150… |
| 05-16 09:18:08 | Uncommon-Granddaughter 0xbcd0…b52f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0xebc6eb… |
| 05-16 09:01:06 | Fancy-Overexertion 0x3940…9807 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x61b4cc… |
| 05-16 08:30:02 | (anonymous) 0xdeb5…e19c | No | BUY | 31 | 59¢ | $18 | 0x8bfe83… |
| 05-16 05:54:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 12 | 54¢ | $7 | 0x389dc0… |
| 05-16 01:21:01 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x9a27b0… |
| 05-16 00:13:37 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 37¢ | $4 | 0xe180bc… |
| 05-15 23:53:33 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xffed44… |
| 05-15 23:53:33 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | No | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xca6dcc… |
| 05-15 23:53:33 | Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | BUY | 19 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xb2913e… |
| 05-15 20:40:28 | Plastic-Upper 0x6660…865c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xb5df74… |
| 05-15 17:17:24 | (anonymous) 0x3e14…9187 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 54¢ | $2 | 0x62f81a… |
| 05-15 15:31:09 | (anonymous) 0xb537…14cc | No | BUY | 7 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x022f52… |
| 05-15 14:46:58 | Tight-Freak 0x18de…0b64 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 42¢ | $0 | 0xca9f4a… |
| 05-15 14:46:58 | Unnatural-Daffodil 0x360f…e6e1 | No | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $2 | 0xedbcfd… |
| 05-15 13:46:53 | Envious-Sculpture 0xb7f8…a683 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xeea3bb… |
| 05-15 10:35:28 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x864d9a… |
| 05-15 09:35:03 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xca69a3… |
| 05-14 19:22:29 | Ready-Syndicate 0x3511…ee71 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x0794c2… |
| 05-14 17:06:41 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x285793… |
| 05-14 16:44:01 | Lean-Ketchup 0x3580…ad44 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x8ea467… |
| 05-14 09:59:34 | Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xa2b54a… |
| 05-14 09:29:11 | Foolish-Elicit 0xe437…5773 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xdd5058… |
| 05-14 05:40:55 | Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb32776… |