Lean-Ketchup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

419

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-12 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 46% $-6

Politics

9% — —

Other

7% 0% $-3

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-23	$-1	3¢	$-1	+$0	06-12 14:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	6	$80	66	66	+0	open	—	05-18 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	4	$66	106	106	+0	open	—	05-18 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$65	44	36	+8	open	—	05-18 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$56	47	47	+0	open	—	05-18 05:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$56	51	51	+0	open	—	05-18 07:54
btc updown 5m 1776876300	13	$49	50	48	+2	open	—	04-22 16:49
btc updown 5m 1776844500	4	$47	53	50	+3	open	—	04-22 07:59
btc updown 5m 1776879000	5	$34	77	73	+4	open	—	04-22 17:33
btc updown 5m 1776878400	7	$34	124	23	+101	open	—	04-22 17:24
btc updown 5m 1776879900	4	$30	158	17	+142	open	—	04-22 17:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	2	$29	33	33	+0	open	—	04-22 02:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$29	29	29	+0	open	—	04-21 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	12	$28	110	22	+88	open	—	04-29 12:44
btc updown 5m 1776879600	5	$27	29	15	+14	open	—	04-22 17:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$26	27	27	+0	open	—	04-22 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	7	$26	32	24	+8	Up	+$2	05-08 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$25	346	8	+338	Down	$-15	05-08 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$25	57	0	+57	open	—	05-18 08:35
btc updown 5m 1776877500	6	$24	28	25	+3	open	—	04-22 17:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$24	22	22	+0	open	—	04-28 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	10	$23	40	40	+0	open	—	04-29 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 08:23
btc updown 5m 1776879300	4	$22	107	0	+107	open	—	04-22 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	10	$21	24	19	+5	open	—	04-28 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$21	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	9	$20	30	17	+14	open	—	04-29 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$17	22	22	+0	Down	$-3	05-08 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	9	$17	20	17	+3	open	—	04-28 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	5	$16	13	13	+0	Down	+$8	05-05 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	6	$16	34	32	+1	open	—	04-29 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 14:52:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x5afc37…
05-19 15:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf32111…
05-19 15:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x2ad6dc…
05-19 15:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x739412…
05-18 17:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x162ad4…
05-18 16:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x1dd047…
05-18 16:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x70ce91…
05-18 15:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xfc8fca…
05-18 15:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbdc3e1…
05-18 10:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x3af7ae…
05-18 10:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3c4c40…
05-18 10:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x4b96bd…
05-18 10:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x045429…
05-18 08:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x2b8284…
05-18 08:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xcbeecf…
05-18 08:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x50767b…
05-18 08:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x21e43d…
05-18 08:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x5adcef…
05-18 08:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x41c60a…
05-18 08:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x36b206…
05-18 08:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x387f42…
05-18 08:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x22baf2…
05-18 08:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0xebe256…
05-18 08:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x871cc2…
05-18 08:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x94371a…
05-18 08:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc689bc…
05-18 08:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf8cabb…
05-18 08:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x7b6e90…
05-18 08:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4e76a7…
05-18 07:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xccd146…
05-18 07:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2f0082…
05-18 07:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xc0a21f…
05-18 07:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	51	51¢	$26	0x87dde2…
05-18 07:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x7b4dad…
05-18 07:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x69a360…
05-18 07:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfc4cd6…
05-18 05:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	47	67¢	$31	0x38ff49…
05-18 05:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x2aa7b5…
05-18 05:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	71	14¢	$10	0xccb182…
05-18 05:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb98013…
05-18 05:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	35	75¢	$26	0xcd6c9e…
05-18 05:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x9e7711…
05-16 17:21:27	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x16bc38…
05-13 12:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	87	2¢	$2	0x071b93…
05-13 12:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x716e96…
05-13 12:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1f1d2…
05-10 10:12:53	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xca6fb7…
05-10 10:12:27	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7f05c5…
05-10 10:11:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x57dcfd…
05-09 03:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xd6cb17…
05-09 03:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6fec5c…
05-08 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0xbd1e3e…
05-08 13:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf6f0af…
05-08 13:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x55f05c…
05-08 13:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x508fee…
05-08 13:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x876cde…
05-08 13:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcf959c…
05-08 13:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$6	0xca1a34…
05-08 13:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe057c0…
05-08 13:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xc76e98…
05-08 13:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x10a741…
05-08 13:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x98e0bf…
05-08 13:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcc5295…
05-08 13:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xe414a1…
05-08 13:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc66660…
05-08 13:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x401f78…
05-08 13:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$4	0xd5f909…
05-08 13:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	326	4¢	$12	0x141838…
05-08 13:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x71e2b7…
05-08 13:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x8787a6…
05-08 13:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xf4fd35…
05-08 13:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3aa341…
05-08 13:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3d5bd0…
05-08 13:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc4c2d4…
05-07 13:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0x5228eb…
05-07 13:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x335fa4…
05-07 13:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x52ff0a…
05-07 13:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xde2121…
05-07 13:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6387dc…
05-07 13:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x457b35…
05-05 14:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x35aff5…
05-05 14:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2e6929…
05-05 14:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x79257d…
05-05 14:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd9fe8e…
05-05 14:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0a3f53…
05-05 14:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x1f8554…
05-05 14:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xffee0b…
05-05 14:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1aac61…
05-04 17:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x15bd2b…
05-04 17:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x07084a…
05-04 17:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x73e60d…
05-04 17:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x956da4…
05-04 17:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5764bf…
04-29 13:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x8ae25d…
04-29 13:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb0f4f3…
04-29 13:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x2b29c2…
04-29 13:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x29cf67…
04-29 13:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe1cd3f…
04-29 13:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x228014…
04-29 13:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4d1532…