Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$149
$18 in 24h
Trades
49
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$888
Latest YES mid
27¢
Latest NO mid
73¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 14:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $26 | $26 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $44 | $29 | +$15 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $7 | $41 | $34 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 7 | $5 | $19 | $14 |
| Below median | 9 | $20 | $4 | +$16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | $5 | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| unranked | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Optimistic-Publicity 0x36ff…f2a6 | Yes | +30 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-15 09:31 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +23 | $15 | $15 | 6 | 05-15 14:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | +18 | $6 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 15:09 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +17 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-15 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x072f…86b1 | No | +15 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-15 00:25 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 08:29 |
| Squeaky-Woodwind 0xa860…18fc | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 05:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-14 15:09 |
| Inborn-Dial-Wealth 0x82cc…d569 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 11:27 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 10:15 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 08:29 |
| Mortified-Sigh 0xa7f4…ec06 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-14 18:04 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x2995…8410 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 23:15 |
| Lean-Ketchup 0x3580…ad44 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 16:43 |
| Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| Short-Hatchet 0x7ad7…b931 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 10:15 |
| Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 09:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d05…a379 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 12:06 |
| Fluffy-Shore 0x2193…3ff0 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x84b7…eeb5 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 05:20 |
| Elementary-Reserve 0xcc92…8d1d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 12:06 |
| Exciting-Gown 0xd5b7…0890 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 14:29:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x803e39… |
| 05-15 14:29:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 69¢ | $4 | 0xf1ac5f… |
| 05-15 13:34:34 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x4e1b9b… |
| 05-15 12:06:22 | (anonymous) 0x3d05…a379 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x623589… |
| 05-15 12:06:22 | Elementary-Reserve 0xcc92…8d1d | No | BUY | 1 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xd0786e… |
| 05-15 11:40:58 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0xc8b424… |
| 05-15 10:25:36 | (anonymous) 0xe536…c8e0 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x29461d… |
| 05-15 10:25:34 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | No | SELL | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0xc00eea… |
| 05-15 10:16:06 | Exciting-Gown 0xd5b7…0890 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x774425… |
| 05-15 10:15:39 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x049a26… |
| 05-15 10:15:10 | Short-Hatchet 0x7ad7…b931 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x8da0e9… |
| 05-15 10:10:30 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x8d2daa… |
| 05-15 09:44:37 | Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x3dd522… |
| 05-15 09:36:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x573ebc… |
| 05-15 09:31:53 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xebb518… |
| 05-15 09:25:47 | (anonymous) 0xe536…c8e0 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x10d165… |
| 05-15 08:29:26 | (anonymous) 0xe536…c8e0 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x4b4164… |
| 05-15 08:29:24 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x0af2b1… |
| 05-15 08:29:22 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x2f8f55… |
| 05-15 07:24:11 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | SELL | 14 | 69¢ | $10 | 0x3791e1… |
| 05-15 07:04:37 | Muddy-Clasp 0xa7c4…7387 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x3dc0e4… |
| 05-15 04:59:21 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x37e5ef… |
| 05-15 00:25:12 | (anonymous) 0x072f…86b1 | No | BUY | 7 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x883673… |
| 05-15 00:22:19 | Optimistic-Publicity 0x36ff…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x3ea772… |
| 05-15 00:20:15 | Optimistic-Publicity 0x36ff…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 36¢ | $8 | 0x1c8613… |
| 05-14 23:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x072f…86b1 | No | BUY | 7 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x9533b5… |
| 05-14 23:15:39 | (anonymous) 0x2995…8410 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xd29f00… |
| 05-14 19:58:32 | Fluffy-Shore 0x2193…3ff0 | No | BUY | 3 | 63¢ | $2 | 0xcb7697… |
| 05-14 19:12:03 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | No | SELL | 12 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x5d0671… |
| 05-14 18:04:12 | Mortified-Sigh 0xa7f4…ec06 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xb14228… |
| 05-14 18:04:12 | Mortified-Sigh 0xa7f4…ec06 | No | BUY | 1 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x86a780… |
| 05-14 17:19:42 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x79a062… |
| 05-14 17:19:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xe84707… |
| 05-14 17:19:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x62eb2a… |
| 05-14 16:43:51 | Lean-Ketchup 0x3580…ad44 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x07d56e… |
| 05-14 16:11:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x2e647c… |
| 05-14 15:09:26 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xd49794… |
| 05-14 15:09:24 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | SELL | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xc2c4ed… |
| 05-14 15:09:21 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x362e7c… |
| 05-14 14:58:46 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xcf3bda… |
| 05-14 14:48:16 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | SELL | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0x226240… |
| 05-14 14:48:14 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x5e9628… |
| 05-14 14:04:18 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x5d3303… |
| 05-14 11:34:09 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 32¢ | $7 | 0x5550aa… |
| 05-14 11:27:04 | Inborn-Dial-Wealth 0x82cc…d569 | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x4e9090… |
| 05-14 10:04:28 | Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xd6a435… |
| 05-14 05:45:58 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 7 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x4d7248… |
| 05-14 05:45:58 | Squeaky-Woodwind 0xa860…18fc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0xb6ed52… |
| 05-14 05:20:55 | (anonymous) 0x84b7…eeb5 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x53b315… |