Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$68
$156 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$1,159
Latest YES mid
41¢
Latest NO mid
59¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 03:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $17 | $49 | $33 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 8 | $10 | $8 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $3 | $36 | $33 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | +41 | $27 | $27 | 12 | 05-12 22:36 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 11:18 |
| Mealy-Situation 0x711d…6f53 | Yes | +11 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 09:56 |
| Scarce-Modernist 0x298f…c504 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 18:56 |
| Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-12 21:27 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 20:26 |
| Clean-Sunbeam 0x7d52…c5aa | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 03:53 |
| Noxious-Trinket 0xf137…a1c1 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 03:23 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 02:38 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:59 |
| Equal-Gallery 0x05e1…8d94 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 21:27 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:21 |
| Hideous-Moose 0x3956…7fe3 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 03:53:10 | Clean-Sunbeam 0x7d52…c5aa | No | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xf3ef17… |
| 05-13 03:23:28 | Noxious-Trinket 0xf137…a1c1 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xe57c37… |
| 05-13 03:21:05 | Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x7725e6… |
| 05-13 02:59:09 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xc28eaa… |
| 05-13 02:38:00 | Babyish-Aide 0x8824…d492 | No | SELL | 1 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xed3a46… |
| 05-13 00:17:13 | Hideous-Moose 0x3956…7fe3 | No | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x5ee461… |
| 05-12 22:36:37 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x7603db… |
| 05-12 22:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x5eca6e… |
| 05-12 21:27:57 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xfb8ca2… |
| 05-12 21:27:56 | Equal-Gallery 0x05e1…8d94 | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x20dce1… |
| 05-12 21:21:20 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 4 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x50ca5e… |
| 05-12 21:11:20 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 6 | 68¢ | $4 | 0xb14f12… |
| 05-12 20:36:32 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x7548a1… |
| 05-12 20:26:30 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 9 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x9bdc09… |
| 05-12 20:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0xf0e8bc… |
| 05-12 20:11:34 | Memorable-Relaxation 0xaf13…eb99 | No | SELL | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x03263b… |
| 05-12 20:11:20 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 71¢ | $2 | 0xac4433… |
| 05-12 19:51:18 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0xaae793… |
| 05-12 19:41:21 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0x364750… |
| 05-12 19:35:28 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x7c1673… |
| 05-12 19:31:21 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x8b92c1… |
| 05-12 19:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x2535d8… |
| 05-12 19:25:27 | (anonymous) 0x7e2a…7e54 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0xb635e5… |
| 05-12 18:56:47 | Scarce-Modernist 0x298f…c504 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x9e3fec… |
| 05-12 02:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x3fe785… |
| 05-12 00:08:02 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xcbf5ee… |
| 05-11 11:18:11 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x14232e… |
| 05-11 09:56:54 | Mealy-Situation 0x711d…6f53 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x0eaf68… |
| 05-11 04:59:17 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x347ea8… |