Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 16?
open
Total volume
$158
$89 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$122
Latest YES mid
45¢
Latest NO mid
55¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 12:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $97 | $50 | +$47 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | $5 | +$0 |
| Median | 5 | $13 | $8 | +$5 |
| Below median | 4 | $50 | $29 | +$21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 3 | $15 | $3 | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | +91 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 23:37 |
| Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | +44 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-15 04:20 |
| Front-Island 0x32c9…5a3e | Yes | +30 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-15 11:35 |
| Nonstop-Resume 0x10f4…c2ea | No | +14 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 21:07 |
| Bouncy-Piety 0x47cf…5732 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 07:59 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 14:08 |
| Half-League 0x2451…09fa | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:30 |
| Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 06:19 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 02:02 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-14 11:12 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-14 20:07 |
| Calm-Gossip 0x336b…1233 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 22:50 |
| Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 00:42 |
| Hungry-Ease 0xa17b…7958 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 07:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a35…2596 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 12:34 |
| Messy-Stem 0xaabf…21db | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 08:15 |
| Outlying-Cover 0x2f2d…b371 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 12:34:45 | (anonymous) 0x3a35…2596 | No | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0xe04f84… |
| 05-15 11:35:54 | Front-Island 0x32c9…5a3e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xe280fe… |
| 05-15 11:35:27 | Front-Island 0x32c9…5a3e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xa77d86… |
| 05-15 11:35:19 | Front-Island 0x32c9…5a3e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x8f2d8c… |
| 05-15 10:05:58 | Outlying-Cover 0x2f2d…b371 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xdd9fee… |
| 05-15 09:45:32 | Jealous-Paddock 0xcfe4…e7f5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0xefba0d… |
| 05-15 08:15:43 | Messy-Stem 0xaabf…21db | Yes | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x348599… |
| 05-15 07:42:00 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xe11c8b… |
| 05-15 06:19:28 | Outrageous-Kendo 0xf585…aae1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 41¢ | $4 | 0xf7ef6e… |
| 05-15 04:20:47 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 25 | 64¢ | $16 | 0xe5f94a… |
| 05-15 02:02:53 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 10 | 49¢ | $5 | 0x384917… |
| 05-15 00:42:46 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x7d7739… |
| 05-14 23:37:43 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | BUY | 91 | 55¢ | $50 | 0xc13e46… |
| 05-14 22:50:20 | Calm-Gossip 0x336b…1233 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xf9aa28… |
| 05-14 21:07:15 | Nonstop-Resume 0x10f4…c2ea | No | BUY | 14 | 56¢ | $8 | 0x7f19cd… |
| 05-14 20:12:27 | (anonymous) 0x5fdb…6b04 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x9262c6… |
| 05-14 20:07:29 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xdc33c4… |
| 05-14 17:57:00 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x34c4a4… |
| 05-14 14:08:08 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 40¢ | $5 | 0x183bf8… |
| 05-14 13:54:11 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 19 | 60¢ | $11 | 0x463591… |
| 05-14 13:30:44 | Half-League 0x2451…09fa | Yes | BUY | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x04a85d… |
| 05-14 12:05:11 | Hungry-Ease 0xa17b…7958 | No | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x4b365c… |
| 05-14 11:12:12 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x132094… |
| 05-14 07:59:14 | Bouncy-Piety 0x47cf…5732 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x1650fd… |
| 05-14 06:24:30 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xe4cc43… |