Realized P&L
-$44
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
67.2%
Resolved
3,776
Trades
4,292
lifetime
Volume
$26.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$66
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 18:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 254 days
Categories
Other
86% 62% +$59
Crypto
6% 61% -$34
Sports
6% 66% -$51
Politics
1% 62% -$24
Tech
0% 82% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -20 -$19 96¢ $-19 -$1 09-23 12:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -19 -$17 96¢ $-19 -$2 07-30 15:38
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -10 -$9 99¢ $-9 $0 07-30 15:38
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No -6 -$6 98¢ $-6 $0 05-18 08:29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -5 -$4 98¢ $-4 $0 07-28 10:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -27 -$6 17¢ $-4 +$2 05-18 08:28
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -10 -$2 16¢ $-2 +$1 10-01 14:52
Human moon landing in 2026? Yes -98 -$3 1¢ $-1 +$2 10-06 17:38
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes -3 -$2 6¢ $-0 +$2 06-25 17:06