Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$266
$1,000 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
37
Liquidity
$356
Latest YES mid
46¢
Latest NO mid
54¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 16:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $160 | $76 | +$84 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $18 | $18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $32 | $4 | +$28 |
| Median | 10 | $15 | $43 | $28 |
| Below median | 15 | $72 | $15 | +$57 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| unranked | 2 | $30 | — | +$30 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavernous-Completion 0x2c89…d1b9 | Yes | +134 | $64 | $64 | 2 | 05-14 16:51 |
| Crazy-Final 0x5b11…2976 | Yes | +76 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 23:51 |
| Dishonest-Son 0x3cb7…1a88 | Yes | +68 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-14 15:00 |
| Sweaty-Keep 0xb54e…b2a7 | No | +60 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 05-14 15:48 |
| Growing-Thief 0x4245…a467 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 09:24 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | +18 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-12 17:16 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | +17 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Pointed-Purpose 0x7b8f…3b86 | Yes | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 16:14 |
| Buzzing-Jockey 0xec4d…087e | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 03:05 |
| Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 09:21 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-13 17:02 |
| Aware-Leptocephalus 0x7dfe…aef2 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 23:41 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 17:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 06:41 |
| Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 00:16 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 14:24 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 16:57 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 05:01 |
| Elliptical-Independent 0xb009…d266 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:41 |
| Mealy-Situation 0x711d…6f53 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:29 |
| Affectionate-March 0xb541…1852 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:04 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:15 |
| Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x60e8…fae4 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 16:51:49 | Cavernous-Completion 0x2c89…d1b9 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 55¢ | $14 | 0xb1306b… |
| 05-14 16:41:40 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | SELL | 7 | 52¢ | $4 | 0xe7c48f… |
| 05-14 16:14:29 | Actual-Hurt 0x5382…7e3a | No | SELL | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x745d9d… |
| 05-14 16:14:18 | Pointed-Purpose 0x7b8f…3b86 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 42¢ | $5 | 0xc4f414… |
| 05-14 15:48:59 | Sweaty-Keep 0xb54e…b2a7 | No | BUY | 55 | 59¢ | $32 | 0xa8c837… |
| 05-14 15:24:24 | Spiteful-Cleaner 0x80e7…d585 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x07bc89… |
| 05-14 15:08:23 | Sweaty-Keep 0xb54e…b2a7 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $3 | 0x7e51b5… |
| 05-14 15:00:41 | Dishonest-Son 0x3cb7…1a88 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 45¢ | $31 | 0xd61f3f… |
| 05-14 14:44:30 | Vibrant-Vivo 0x4d2f…bad2 | No | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x79926e… |
| 05-14 14:34:23 | Handy-Distributor 0x4701…ca83 | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x945996… |
| 05-14 14:24:22 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x34f965… |
| 05-14 12:45:26 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 7 | 47¢ | $3 | 0x97ec96… |
| 05-14 12:05:41 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 52¢ | $9 | 0xcb2063… |
| 05-14 09:24:17 | Growing-Thief 0x4245…a467 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xc8d6b8… |
| 05-14 08:59:33 | (anonymous) 0x1c2b…d0d4 | No | SELL | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0x017a95… |
| 05-14 07:59:17 | Handy-Distributor 0x4701…ca83 | No | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xa2a445… |
| 05-14 06:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x60e8…fae4 | No | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x198c03… |
| 05-14 05:01:08 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 3 | 56¢ | $2 | 0x842950… |
| 05-14 04:15:28 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x500a4e… |
| 05-14 03:12:19 | Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x37471f… |
| 05-14 03:10:58 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | SELL | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x7a6cb6… |
| 05-14 03:07:00 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xc96bad… |
| 05-14 03:05:59 | Buzzing-Jockey 0xec4d…087e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 53¢ | $4 | 0x03ee67… |
| 05-14 01:09:31 | Cavernous-Completion 0x2c89…d1b9 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 46¢ | $50 | 0xd59cd8… |
| 05-14 01:04:27 | Affectionate-March 0xb541…1852 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xca6b94… |
| 05-14 00:41:02 | Elliptical-Independent 0xb009…d266 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xfb6a42… |
| 05-14 00:16:21 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0x49ae1d… |
| 05-14 00:14:43 | Webbed-Pilot 0x3209…0508 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0xeb13ed… |
| 05-13 23:51:07 | Crazy-Final 0x5b11…2976 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 40¢ | $30 | 0xa613a7… |
| 05-13 22:29:29 | Mealy-Situation 0x711d…6f53 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x639bde… |
| 05-13 17:02:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x4475dc… |
| 05-13 16:57:38 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xe529aa… |
| 05-13 14:58:36 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x12a580… |
| 05-13 14:58:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x3d2348… |
| 05-13 09:21:31 | Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x62c14d… |
| 05-13 08:54:06 | Memorable-Relaxation 0xaf13…eb99 | No | SELL | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x0835dd… |
| 05-12 23:41:15 | Aware-Leptocephalus 0x7dfe…aef2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x0bbf3e… |
| 05-12 23:06:57 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x82af95… |
| 05-12 17:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | BUY | 2 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x470e3d… |
| 05-12 17:16:32 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x5fcfe7… |
| 05-12 17:16:32 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | No | BUY | 18 | 74¢ | $13 | 0xd2c24c… |
| 05-12 06:41:21 | (anonymous) 0xda63…8969 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xc6390f… |