Dishonest-Son — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$695

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

1,991

Trades

5,586

lifetime

Volume

$117.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-29 07:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 203 days

Categories

Other

99% 48% -$905

Sports

1% 53% +$218

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+94	$10	1¢	$1	-$9	10-26 14:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 42 43f	10	$1.2K	655	655	+0	No	+$63	03-04 01:27
highest temperature in miami on march 2 2026 84 85f	11	$1.2K	844	526	+317	No	+$177	03-02 18:28
highest temperature in ankara on march 21 2026 13corhigher	17	$1.1K	574	574	+0	No	+$71	03-21 14:29
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 30 2026 31c	2	$955	490	490	+0	No	+$24	03-31 02:07
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 36 37f	16	$782	426	426	+0	No	+$53	03-04 05:46
highest temperature in seoul on april 4 2026 17corhigher	2	$758	400	398	+2	Yes	+$40	04-04 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?	10	$741	396	396	+0	No	+$34	06-25 05:10
highest temperature in london on march 18 2026 16c	2	$740	380	380	+0	No	+$18	03-18 12:23
highest temperature in munich on march 24 2026 13c	4	$735	633	480	+153	No	-$248	03-24 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 5?	9	$714	444	444	+0	Yes	+$60	06-05 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 28?	17	$683	356	356	+0	No	+$23	06-28 10:42
highest temperature in seattle on march 18 2026 58 59f	5	$672	371	371	+0	No	+$56	03-19 00:40
highest temperature in london on march 20 2026 13c	8	$668	370	370	+0	No	+$45	03-20 14:48
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 60 61f	18	$667	354	354	+0	No	+$39	03-17 01:20
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 13c	4	$656	332	332	+0	No	+$6	03-23 03:30
highest temperature in toronto on april 4 2026 9c	2	$635	332	331	+1	No	+$21	04-05 01:14
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 19 2026 28c	17	$592	311	311	+0	No	+$27	03-19 17:08
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 7?	12	$584	337	337	+0	Yes	+$83	06-07 15:30
highest temperature in ankara on march 28 2026 18corhigher	4	$584	314	314	+0	No	+$37	03-28 14:06
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 8c	4	$581	295	295	+0	No	+$9	03-19 02:30
highest temperature in nyc on march 4 2026 48forhigher	27	$577	796	0	+796	Yes	-$577	03-04 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 15?	3	$574	314	314	+0	Yes	+$22	06-15 14:31
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 12c	9	$553	368	368	+0	No	+$14	03-22 14:21
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 19 2026 25corhigher	6	$547	278	278	+0	No	+$8	03-19 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 26?	2	$547	301	301	+0	Yes	+$55	06-27 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	2	$534	300	300	+0	No	+$54	06-06 07:02
highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 34 35f	4	$525	275	275	+0	No	+$24	03-03 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 6?	7	$513	283	283	+0	Yes	+$50	06-06 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 21?	3	$509	268	268	+0	No	+$27	05-22 03:19
highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 82 83f	9	$488	254	254	+0	No	+$19	03-24 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x238c4f…
10-29 04:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x0649f0…
10-28 11:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6790c7…
10-28 08:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7f259b…
10-28 06:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x3a4eec…
10-28 06:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0xde3c79…
10-28 06:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xb76b76…
10-27 08:36:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0x337141…
10-27 08:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x0acff4…
10-27 06:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x9082ea…
10-27 06:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x4ab04f…
10-27 04:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	43	82¢	$36	0x23e93c…
10-27 04:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	61	47¢	$28	0xa5ba5c…
10-27 03:37:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0x8cbaaa…
10-27 02:32:23	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x3eca70…
10-27 01:29:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0xe15666…
10-26 16:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 26?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x7258c3…
10-26 14:12:29	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	10¢	$10	0x027362…
10-26 09:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf9f054…
10-26 09:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4fb976…
10-26 05:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x50c6fa…
10-26 04:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9abe2b…
10-26 04:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd0979a…
10-25 18:23:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xac7ca0…
10-25 14:02:53	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	73	67¢	$49	0xdba0ab…
10-25 14:02:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	34	70¢	$24	0x8091e0…
10-25 14:00:48	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	45	70¢	$31	0x633326…
10-25 11:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x691817…
10-25 10:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 25?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd378f1…
10-25 09:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x64cea9…
10-25 08:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x547d16…
10-25 04:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xcb396d…
10-25 02:46:11	Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xd2d967…
10-25 02:29:26	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x373691…
10-25 02:21:05	Warriors vs. Suns	Warriors	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xee5a2c…
10-24 19:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x3e08d9…
10-24 18:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 24?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd9c874…
10-24 15:48:59	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x0b1aca…
10-24 15:43:50	Will Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x6adeb9…
10-24 15:14:14	Will Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x27a436…
10-24 12:12:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x1aa9df…
10-24 09:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3a5082…
10-24 05:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x83803f…
10-24 04:22:32	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x9afd4e…
10-24 03:08:26	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x43c16a…
10-24 02:14:32	Rockets vs. Spurs	Rockets	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x45fc45…
10-22 16:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	85¢	$10	0xc4891a…
10-22 13:47:09	Will Meta (META) close above $700 on October 22?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x87560b…
10-22 08:04:38	Will Meta (META) close above $700 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xc8cb71…
10-22 08:04:15	Will Meta (META) close above $700 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x870401…
10-22 04:23:41	Will Meta (META) close above $700 on October 22?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xc5a73d…
10-21 18:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1c15b0…
10-21 09:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x8e0658…
10-21 09:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x033b2f…
10-21 08:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x0eb80c…
10-21 07:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x743c6f…
10-20 04:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x815068…
10-19 15:36:45	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Liquid (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs	Liquid	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x63a507…
10-19 08:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x460184…
10-19 08:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x397d9b…
10-19 07:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0xabb1b6…
10-19 06:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x1ec22f…
10-19 04:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x24fee7…
10-19 03:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8afe5a…
10-19 03:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x701bd2…
10-18 16:53:57	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x104734…
10-18 14:37:32	Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0x441bf0…
10-18 14:24:23	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x826c22…
10-18 13:38:14	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xa71dcd…
10-18 10:37:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x551602…
10-18 05:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0xa85e61…
10-18 03:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0705da…
10-17 23:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xed6e89…
10-17 20:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xae78e4…
10-17 15:47:39	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0x351bb8…
10-17 15:19:08	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x0d1a2b…
10-17 12:59:57	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	25	74¢	$18	0xaff7db…
10-17 11:48:39	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xf4cf42…
10-17 03:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf08287…
10-17 02:54:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x830087…
10-16 05:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x278b10…
10-16 03:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf6ad31…
10-15 23:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf4eade…
10-15 19:13:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xce858d…
10-15 18:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x6d4691…
10-15 14:50:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xb32403…
10-15 07:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x27f480…
10-15 03:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x54d281…
10-14 13:52:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x33768c…
10-14 10:57:55	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	58	70¢	$41	0x889cce…
10-13 20:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x75bed8…
10-13 10:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x66097c…
10-13 03:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0x2a81d0…
10-12 22:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x726a89…
10-12 10:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x4e7b8b…
10-12 04:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x3fd33f…
10-11 19:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfcaba5…
10-11 16:52:30	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x5d43fa…
10-11 16:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x36461b…
10-11 05:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xcc2f09…