Elliptical-Independent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$246

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

390

Trades

931

lifetime

Volume

$3.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 09-06 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

92% 48% -$231

Crypto

8% 43% -$13

Sports

0% 33% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 13?	4	$84	45	45	+0	Yes	+$6	05-13 21:22
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 14?	5	$70	48	38	+10	No	-$4	05-14 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on May 15?	16	$69	97	69	+29	Yes	+$12	05-15 16:17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 17?	6	$57	40	40	+0	Yes	+$7	05-17 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on May 23?	13	$54	64	62	+2	No	-$6	05-23 20:31
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 26?	14	$54	78	78	+0	Yes	+$2	05-26 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$53	31	31	+0	Up	+$3	05-19 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 15?	11	$46	66	20	+46	No	+$9	05-15 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 22?	5	$43	29	29	+0	Yes	+$15	05-22 21:01
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	6	$39	40	40	+0	Aurora	+$7	05-28 14:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 17?	8	$35	50	50	+0	No	-$11	05-17 16:42
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 23?	14	$35	57	57	+0	No	-$2	05-23 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?	4	$35	19	19	+0	Yes	+$3	06-13 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 29?	4	$33	23	23	+0	Yes	+$12	05-29 22:38
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	5	$32	20	20	+0	LGD Gaming	+$8	05-28 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 30?	4	$31	51	51	+0	No	-$21	05-30 18:06
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 30?	10	$30	47	47	+0	No	-$5	05-30 18:17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 19?	4	$27	17	17	+0	Yes	+$8	07-19 21:13
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 16?	2	$26	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	08-16 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 11?	2	$26	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	07-11 19:33
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 14?	2	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	07-14 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 27?	4	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$2	05-27 22:34
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5?	5	$25	582	582	+0	No	+$5	06-05 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 4?	1	$24	28	0	+28	Yes	+$3	06-04 21:34
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 9?	2	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	07-09 22:19
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 5?	3	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$5	06-05 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 12?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	07-12 19:41
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 12?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	07-12 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 13?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	07-13 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 16?	5	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$15	05-16 20:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 18:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x5a7c0e…
08-19 11:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x7ab262…
08-19 11:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdd7d47…
08-19 11:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x754525…
08-19 11:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf2f6b3…
08-19 05:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf71cf6…
08-19 02:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x119c88…
08-19 02:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xdc751f…
08-19 02:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xb6bd1e…
08-19 01:23:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd04526…
08-19 01:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x94b183…
08-19 01:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4c701e…
08-18 23:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xe4aeda…
08-18 23:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x2bde5e…
08-18 23:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x6ed179…
08-18 23:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0xcbf585…
08-18 23:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x72ebd5…
08-18 23:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x02e8b8…
08-18 23:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa5d3ce…
08-18 23:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x425657…
08-18 23:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 19?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xe42f46…
08-18 23:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06d5d1…
08-18 22:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0x97f6a5…
08-18 22:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf36ca5…
08-18 22:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x158469…
08-18 22:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x455e69…
08-18 13:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe20c3c…
08-18 13:51:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x87d1be…
08-18 11:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6f4a68…
08-18 11:33:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc8f820…
08-17 18:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xb88b35…
08-17 18:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x5721c6…
08-17 18:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xda3eb0…
08-17 18:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xa23ddb…
08-17 18:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x699a0f…
08-17 16:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xcb17e4…
08-17 16:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x648a9c…
08-17 16:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x93f262…
08-16 20:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0142df…
08-16 19:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xbff2c1…
08-16 18:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xcb2824…
08-15 22:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8bef96…
08-15 18:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x65b132…
08-15 18:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x09cc6c…
08-14 21:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x1ea9e0…
08-14 21:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3da2f6…
08-14 19:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xc8c0fa…
08-14 19:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf57ab9…
08-14 19:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x8039fa…
08-14 18:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3768d3…
08-13 21:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$10	0x1c133c…
08-13 18:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf4036a…
08-13 15:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x696754…
08-12 21:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9ee135…
08-12 20:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcde042…
08-11 21:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9b2085…
08-10 21:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0xd27135…
08-10 20:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf70abc…
08-09 20:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xe34fca…
08-09 19:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x8382e6…
08-09 19:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb75e58…
08-08 20:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1728b1…
08-08 19:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc011c5…
08-07 22:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xabeae5…
08-07 21:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfa2cd6…
08-07 19:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 7?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6ea4e3…
08-07 18:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x26291c…
08-06 20:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4a7b20…
08-06 19:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6e783c…
08-06 19:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 6?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x98f620…
08-06 19:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd804bd…
08-06 18:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa40749…
08-05 20:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x35813a…
08-05 19:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$10	0xd11dcf…
08-04 21:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3bcb75…
08-04 19:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xcfff14…
08-04 18:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe8af84…
08-04 17:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xeb3b49…
08-03 22:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x58d7a6…
08-03 21:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1cb090…
08-03 21:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3c5efe…
08-03 20:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc47ca6…
08-03 19:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2126f4…
08-03 18:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfce376…
08-02 20:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc8ffb3…
08-02 19:50:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5fa562…
08-02 10:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xeedf01…
08-01 21:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x77d21e…
08-01 20:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x967db5…
08-01 18:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7acdc6…
07-31 20:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x2456b1…
07-30 20:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc46a4e…
07-30 19:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc5322b…
07-29 21:59:21	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9e4118…
07-27 19:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x20bfee…
07-26 19:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6255ff…
07-25 21:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x98b708…
07-25 21:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa423e5…
07-25 19:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x66258b…
07-25 18:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x968767…