Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$210
$2,175 in 24h
Trades
47
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$1,938
Latest YES mid
17¢
Latest NO mid
83¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 12:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $28 | $130 | $102 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | — | $62 | $62 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $49 | $47 |
| Median | 7 | $2 | $39 | $37 |
| Below median | 5 | $14 | $5 | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $4 | $3 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $6 | $4 | +$2 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xa223…0894 | No | +48 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +37 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | +29 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 05-13 07:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x072f…86b1 | No | +25 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 05-14 04:40 |
| Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-13 15:33 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x91ea…a6e5 | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 05:54 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 11:35 |
| Unusual-Belfry 0xd979…4a18 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 12:23 |
| Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 11:35 |
| Constant-Lobotomy 0x7546…b17a | Yes | +10 | $2 | $5 | 3 | 05-14 03:00 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-14 10:54 |
| Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 04:01 |
| Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 09:49 |
| Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 06:00 |
| Stark-Tourist 0x43c7…18db | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 04:01 |
| Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:19 |
| Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 09:24 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 07:21 |
| Definite-Mobster 0x4718…8ebd | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 03:02 |
| Prize-Secret 0xecaa…4fd0 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 00:00 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-14 12:19 |
| Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 07:21 |
| Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-13 19:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | +3 | $-0 | $5 | 2 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Torn-Semicolon 0xfd9b…96bf | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 12:19:24 | Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xa87f36… |
| 05-14 12:19:17 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0xd570ab… |
| 05-14 11:35:37 | Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x0a7be4… |
| 05-14 11:35:19 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xbdcbb8… |
| 05-14 10:54:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 75¢ | $3 | 0xfaf4ca… |
| 05-14 09:59:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x6c48e5… |
| 05-14 09:49:16 | Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x5963d4… |
| 05-14 06:00:59 | Reflecting-Ancestor 0xc9d9…07e7 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x14ec1e… |
| 05-14 05:54:22 | (anonymous) 0x91ea…a6e5 | No | BUY | 13 | 75¢ | $10 | 0x6430e3… |
| 05-14 05:10:46 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0xa1162c… |
| 05-14 04:40:03 | (anonymous) 0x072f…86b1 | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0xbefb76… |
| 05-14 04:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x072f…86b1 | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xb1330a… |
| 05-14 04:01:10 | Stark-Tourist 0x43c7…18db | No | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xaa9fff… |
| 05-14 04:01:07 | Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x9c169c… |
| 05-14 03:05:00 | (anonymous) 0x072f…86b1 | No | BUY | 12 | 78¢ | $10 | 0x49fbf1… |
| 05-14 03:02:03 | Definite-Mobster 0x4718…8ebd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x6ae35a… |
| 05-14 03:00:18 | Constant-Lobotomy 0x7546…b17a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xcb1d35… |
| 05-14 02:56:13 | Constant-Lobotomy 0x7546…b17a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x0aa53f… |
| 05-14 02:42:22 | Constant-Lobotomy 0x7546…b17a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xa56912… |
| 05-14 00:00:06 | Prize-Secret 0xecaa…4fd0 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x215faf… |
| 05-13 23:39:57 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x3326c3… |
| 05-13 22:12:53 | (anonymous) 0xf129…1edc | No | SELL | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0xda57ff… |
| 05-13 22:12:53 | (anonymous) 0xa223…0894 | No | BUY | 48 | 80¢ | $38 | 0x7b264f… |
| 05-13 22:12:52 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 14 | 80¢ | $11 | 0x16026f… |
| 05-13 22:07:24 | (anonymous) 0xf129…1edc | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xfc10bb… |
| 05-13 22:07:23 | (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xa1e86e… |
| 05-13 22:07:19 | (anonymous) 0xf129…1edc | No | SELL | 4 | 78¢ | $3 | 0x71ae76… |
| 05-13 22:07:17 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x90cf19… |
| 05-13 21:23:59 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x4a384b… |
| 05-13 21:23:55 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 31 | 82¢ | $26 | 0xc49ea3… |
| 05-13 21:23:11 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xee384b… |
| 05-13 20:23:55 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0x49dc9b… |
| 05-13 19:11:23 | Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xaa9cfa… |
| 05-13 15:33:36 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x11a417… |
| 05-13 12:23:17 | Unusual-Belfry 0xd979…4a18 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x3a364a… |
| 05-13 09:24:12 | Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xe5bb8b… |
| 05-13 07:21:33 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xe72d80… |
| 05-13 07:21:32 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x91f52f… |
| 05-13 07:21:32 | (anonymous) 0xb724…e886 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x0434b8… |
| 05-13 07:21:30 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x3fadf4… |
| 05-13 07:21:30 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | SELL | 0 | 29¢ | $0 | 0x37aa2e… |
| 05-13 07:21:30 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | BUY | 23 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x2dd472… |
| 05-13 07:21:28 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xe8d44c… |
| 05-13 06:36:19 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xd2771a… |
| 05-13 06:36:17 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xd5da74… |
| 05-13 04:24:12 | Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0xe5fa1b… |
| 05-13 04:17:10 | Torn-Semicolon 0xfd9b…96bf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xc17646… |