Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
45.3%
Resolved
150
Trades
1,789
lifetime
Volume
$10.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$222
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-30 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
59% 47% +$42
Sports
20% 53% +$33
Politics
17% 50% $-4
Crypto
3% 33% $-98
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -23 $-20 100¢ $-23 $-3 06-02 18:08
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -26 $-21 86¢ $-23 $-1 06-07 02:12
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No -21 $-13 100¢ $-21 $-8 06-05 06:29
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No -23 $-20 88¢ $-20 +$0 06-28 17:15
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No -22 $-12 80¢ $-18 $-6 06-10 12:39
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -27 $-16 61¢ $-17 $-1 06-15 16:57
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? No -14 $-13 100¢ $-14 $-1 06-05 06:29
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 91¢ $-11 $-1 06-02 17:24
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -36 $-12 29¢ $-10 +$2 06-25 17:39
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -13 $-10 80¢ $-10 $-0 06-05 06:08
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? No -12 $-10 82¢ $-10 $-0 06-25 18:47
Jonathan Majors as Kang? No -12 $-11 84¢ $-10 +$1 06-12 19:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -12 $-9 86¢ $-10 $-1 06-11 18:23
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -17 $-11 56¢ $-10 +$2 06-30 18:00
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +10 $9 80¢ $8 $-1 06-13 04:42
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? No -8 $-4 44¢ $-3 +$1 06-04 18:31
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-2 72¢ $-3 $-0 06-21 09:18
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -5 $-3 42¢ $-2 +$1 06-05 06:07
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -0 $-0 86¢ $-0 $-0 06-05 06:05