Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
45.3%
Resolved
150
Trades
1,799
lifetime
Volume
$10.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$188
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-17 10:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
59% 47% +$42
Sports
20% 53% +$33
Politics
17% 50% $-4
Crypto
3% 33% $-98
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -26 $-21 84¢ $-22 $-1 06-07 02:12
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -27 $-16 80¢ $-22 $-6 06-15 16:57
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No -23 $-20 94¢ $-21 $-1 06-28 17:15
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -29 $-19 67¢ $-19 $-0 07-17 10:33
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -23 $-17 77¢ $-18 $-1 07-17 10:33
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No -22 $-12 76¢ $-17 $-5 06-10 12:39
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine? No -31 $-13 40¢ $-13 +$0 07-17 10:35
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? No -12 $-10 88¢ $-11 $-1 06-25 18:47
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-11 $-1 06-02 17:24
Jonathan Majors as Kang? No -12 $-11 88¢ $-11 +$0 06-12 19:02
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -13 $-10 79¢ $-10 $-0 06-05 06:08
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -12 $-9 86¢ $-10 $-1 06-11 18:23
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -5 $-3 37¢ $-2 +$1 06-05 06:07
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -0 $-0 86¢ $-0 $-0 06-05 06:05