Assured-Warming — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$664

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

8,068

Trades

16,995

lifetime

Volume

$27.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-19 22:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

99% 34% +$684

Sports

1% 66% -$18

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in warsaw on april 6 2026 14c	11	$96	49	49	+0	No	+$2	04-06 23:37
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 10c	9	$71	37	36	+0	No	+$2	04-02 00:18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11?	2	$69	100	100	+0	Yes	+$66	05-11 08:30
crint ind usa 2026 02 07	3	$62	187	167	+20	India	+$42	02-07 14:47
val ag1 xlg 2026 02 07	8	$58	60	40	+20	All Gamers	+$13	02-07 15:53
highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 10c	8	$56	29	29	+0	No	+$2	04-07 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 10?	4	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	+$44	05-11 00:49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on May 13?	2	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	+$45	05-13 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 12?	2	$54	50	50	+0	Yes	+$44	05-12 23:28
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?	5	$53	50	50	+0	No	+$43	05-12 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?	2	$53	50	50	+0	Yes	+$45	05-08 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	8	$53	50	50	+0	Yes	+$45	05-13 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 11?	12	$52	110	110	+0	No	+$31	05-11 09:19
highest temperature in austin on april 5 2026 72 73f	19	$50	53	0	+53	No	+$3	04-05 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 13?	4	$50	50	50	+0	Yes	+$45	05-13 17:10
cs2 imp11 9z 2026 02 07	11	$47	77	37	+40	9z	+$14	02-07 17:38
lol ns dnf 2026 02 07	5	$47	60	40	+20	DN Freecs	+$12	02-07 13:39
highest temperature in houston on april 5 2026 76forhigher	9	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	04-06 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?	6	$46	50	50	+0	Yes	+$40	05-13 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 12?	2	$45	50	50	+0	No	+$35	05-12 02:04
hok agsp hero 2026 02 07	10	$44	48	26	+22	Hero JiuJing	+$8	02-07 08:39
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 5 2026 28c	6	$44	23	23	+0	No	+$2	04-05 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	2	$44	50	50	+0	Yes	+$39	05-13 08:03
cbb no houbap 2026 02 14	7	$43	30	40	-10	Houston Christian Huskies	+$4	02-14 23:53
highest temperature in atlanta on april 2 2026 86 87f	6	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	04-02 23:31
highest temperature in chengdu on april 6 2026 24c	5	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	04-06 15:48
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 14c	10	$42	23	23	+0	No	-$2	04-03 12:50
highest temperature in busan on april 5 2026 18c	10	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	04-05 11:25
highest temperature in miami on april 2 2026 76 77f	5	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	04-02 15:02
highest temperature in warsaw on april 6 2026 13c	11	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$2	04-06 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 22:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc5ecf6…
06-19 22:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf2309e…
06-19 14:47:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa39c81…
06-19 14:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x1337f3…
06-19 11:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xc36266…
06-19 11:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xedebc9…
06-19 11:17:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbba3ec…
06-19 11:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x82eb69…
06-19 09:40:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe2f731…
06-19 09:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x4304da…
06-19 09:01:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x07195a…
06-19 09:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8bb9df…
06-19 09:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x004fba…
06-19 08:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x8c5c99…
06-19 08:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x3f630c…
06-19 08:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc0b4d6…
06-19 06:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8981db…
06-19 05:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc6b005…
06-19 05:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6489ba…
06-19 05:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xdf937a…
06-19 05:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 19?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x387d7f…
06-19 05:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xb044f2…
06-19 05:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x296f91…
06-19 04:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8d2ef7…
06-19 04:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xcda561…
06-19 03:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x20e8ff…
06-19 03:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa7330e…
06-19 02:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x74360d…
06-19 02:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcacd8b…
06-19 02:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3910df…
06-19 02:04:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x01725f…
06-19 00:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x7d0f8a…
06-19 00:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x9fda12…
06-19 00:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xb723e7…
06-19 00:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x42542f…
06-19 00:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x56eb0b…
06-19 00:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x6577af…
06-19 00:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x20a765…
06-18 23:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x8fb88f…
06-18 23:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x8a2058…
06-18 23:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 19?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x8bdfcd…
06-18 15:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7e0139…
06-18 15:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xa9987d…
06-18 15:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x163ec7…
06-18 15:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x6f37fb…
06-18 15:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x2275d2…
06-18 15:04:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc7112b…
06-18 14:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x387bb5…
06-18 14:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbdfebc…
06-18 13:53:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xb8a921…
06-18 13:53:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe971fb…
06-18 13:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0fe209…
06-18 13:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3e8226…
06-18 12:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0b3573…
06-18 12:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x71744d…
06-18 12:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x849a0a…
06-18 12:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb87f9f…
06-18 12:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x2e04c7…
06-18 12:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1d2861…
06-18 12:24:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x681d6d…
06-18 12:20:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x382e0a…
06-18 11:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa7f1fd…
06-18 11:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x66fea0…
06-18 11:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x9e79f6…
06-18 11:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7fef6f…
06-18 11:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5b3527…
06-18 11:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x74e802…
06-18 11:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x65d16c…
06-18 10:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf70559…
06-18 10:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x622d5e…
06-18 09:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5a3cfb…
06-18 09:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x234dee…
06-18 09:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x39084a…
06-18 08:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x12ed92…
06-18 08:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x198656…
06-18 08:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe33243…
06-18 08:15:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8ae80c…
06-18 08:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x9ce9a1…
06-18 07:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x61121d…
06-18 07:32:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x350523…
06-18 07:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x67d292…
06-18 07:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x0d575b…
06-18 07:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x2a8dfa…
06-18 06:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x51fd9f…
06-18 06:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xee5f28…
06-18 06:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x713e02…
06-18 05:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe8c82b…
06-18 05:25:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2f8e34…
06-18 05:24:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xaa5415…
06-18 05:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x0681e3…
06-18 05:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x45eeb4…
06-18 04:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb30364…
06-18 04:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x319e8c…
06-18 04:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x52f0f8…
06-18 04:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xaf80ce…
06-18 04:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x0888d2…
06-18 04:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x45a7b2…
06-18 03:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x67804a…
06-18 03:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x89f215…
06-18 03:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe4a7a0…