Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?
open
Total volume
$474
$1,256 in 24h
Trades
65
Unique wallets
48
Liquidity
$2,030
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 05:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $100 | $100 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 44 | $67 | $274 | $207 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $5 | $111 | $106 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $13 | $210 | $197 |
| Median | 8 | $4 | $27 | $23 |
| Below median | 10 | $13 | $16 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $17 | $15 | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disgusting-Elongation 0x1a2b…bf2a | No | +213 | $181 | $181 | 1 | 05-13 04:14 |
| Trusting-Shootdown 0x92b2…31c9 | Yes | +139 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-12 22:31 |
| Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | +80 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Granular-Purse 0xee24…bd15 | Yes | +72 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 02:54 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +70 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-11 15:27 |
| Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | +67 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 03:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ea8…d76e | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:06 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-12 21:07 |
| Sleepy-Widget 0x749d…4cc1 | Yes | +28 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 23:18 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-12 10:27 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 05-12 05:05 |
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | +19 | $1 | $5 | 2 | 05-13 03:08 |
| Fragrant-Guitar 0x87de…c545 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-11 22:53 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-13 01:48 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-13 05:03 |
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 04:46 |
| Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-12 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e65…1c87 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 15:28 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 10:22 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Sneaky-Food 0x189d…51d3 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1f5…a261 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-13 05:17 |
| Well-To-Do-Touch 0xb318…088c | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-13 04:49 |
| Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:07 |
| Beloved-Knitting 0xd5ee…e90b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:33 |
| Mature-Melatonin 0x89b6…886e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 13:33 |
| Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 00:33 |
| Worried-Reinscription-Deduction 0x6d75…4f96 | No | +5 | $5 | $15 | 2 | 05-13 02:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 15:28 |
| Mindless-Integrity 0x8431…6291 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:01 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:08 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 05:17:24 | (anonymous) 0xf1f5…a261 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x44a9f3… |
| 05-13 05:08:44 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x94ff77… |
| 05-13 05:03:38 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xbd0e05… |
| 05-13 05:03:10 | Cheerful-Max 0x2baa…c5bd | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x88cac0… |
| 05-13 04:49:18 | Well-To-Do-Touch 0xb318…088c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3609fa… |
| 05-13 04:46:02 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 12 | 91¢ | $11 | 0xbf2a27… |
| 05-13 04:23:33 | (anonymous) 0xf1f5…a261 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xb088d8… |
| 05-13 04:14:18 | Disgusting-Elongation 0x1a2b…bf2a | No | BUY | 213 | 85¢ | $181 | 0x6ba577… |
| 05-13 04:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xf1f5…a261 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x91ca71… |
| 05-13 03:57:37 | Right-Union 0xd361…353a | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x4d4cc0… |
| 05-13 03:42:34 | Well-To-Do-Touch 0xb318…088c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xea292a… |
| 05-13 03:08:51 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | SELL | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa93673… |
| 05-13 02:54:02 | Granular-Purse 0xee24…bd15 | Yes | BUY | 72 | 15¢ | $11 | 0xe2b9be… |
| 05-13 02:39:05 | Worried-Reinscription-Deduction 0x6d75…4f96 | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x25c402… |
| 05-13 01:48:18 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa7ec6c… |
| 05-13 01:31:42 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6ea34d… |
| 05-13 01:16:09 | Worried-Reinscription-Deduction 0x6d75…4f96 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x2449e9… |
| 05-13 01:02:16 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0bac9a… |
| 05-12 22:33:17 | Beloved-Knitting 0xd5ee…e90b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0f2689… |
| 05-12 22:31:32 | Trusting-Shootdown 0x92b2…31c9 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xee63c3… |
| 05-12 22:26:35 | Trusting-Shootdown 0x92b2…31c9 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xfb191c… |
| 05-12 21:07:55 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x51332d… |
| 05-12 21:07:55 | Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x87e1e4… |
| 05-12 21:06:01 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x05323e… |
| 05-12 21:06:01 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfd3dde… |
| 05-12 21:06:01 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7bba90… |
| 05-12 21:06:01 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8bc3d5… |
| 05-12 21:06:00 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x684113… |
| 05-12 21:06:00 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xfccbee… |
| 05-12 20:30:46 | Unwritten-Tabletop 0x589e…5bf8 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x127165… |
| 05-12 18:56:49 | Corrupt-Drawing 0xd2e5…6fe6 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb4e171… |
| 05-12 18:31:46 | Harmless-Modeling 0x47e3…7d5d | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x47758b… |
| 05-12 17:46:33 | Barren-Vendor 0x2cb6…3ac2 | No | SELL | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x32aa17… |
| 05-12 17:27:16 | Sneaky-Food 0x189d…51d3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe90302… |
| 05-12 17:16:36 | Trusting-Shootdown 0x92b2…31c9 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x059376… |
| 05-12 16:32:07 | Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x88bc20… |
| 05-12 16:26:59 | Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8192dd… |
| 05-12 16:01:24 | Mindless-Integrity 0x8431…6291 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xdc09d6… |
| 05-12 15:33:09 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | BUY | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0xf146e8… |
| 05-12 14:02:52 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x04a723… |
| 05-12 11:52:30 | Critical-Herring 0x3b82…b217 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x5e1377… |
| 05-12 10:27:34 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xca8c25… |
| 05-12 10:22:31 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x1add1b… |
| 05-12 10:12:33 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xc81ae7… |
| 05-12 10:12:31 | Well-To-Do-Touch 0xb318…088c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xdccf8b… |
| 05-12 07:46:22 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd39b95… |
| 05-12 05:05:55 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xe0af32… |
| 05-12 05:00:54 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x3e334e… |
| 05-12 03:48:44 | Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 15¢ | $10 | 0xc6112c… |
| 05-12 01:23:33 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x58c08a… |
| 05-12 01:13:31 | Harmless-Modeling 0x47e3…7d5d | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x758fa6… |
| 05-12 00:33:18 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x0b087d… |
| 05-12 00:08:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x28cc86… |
| 05-12 00:08:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xdd125f… |
| 05-12 00:08:23 | Lined-Disco 0x1cff…e0b6 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 15¢ | $12 | 0x95d679… |
| 05-12 00:06:17 | (anonymous) 0x1ea8…d76e | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xfdea97… |
| 05-11 23:18:55 | Sleepy-Widget 0x749d…4cc1 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xfda44d… |
| 05-11 22:53:15 | Fragrant-Guitar 0x87de…c545 | No | BUY | 17 | 87¢ | $15 | 0xb58bf9… |
| 05-11 15:28:38 | (anonymous) 0x6e65…1c87 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xe03cec… |
| 05-11 15:28:35 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xf76f94… |
| 05-11 15:27:58 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 14 | 89¢ | $12 | 0x49e70b… |
| 05-11 15:27:00 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 56 | 85¢ | $48 | 0x1936fb… |
| 05-11 13:33:12 | Mature-Melatonin 0x89b6…886e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xb7e364… |
| 05-11 10:22:20 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xc2e047… |
| 05-11 09:59:17 | Idle-Fourths 0x2acf…f9bb | Yes | BUY | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x10a82d… |