Wilted-Goodbye — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

+$39

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

17,680

lifetime

Volume

$248.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$333

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 16:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

84% — —

Crypto

15% 64% +$24

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 340 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	+228	$201	98¢	$222	+$21	05-30 21:05
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+103	$82	94¢	$96	+$14	06-08 06:19
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	+26	$11	56¢	$15	+$3	05-30 22:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in toronto on march 11 2026 7c	13	$4.2K	2,284	2,284	+0	open	—	03-11 23:39
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 42 43f	33	$1.7K	929	765	+164	open	—	03-11 21:56
highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 60 61f	42	$1.6K	846	798	+49	open	—	03-11 22:39
bitcoin up or down on february 28	21	$1.5K	778	780	-2	open	—	02-28 14:55
highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 62 63f	67	$1.4K	742	742	+0	open	—	03-11 02:22
highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 76 77f	49	$1.3K	685	685	+0	open	—	03-25 21:39
highest temperature in london on march 5 2026 12corbelow	16	$1.3K	717	625	+93	open	—	03-05 06:54
highest temperature in chicago on march 3 2026 38 39f	54	$1.3K	690	690	+0	open	—	03-03 17:52
highest temperature in toronto on march 11 2026 0corbelow	20	$1.2K	614	614	+0	open	—	03-10 01:10
highest temperature in dallas on march 7 2026 60 61f	12	$1.2K	911	300	+611	open	—	03-07 05:53
highest temperature in wellington on february 26 2026 15c	68	$1.1K	795	373	+422	open	—	02-25 09:07
highest temperature in miami on march 6 2026 73forbelow	8	$1.1K	609	457	+152	open	—	03-05 08:19
highest temperature in chicago on march 3 2026 36 37f	47	$1.0K	530	510	+20	open	—	03-03 03:43
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 16 2026 36corhigher	11	$984	509	509	+0	open	—	02-16 20:22
highest temperature in dallas on march 7 2026 52 53f	9	$972	492	492	+0	open	—	03-06 21:16
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 39forbelow	15	$959	484	484	+0	open	—	03-10 00:32
highest temperature in wellington on february 26 2026 16c	132	$958	515	484	+31	open	—	02-25 09:08
highest temperature in dallas on february 17 2026 82 83f	52	$938	742	237	+505	open	—	02-16 19:56
highest temperature in ankara on march 11 2026 6corbelow	24	$931	469	469	+0	open	—	03-10 11:29
highest temperature in toronto on march 6 2026 neg 2c	18	$928	468	468	+0	open	—	03-05 17:14
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 24 2026 39c	16	$923	563	378	+184	open	—	02-24 09:45
highest temperature in dallas on march 7 2026 54 55f	17	$912	459	459	+0	open	—	03-07 05:51
highest temperature in dallas on march 7 2026 50 51f	8	$902	456	456	+0	open	—	03-05 11:14
highest temperature in dallas on march 11 2026 59forbelow	12	$897	453	453	+0	open	—	03-09 22:10
highest temperature in seattle on february 20 2026 38 39f	30	$888	471	471	+0	open	—	02-20 20:55
highest temperature in toronto on february 15 2026 neg 4c	25	$876	867	759	+108	open	—	02-14 02:44
highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 58 59f	14	$844	425	425	+0	open	—	03-11 20:55
highest temperature in chicago on february 20 2026 37forbelow	52	$835	432	430	+2	open	—	02-20 04:31
highest temperature in toronto on february 15 2026 neg 3c	19	$823	365	472	-107	open	—	02-15 01:36
highest temperature in dallas on march 11 2026 62 63f	24	$813	410	410	+0	open	—	03-10 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:33:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	85	3¢	$3	0x7ca350…
06-09 06:00:49	lol we blg 2026 06 13 game handicap home 2pt5	Team WE	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xca7d7b…
06-08 11:42:15	lol al blg 2026 06 08 total games 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x023c94…
06-08 06:19:58	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	87¢	$139	0x255297…
06-08 03:58:21	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x26ae61…
06-08 00:01:57	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	86¢	$56	0x3ea79b…
06-07 23:22:13	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2bf4fe…
06-07 12:59:34	lol al blg 2026 06 08 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x914dd8…
06-07 11:30:48	lol tes we 2026 06 07 total games 4pt5	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1faf21…
06-07 11:15:30	lol tes we 2026 06 07 total games 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x521517…
06-07 09:47:13	btc updown 5m 1780825500	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x7d7c01…
06-07 09:42:54	btc updown 5m 1780825200	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x7214ed…
06-07 09:26:40	btc updown 5m 1780824300	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x8acd14…
06-07 09:21:13	btc updown 5m 1780824000	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xd1656f…
06-07 09:16:39	btc updown 5m 1780823700	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x6550f5…
06-07 09:12:46	btc updown 5m 1780823400	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x24c3a1…
06-07 09:01:42	btc updown 5m 1780822800	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x8bbefa…
06-07 08:57:06	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xd9b07b…
06-07 08:53:01	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x2e3a66…
06-07 08:31:19	btc updown 5m 1780821000	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x492711…
06-06 14:53:30	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x15fd7e…
06-06 11:01:03	btc updown 5m 1780743600	Down	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x13afdf…
06-06 10:56:16	btc updown 5m 1780743300	Down	BUY	24	70¢	$16	0xe99686…
06-06 10:47:49	btc updown 5m 1780742700	Down	BUY	23	67¢	$16	0x1e62e2…
06-06 10:36:15	btc updown 5m 1780742100	Down	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0xa9e4f1…
06-06 10:21:10	btc updown 5m 1780741200	Down	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xc61406…
06-06 10:11:28	btc updown 5m 1780740600	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xa439af…
06-06 10:06:19	btc updown 5m 1780740300	Down	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x8afefb…
06-06 09:47:10	btc updown 5m 1780739100	Down	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0x72c5bd…
06-06 09:31:12	btc updown 5m 1780738200	Down	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xcf898d…
06-06 09:07:16	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Down	BUY	26	64¢	$16	0xa24b0f…
06-06 08:46:06	btc updown 5m 1780735500	Down	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x972886…
06-06 08:36:09	btc updown 5m 1780734900	Down	BUY	25	67¢	$16	0x36ef8d…
06-06 03:17:06	lol tes we 2026 06 07 total games 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x256a05…
06-06 03:16:54	lol tes we 2026 06 07 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x37ff22…
06-06 02:51:03	btc updown 5m 1780714200	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xda61a6…
06-06 02:41:49	btc updown 5m 1780713600	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xa19492…
06-06 02:36:25	btc updown 5m 1780713300	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x691223…
06-06 02:21:27	btc updown 5m 1780712400	Up	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0xf1c891…
06-06 02:16:27	btc updown 5m 1780712100	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x257c9a…
06-06 02:11:10	btc updown 5m 1780711800	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xe1c2a7…
06-06 02:07:58	btc updown 5m 1780711500	Up	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0x8d6d54…
06-06 02:06:03	btc updown 5m 1780711500	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0xdb8bbf…
06-06 02:01:03	btc updown 5m 1780711200	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x880052…
06-06 01:56:43	btc updown 5m 1780710900	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x155ea8…
06-06 01:52:03	btc updown 5m 1780710600	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x6055f8…
06-06 01:46:03	btc updown 5m 1780710300	Up	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0x24dde4…
06-06 01:41:52	btc updown 5m 1780710000	Down	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xb8750f…
06-06 00:51:34	btc updown 5m 1780707000	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x382889…
06-06 00:41:25	btc updown 5m 1780706400	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x4d666b…
06-06 00:31:28	btc updown 5m 1780705800	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x8a1b21…
06-06 00:26:36	btc updown 5m 1780705500	Up	BUY	33	59¢	$19	0xf50cb0…
06-06 00:21:12	btc updown 5m 1780705200	Up	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x23defb…
06-06 00:11:03	btc updown 5m 1780704600	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xb88706…
06-06 00:07:27	btc updown 5m 1780704300	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x477e01…
06-05 23:46:28	btc updown 5m 1780703100	Down	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x106b53…
06-05 23:41:31	btc updown 5m 1780702800	Up	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0x0cb58b…
06-05 23:27:52	btc updown 5m 1780701900	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x23bdc6…
06-05 23:21:54	btc updown 5m 1780701600	Up	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0xadcff7…
06-05 23:21:12	btc updown 5m 1780701600	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x39c9a9…
06-05 23:11:10	btc updown 5m 1780701000	Up	BUY	33	56¢	$18	0x9ca928…
06-05 23:07:34	btc updown 5m 1780700700	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x2183f0…
06-05 23:07:27	btc updown 5m 1780700700	Up	BUY	33	56¢	$18	0x635be4…
06-05 23:02:34	btc updown 5m 1780700400	Up	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0xf14a6a…
06-05 23:02:09	btc updown 5m 1780700400	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xffc00f…
06-05 22:51:58	btc updown 5m 1780699800	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x9f232f…
06-05 22:36:04	btc updown 5m 1780698900	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xd18595…
06-05 22:31:34	btc updown 5m 1780698600	Up	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0x572c63…
06-05 22:31:12	btc updown 5m 1780698600	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x4f57b8…
06-05 22:27:46	btc updown 5m 1780698300	Up	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0x6823ef…
06-05 22:26:58	btc updown 5m 1780698300	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x81551e…
06-05 22:21:25	btc updown 5m 1780698000	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xc0f759…
06-05 22:21:09	btc updown 5m 1780698000	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x366a76…
06-05 22:16:15	btc updown 5m 1780697700	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x71d1d0…
06-05 22:11:04	btc updown 5m 1780697400	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xf7805d…
06-05 22:06:06	btc updown 5m 1780697100	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x7b7ee0…
06-05 21:56:42	btc updown 5m 1780696500	Down	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x74a3cc…
06-05 21:46:16	btc updown 5m 1780695900	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xd642e3…
06-05 21:41:03	btc updown 5m 1780695600	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x8fdafc…
06-05 21:32:25	btc updown 5m 1780695000	Down	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0xaafbe1…
06-05 21:26:25	btc updown 5m 1780694700	Up	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0xa5a88f…
06-05 21:21:27	btc updown 5m 1780694400	Down	BUY	12	61¢	$8	0xc29c00…
06-05 21:16:33	btc updown 5m 1780694100	Down	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x0dac45…
06-05 21:16:12	btc updown 5m 1780694100	Up	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xdfc646…
06-05 21:11:04	btc updown 5m 1780693800	Down	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xfaca84…
06-05 21:06:36	btc updown 5m 1780693500	Down	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x2c6a60…
06-05 21:01:07	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0xe98dce…
06-05 20:46:18	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xc9e4a8…
06-05 20:46:12	btc updown 5m 1780692300	Up	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0x392be9…
06-05 20:41:10	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xa8c498…
06-05 20:21:49	btc updown 5m 1780690800	Down	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x4f4e29…
06-05 20:16:39	btc updown 5m 1780690500	Down	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x0e9881…
06-05 20:16:27	btc updown 5m 1780690500	Up	BUY	33	44¢	$15	0x7992b3…
06-05 20:01:54	btc updown 5m 1780689600	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xd9cbe6…
06-05 19:56:37	btc updown 5m 1780689300	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x8b79d1…
06-05 19:36:28	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x7f55d6…
06-05 19:36:13	btc updown 5m 1780688100	Up	BUY	33	53¢	$18	0x35d0e0…
06-05 19:17:09	btc updown 5m 1780686900	Down	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x7355ab…
06-05 19:12:49	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x12b77f…
06-05 19:11:51	btc updown 5m 1780686600	Up	BUY	34	52¢	$17	0xd655bd…