Wilted-Goodbye — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

17,736

lifetime

Volume

$249.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-02 22:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

84% — —

Crypto

15% 64% +$24

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in toronto on march 11 2026 7c	13	$4.2K	2,284	2,284	+0	open	—	03-11 23:39
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 42 43f	33	$1.7K	929	765	+164	open	—	03-11 21:56
highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 60 61f	42	$1.6K	846	798	+49	open	—	03-11 22:39
bitcoin up or down on february 28	21	$1.5K	778	780	-2	open	—	02-28 14:55
highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 62 63f	67	$1.4K	742	742	+0	open	—	03-11 02:22
highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 76 77f	49	$1.3K	685	685	+0	open	—	03-25 21:39
highest temperature in london on march 5 2026 12corbelow	16	$1.3K	717	625	+93	open	—	03-05 06:54
highest temperature in chicago on march 3 2026 38 39f	54	$1.3K	690	690	+0	open	—	03-03 17:52
highest temperature in toronto on march 11 2026 0corbelow	20	$1.2K	614	614	+0	open	—	03-10 01:10
highest temperature in dallas on march 7 2026 60 61f	12	$1.2K	911	300	+611	open	—	03-07 05:53
highest temperature in wellington on february 26 2026 15c	68	$1.1K	795	373	+422	open	—	02-25 09:07
highest temperature in miami on march 6 2026 73forbelow	8	$1.1K	609	457	+152	open	—	03-05 08:19
highest temperature in chicago on march 3 2026 36 37f	47	$1.0K	530	510	+20	open	—	03-03 03:43
highest temperature in sao paulo on february 16 2026 36corhigher	11	$984	509	509	+0	open	—	02-16 20:22
highest temperature in dallas on march 7 2026 52 53f	9	$972	492	492	+0	open	—	03-06 21:16
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 39forbelow	15	$959	484	484	+0	open	—	03-10 00:32
highest temperature in wellington on february 26 2026 16c	132	$958	515	484	+31	open	—	02-25 09:08
highest temperature in dallas on february 17 2026 82 83f	52	$938	742	237	+505	open	—	02-16 19:56
highest temperature in ankara on march 11 2026 6corbelow	24	$931	469	469	+0	open	—	03-10 11:29
highest temperature in toronto on march 6 2026 neg 2c	18	$928	468	468	+0	open	—	03-05 17:14
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 24 2026 39c	16	$923	563	378	+184	open	—	02-24 09:45
highest temperature in dallas on march 7 2026 54 55f	17	$912	459	459	+0	open	—	03-07 05:51
highest temperature in dallas on march 7 2026 50 51f	8	$902	456	456	+0	open	—	03-05 11:14
highest temperature in dallas on march 11 2026 59forbelow	12	$897	453	453	+0	open	—	03-09 22:10
highest temperature in seattle on february 20 2026 38 39f	30	$888	471	471	+0	open	—	02-20 20:55
highest temperature in toronto on february 15 2026 neg 4c	25	$876	867	759	+108	open	—	02-14 02:44
highest temperature in atlanta on march 12 2026 58 59f	14	$844	425	425	+0	open	—	03-11 20:55
highest temperature in chicago on february 20 2026 37forbelow	52	$835	432	430	+2	open	—	02-20 04:31
highest temperature in toronto on february 15 2026 neg 3c	19	$823	365	472	-107	open	—	02-15 01:36
highest temperature in dallas on march 11 2026 62 63f	24	$813	410	410	+0	open	—	03-10 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 22:24:53	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0x1d4674…
07-27 19:58:49	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0xfeff23…
07-27 11:09:57	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0xe9a6c4…
07-26 10:48:13	lol tt edg 2026 07 26	ThunderTalk Gaming	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xfdd141…
07-26 10:33:09	lol tt edg 2026 07 26	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x62b228…
07-18 14:15:00	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0xd5836b…
07-18 10:45:00	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xef0ae0…
07-17 12:45:49	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	79¢	$17	0x914be4…
07-16 18:32:37	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x066a3f…
07-16 18:30:14	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	63¢	$38	0x1390d2…
07-15 08:21:13	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x8a0b09…
07-08 09:41:49	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	49¢	$22	0x2d9241…
07-07 22:45:07	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 total games 4pt5	Under	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x79e135…
07-07 21:05:28	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 total games 4pt5	Under	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x32e610…
07-07 21:05:10	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 total games 4pt5	Under	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6ee546…
07-07 21:02:28	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 total games 4pt5	Under	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa0a739…
06-26 14:30:26	Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0xc8e5ef…
06-26 13:31:39	btc updown 5m 1782480600	Up	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0xca3d9d…
06-26 13:01:07	btc updown 5m 1782478800	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xa21f17…
06-26 12:01:20	btc updown 5m 1782475200	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x43043e…
06-26 03:07:10	btc updown 5m 1782443100	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xcf584c…
06-24 17:44:28	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x6610bf…
06-24 16:51:11	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xdce1e5…
06-24 16:51:10	btc updown 5m 1782319800	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xddd8cd…
06-24 16:46:52	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xe527fc…
06-22 12:29:19	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xa9971d…
06-19 21:44:10	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0xfe8e4f…
06-19 18:13:52	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x8eecaa…
06-18 11:23:28	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x7a8a4f…
06-17 12:44:13	lol t1 tl2 2026 06 28 game handicap away 2pt5	Team Liquid	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xae19b3…
06-16 07:25:21	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x016190…
06-14 07:54:58	lol tes blg 2026 06 14 game handicap home 1pt5	Top Esports	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x2a519b…
06-14 06:59:18	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xb24e1c…
06-13 20:32:06	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14 total games 4pt5	Under	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x917f61…
06-13 14:18:22	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x6ee814…
06-13 14:11:33	lol tes blg 2026 06 14	Top Esports	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xeeaf81…
06-13 11:45:40	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xfc14a8…
06-13 09:28:36	lol we blg 2026 06 13 game handicap home 2pt5	Team WE	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0x94f0c7…
06-13 08:55:43	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 total games 3pt5	Under	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x53311d…
06-13 08:53:34	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game handicap away 2pt5	KT Rolster	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x98c709…
06-13 04:27:58	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x0c22b7…
06-12 17:24:01	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xd00707…
06-12 16:13:49	lol gen kt 2026 06 13 game handicap away 2pt5	KT Rolster	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb4f1a9…
06-12 05:51:42	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb6435e…
06-12 00:29:36	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	SELL	306	4¢	$13	0x48e5c3…
06-11 17:37:00	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xe9d7f0…
06-11 17:36:43	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xc090ef…
06-11 09:23:30	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 total games 4pt5	Under	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6091d2…
06-11 04:44:27	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd3e987…
06-10 17:33:40	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x2ece2f…
06-10 15:01:04	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x545655…
06-10 14:06:07	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x42112a…
06-10 14:05:24	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2cdd07…
06-09 16:33:52	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	85	3¢	$3	0x7ca350…
06-09 06:00:49	lol we blg 2026 06 13 game handicap home 2pt5	Team WE	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xca7d7b…
06-08 11:42:15	lol al blg 2026 06 08 total games 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x023c94…
06-08 06:19:58	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	87¢	$139	0x255297…
06-08 03:58:21	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x26ae61…
06-08 00:01:57	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	86¢	$56	0x3ea79b…
06-07 23:22:13	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x2bf4fe…
06-07 12:59:34	lol al blg 2026 06 08 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x914dd8…
06-07 11:30:48	lol tes we 2026 06 07 total games 4pt5	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1faf21…
06-07 11:15:30	lol tes we 2026 06 07 total games 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x521517…
06-07 09:47:13	btc updown 5m 1780825500	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x7d7c01…
06-07 09:42:54	btc updown 5m 1780825200	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x7214ed…
06-07 09:26:40	btc updown 5m 1780824300	Down	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0x8acd14…
06-07 09:21:13	btc updown 5m 1780824000	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xd1656f…
06-07 09:16:39	btc updown 5m 1780823700	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x6550f5…
06-07 09:12:46	btc updown 5m 1780823400	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x24c3a1…
06-07 09:01:42	btc updown 5m 1780822800	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x8bbefa…
06-07 08:57:06	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xd9b07b…
06-07 08:53:01	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x2e3a66…
06-07 08:31:19	btc updown 5m 1780821000	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x492711…
06-06 14:53:30	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x15fd7e…
06-06 11:01:03	btc updown 5m 1780743600	Down	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0x13afdf…
06-06 10:56:16	btc updown 5m 1780743300	Down	BUY	24	70¢	$16	0xe99686…
06-06 10:47:49	btc updown 5m 1780742700	Down	BUY	23	67¢	$16	0x1e62e2…
06-06 10:36:15	btc updown 5m 1780742100	Down	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0xa9e4f1…
06-06 10:21:10	btc updown 5m 1780741200	Down	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0xc61406…
06-06 10:11:28	btc updown 5m 1780740600	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xa439af…
06-06 10:06:19	btc updown 5m 1780740300	Down	BUY	25	66¢	$16	0x8afefb…
06-06 09:47:10	btc updown 5m 1780739100	Down	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0x72c5bd…
06-06 09:31:12	btc updown 5m 1780738200	Down	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xcf898d…
06-06 09:07:16	btc updown 5m 1780736700	Down	BUY	26	64¢	$16	0xa24b0f…
06-06 08:46:06	btc updown 5m 1780735500	Down	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x972886…
06-06 08:36:09	btc updown 5m 1780734900	Down	BUY	25	67¢	$16	0x36ef8d…
06-06 03:17:06	lol tes we 2026 06 07 total games 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x256a05…
06-06 03:16:54	lol tes we 2026 06 07 total games 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x37ff22…
06-06 02:51:03	btc updown 5m 1780714200	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xda61a6…
06-06 02:41:49	btc updown 5m 1780713600	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xa19492…
06-06 02:36:25	btc updown 5m 1780713300	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x691223…
06-06 02:21:27	btc updown 5m 1780712400	Up	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0xf1c891…
06-06 02:16:27	btc updown 5m 1780712100	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x257c9a…
06-06 02:11:10	btc updown 5m 1780711800	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xe1c2a7…
06-06 02:07:58	btc updown 5m 1780711500	Up	BUY	33	64¢	$21	0x8d6d54…
06-06 02:06:03	btc updown 5m 1780711500	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0xdb8bbf…
06-06 02:01:03	btc updown 5m 1780711200	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x880052…
06-06 01:56:43	btc updown 5m 1780710900	Down	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x155ea8…
06-06 01:52:03	btc updown 5m 1780710600	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x6055f8…
06-06 01:46:03	btc updown 5m 1780710300	Up	BUY	33	62¢	$20	0x24dde4…