Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 15?
open
Total volume
$219
$1,490 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$474
Latest YES mid
96¢
Latest NO mid
4¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 06:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $75 | — | +$75 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $103 | $12 | +$91 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $99 | — | +$99 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 3 | $37 | $6 | +$31 |
| Below median | 10 | $34 | $5 | +$29 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | +85 | $75 | $75 | 1 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Kind-Show 0xf0da…2342 | Yes | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 05-14 02:22 |
| Aggressive-Net 0xbce1…77db | No | +27 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 04:38 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +18 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-14 02:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x70d7…dbd8 | Yes | +14 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-13 04:26 |
| Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 00:06 |
| Worse-Show-Gauntlet 0x1777…4e65 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 03:59 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:52 |
| Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | Yes | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-13 05:54 |
| Essential-Tongue 0x8327…577d | Yes | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 01:42 |
| Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:02 |
| Chubby-Viability 0x443e…12e1 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 21:33 |
| Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 04:14 |
| Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 05:53 |
| Vain-Crib 0x9724…6229 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:06 |
| Intentional-Drag 0x7234…e457 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 06:11:06 | Intentional-Drag 0x7234…e457 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x2e6858… |
| 05-14 06:06:42 | Vain-Crib 0x9724…6229 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x7e8695… |
| 05-14 03:59:36 | Worse-Show-Gauntlet 0x1777…4e65 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x781715… |
| 05-14 02:22:21 | Kind-Show 0xf0da…2342 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x4be3ba… |
| 05-14 02:21:22 | Kind-Show 0xf0da…2342 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 92¢ | $30 | 0xffeb6b… |
| 05-14 02:10:13 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 90¢ | $16 | 0xdbf69c… |
| 05-14 01:42:13 | Essential-Tongue 0x8327…577d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xf2c6ca… |
| 05-14 00:06:38 | Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | BUY | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x9dfe5a… |
| 05-14 00:06:37 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0x2b733e… |
| 05-13 21:41:50 | Understated-Club 0xea1d…1b6d | No | SELL | 84 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x927033… |
| 05-13 21:40:12 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6394ce… |
| 05-13 21:33:08 | Chubby-Viability 0x443e…12e1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x61755a… |
| 05-13 21:23:11 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 88¢ | $75 | 0xdcceaa… |
| 05-13 09:26:29 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xbc909c… |
| 05-13 09:26:29 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x0b2b02… |
| 05-13 09:26:29 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x1f84c4… |
| 05-13 06:08:59 | Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xa8adf6… |
| 05-13 05:54:21 | Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xba6c53… |
| 05-13 05:53:14 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xa7d84b… |
| 05-13 05:52:53 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc3b29b… |
| 05-13 05:18:27 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x11f47d… |
| 05-13 05:12:19 | Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xd62212… |
| 05-13 05:02:26 | Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe0865a… |
| 05-13 04:38:20 | Aggressive-Net 0xbce1…77db | No | BUY | 27 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x553040… |
| 05-13 04:26:19 | (anonymous) 0x70d7…dbd8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x2b5e9f… |
| 05-13 04:14:06 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x107f90… |
| 05-13 04:14:03 | (anonymous) 0x70d7…dbd8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x88346e… |