Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or higher on May 12?
open
Total volume
$219
$1,187 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$1,344
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 10:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $18 | $169 | $151 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Median | 12 | $2 | $90 | $88 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $24 | $24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | $14 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 4 | $6 | $36 | $30 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lost-Washer 0xbba2…e5b5 | No | +54 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-10 11:51 |
| New-Vitamin 0x37e4…3b66 | No | +39 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 05-10 06:28 |
| Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:48 |
| Drafty-Pyridine 0x3da3…ee99 | No | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 23:37 |
| Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | +17 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 10:40 |
| Outlying-Register 0x1520…5278 | Yes | +17 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-11 01:00 |
| Tidy-Decoration 0x2806…13c1 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 10:31 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 06:48 |
| Exalted-Rainy 0xc705…b62f | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 09:52 |
| Witty-Transfer 0x71f6…4382 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 01:00 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 23:51 |
| Lustrous-Attraction 0x3742…b912 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 07:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 23:07 |
| Fair-Model 0xfe13…a594 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 10:25 |
| Euphoric-Spray 0xc1a0…4a06 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 00:44 |
| Clean-Sunbeam 0x7d52…c5aa | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:25 |
| Keen-Leave 0x9337…72c0 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 06:48 |
| Double-Hug 0xa689…4253 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 06:28 |
| Anchored-Controversy 0x6d23…f984 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 00:13 |
| Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 08:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x589b…0381 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 10:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:18 |
| Venerated-Wedge 0xf960…3f67 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 08:20 |
| Stormy-Zephyr 0xc878…a6f3 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 09:52 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:02 |
| Juvenile-Income 0xf600…81a9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 10:31:08 | Tidy-Decoration 0x2806…13c1 | No | BUY | 15 | 65¢ | $10 | 0xad7448… |
| 05-11 10:25:53 | (anonymous) 0xd56e…9457 | No | SELL | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x747ef4… |
| 05-11 10:25:51 | Fair-Model 0xfe13…a594 | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x5157d1… |
| 05-11 10:11:01 | Exhausted-Slaw 0xabfc…173e | No | SELL | 28 | 63¢ | $18 | 0x573344… |
| 05-11 09:52:31 | Exalted-Rainy 0xc705…b62f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x06a8c3… |
| 05-11 09:52:22 | Stormy-Zephyr 0xc878…a6f3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x4f35a4… |
| 05-11 08:20:21 | Venerated-Wedge 0xf960…3f67 | No | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x1075e8… |
| 05-11 01:00:12 | Outlying-Register 0x1520…5278 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 33¢ | $4 | 0xc9386c… |
| 05-11 01:00:07 | Witty-Transfer 0x71f6…4382 | No | BUY | 13 | 70¢ | $9 | 0x017d69… |
| 05-11 00:59:12 | Outlying-Register 0x1520…5278 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x63a2f7… |
| 05-11 00:44:13 | Euphoric-Spray 0xc1a0…4a06 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0x9f9952… |
| 05-11 00:15:08 | (anonymous) 0x5359…14cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xeb146c… |
| 05-11 00:13:14 | Anchored-Controversy 0x6d23…f984 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xe19c16… |
| 05-10 23:51:45 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 12 | 57¢ | $7 | 0x529085… |
| 05-10 23:51:45 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x00da38… |
| 05-10 23:51:45 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xf39aa6… |
| 05-10 23:37:20 | Drafty-Pyridine 0x3da3…ee99 | No | BUY | 18 | 57¢ | $10 | 0x534e2b… |
| 05-10 23:07:54 | (anonymous) 0x7903…57f6 | No | BUY | 9 | 59¢ | $5 | 0xbdc888… |
| 05-10 16:25:07 | Clean-Sunbeam 0x7d52…c5aa | No | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x5dd191… |
| 05-10 11:51:16 | Lost-Washer 0xbba2…e5b5 | No | BUY | 17 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x42cb6d… |
| 05-10 11:51:02 | Lost-Washer 0xbba2…e5b5 | No | BUY | 37 | 72¢ | $26 | 0x85fdca… |
| 05-10 10:40:18 | (anonymous) 0x589b…0381 | No | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0x3db6d5… |
| 05-10 10:40:18 | Foolhardy-Direction 0x515c…7587 | No | BUY | 17 | 72¢ | $12 | 0x7303df… |
| 05-10 09:21:54 | Juvenile-Income 0xf600…81a9 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xa6174f… |
| 05-10 09:02:25 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xe998d9… |
| 05-10 08:23:10 | Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | BUY | 4 | 71¢ | $3 | 0x8f8bef… |
| 05-10 07:18:21 | (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x671553… |
| 05-10 07:07:48 | Lustrous-Attraction 0x3742…b912 | No | BUY | 10 | 72¢ | $7 | 0x33fb66… |
| 05-10 06:48:42 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 15 | 75¢ | $11 | 0x29f1a5… |
| 05-10 06:48:14 | Keen-Leave 0x9337…72c0 | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x6641e9… |
| 05-10 06:48:10 | Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x11916f… |
| 05-10 06:28:43 | New-Vitamin 0x37e4…3b66 | No | BUY | 39 | 80¢ | $31 | 0xa960ef… |
| 05-10 06:28:41 | Double-Hug 0xa689…4253 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xb966f0… |