Tidy-Decoration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$479

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 07-08 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

44% 100% +$58

Other

29% 0% $-10

Sports

25% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No		+18	$2	26¢	$5	+$3	07-05 09:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$98	78	78	+0	Yes	+$58	05-09 08:18
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$55	71	0	+71	open	—	05-11 17:38
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	07-08 09:53
Will Cole Palmer be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	3	$33	24	24	+0	open	—	05-21 18:49
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	05-21 22:17
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 17:59
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	3	$25	32	13	+19	open	—	05-26 19:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 09:06
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	05-20 15:12
Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 00:26
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-24 11:53
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	1	$11	0	17	-17	open	—	06-13 08:11
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$10	510	0	+510	open	—	05-19 00:40
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$10	1,250	0	+1,250	Yes	$-10	05-02 10:32
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$-0	05-12 19:31
Will Noni Madueke be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 12:52
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	0	14	-14	open	—	06-06 23:37
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$9	951	0	+951	open	—	05-21 16:19
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	1	$6	35	0	+35	open	—	05-28 09:29
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	2	$6	120	120	+0	open	—	05-09 22:29
Will Harry Maguire be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-28 18:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$4	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-04 00:35
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	5	$3	55	0	+55	open	—	05-21 15:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	1	$2	18	0	+18	open	—	07-05 09:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 09:04
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	1	$2	0	11	-11	open	—	05-27 22:40
will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	07-04 21:59
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	200	0	+200	open	—	05-20 12:57
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	06-07 20:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 09:53:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb438e2…
07-05 09:44:13	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x596960…
07-04 21:59:38	will trump speak to keir starmer in july 20260626154217432	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9ca1b5…
07-03 01:21:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x31e6ed…
06-13 08:11:12	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	SELL	17	65¢	$11	0x0aea2b…
06-08 09:04:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xcb0c59…
06-08 09:04:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4a309a…
06-07 20:47:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x89493f…
06-06 23:37:04	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x2e1a69…
06-04 00:35:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x82f23d…
06-04 00:03:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x43b65a…
06-04 00:03:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe022e8…
05-28 18:14:03	Will Harry Maguire be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0b5c3b…
05-28 09:29:55	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x8ccf89…
05-27 22:40:30	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x6cfac7…
05-26 19:06:19	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x3dee99…
05-26 14:12:04	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x9483f2…
05-26 10:18:21	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xf4ee04…
05-24 11:53:05	Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xb41521…
05-22 00:26:19	Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xfac166…
05-21 23:00:01	Will Phil Foden be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x375558…
05-21 22:17:59	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x5539b5…
05-21 18:49:28	Will Cole Palmer be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0x6c0f30…
05-21 18:44:46	Will Cole Palmer be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x2e058e…
05-21 17:34:15	Will Cole Palmer be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x71bfaf…
05-21 16:19:54	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0xbe6fcb…
05-21 15:41:07	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x3f297d…
05-21 14:17:03	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x6f1755…
05-21 14:07:55	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x62395b…
05-21 13:54:15	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x8718e3…
05-21 11:59:48	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x842cc3…
05-20 15:12:53	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc51264…
05-20 12:57:44	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x9bfca1…
05-19 00:40:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf40016…
05-19 00:40:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x97d87e…
05-19 00:22:20	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x007e5d…
05-19 00:22:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x7b1d6a…
05-19 00:17:08	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xa5859e…
05-19 00:07:15	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x465a5a…
05-18 23:29:23	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9a38b1…
05-18 22:14:00	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x1dd2df…
05-18 22:13:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xd1acf1…
05-18 21:42:58	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x21b1cb…
05-18 17:59:36	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xff3f4a…
05-18 17:49:20	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x70ca22…
05-18 17:49:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x62d8e6…
05-18 17:47:37	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x6bfcb9…
05-18 17:47:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x1cf2f4…
05-15 12:52:29	Will Noni Madueke be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x5dbf5f…
05-12 19:31:51	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x2477c6…
05-12 19:28:49	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1ac710…
05-11 17:38:29	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x55afee…
05-11 15:17:24	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x860c46…
05-11 14:58:57	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x53d30a…
05-11 12:56:46	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4733ac…
05-11 11:59:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0ad48f…
05-11 11:59:03	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x3b9d62…
05-10 13:36:16	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc8b005…
05-09 22:29:18	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$4	0xd86083…
05-09 12:29:05	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0xee4503…
05-09 08:18:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x3441bb…
05-08 19:25:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x559816…
05-08 19:18:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x00e0fa…
05-03 16:23:42	Will Noni Madueke be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xab4af6…
05-02 17:59:44	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4889fb…
05-02 10:32:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x9c104c…
05-02 10:25:28	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x54a417…
05-01 09:06:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6fc6f9…
04-22 20:15:20	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x68fa27…
04-22 19:59:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x86360f…