Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 12?
open
Total volume
$168
$1,330 in 24h
Trades
39
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1,431
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 05:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 26 | $84 | $66 | +$18 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $30 | $30 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 6 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| Below median | 7 | $44 | $20 | +$24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 4 | $6 | $5 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb1a2…f366 | Yes | +80 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-10 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | +73 | $32 | $32 | 5 | 05-10 07:28 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-11 05:38 |
| Anchored-Insomnia 0x78fb…256c | No | +21 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-11 00:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dcb…96f6 | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | No | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:27 |
| Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-10 07:39 |
| Fantastic-Nightingale 0xdaaf…051b | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 09:02 |
| Keen-Leave 0x9337…72c0 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 07:27 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-10 12:36 |
| Chubby-Biopsy 0x7f85…cf2d | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 07:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x2960…5fc3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:18 |
| Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x84c2…c908 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:43 |
| Willing-Addition 0xf46b…9c9c | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 18:48 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 14:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8fc7…49b3 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:27 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:02 |
| Terrific-Hazel 0x58f7…e22f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 05:38:58 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 21 | 80¢ | $17 | 0x10ce6d… |
| 05-11 05:17:27 | Willing-Addition 0xf46b…9c9c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x3f6658… |
| 05-11 04:43:58 | (anonymous) 0x84c2…c908 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xf86a9d… |
| 05-11 00:28:45 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 0 | 72¢ | $0 | 0x4f9cc7… |
| 05-11 00:28:30 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xc83af9… |
| 05-11 00:12:11 | Anchored-Insomnia 0x78fb…256c | No | BUY | 21 | 77¢ | $16 | 0xe55325… |
| 05-10 23:17:30 | Impressionable-Skiing 0x937d…ec25 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x75a263… |
| 05-10 23:12:50 | Impressionable-Skiing 0x937d…ec25 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x1794cf… |
| 05-10 22:33:05 | Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xf7fea3… |
| 05-10 22:27:22 | Giddy-Radiosonde 0x398b…0489 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xa57834… |
| 05-10 22:27:11 | Granular-Purse 0xee24…bd15 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x37ad34… |
| 05-10 19:54:00 | (anonymous) 0xb1a2…f366 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x9e798b… |
| 05-10 19:54:00 | (anonymous) 0xb1a2…f366 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 30¢ | $12 | 0x562e27… |
| 05-10 18:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x5a6a75… |
| 05-10 14:17:22 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x917331… |
| 05-10 14:17:22 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0xcff8a7… |
| 05-10 13:20:59 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xe4c26c… |
| 05-10 12:36:46 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 1 | 64¢ | $0 | 0xcdb968… |
| 05-10 12:17:15 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xd8fbdf… |
| 05-10 10:58:01 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | No | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0x35acbb… |
| 05-10 09:13:15 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0xc3b06a… |
| 05-10 09:08:42 | Melodic-Arrow 0xc441…4ff6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xb3227c… |
| 05-10 09:02:25 | Fantastic-Nightingale 0xdaaf…051b | No | BUY | 7 | 59¢ | $4 | 0x7412dc… |
| 05-10 07:39:32 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x961946… |
| 05-10 07:39:32 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xaf1a07… |
| 05-10 07:38:55 | Chubby-Biopsy 0x7f85…cf2d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xe328aa… |
| 05-10 07:28:32 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x9f52a3… |
| 05-10 07:27:59 | Keen-Leave 0x9337…72c0 | No | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0xddff62… |
| 05-10 07:27:55 | (anonymous) 0x8fc7…49b3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x83b0b9… |
| 05-10 07:02:54 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0x736c1b… |
| 05-10 07:02:40 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x2ababc… |
| 05-10 06:52:29 | Terrific-Hazel 0x58f7…e22f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0xa9bb85… |
| 05-10 04:41:30 | (anonymous) 0x8dcb…96f6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 53¢ | $10 | 0x91f9d2… |
| 05-10 04:41:26 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 45¢ | $11 | 0x020280… |
| 05-10 04:31:30 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xb83f81… |
| 05-10 04:31:16 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x672d10… |
| 05-10 04:27:09 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 40¢ | $9 | 0x290a36… |
| 05-10 04:27:05 | Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | No | BUY | 17 | 57¢ | $10 | 0x6261d3… |
| 05-10 04:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x2960…5fc3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf0b6c1… |