Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be between 85 and 90?
closed
Total volume
$1,391
Trades
112
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-01
First seen
2026-04-24
last 04-26 18:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-9.5¢
(top1%: 84% YES on $18
vs crowd: 93% YES on $1.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $94 | $19 | +$75 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $453 | $12 | +$441 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $204 | $10 | +$195 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $277 | $33 | +$245 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $15 | $3 | +$12 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $452 | $6 | +$446 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $26 | $3 | +$23 |
| Median | 1 | $150 | — | +$150 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $29 | $29 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $43 | $3 | +$40 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $79 | $12 | +$67 |
| unranked | 4 | $263 | $7 | +$256 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | Yes | +283 | $275 | $630 | 9 | 04-26 03:49 |
| Scared-Reveal 0x11e4…2528 | Yes | +266 | $235 | $235 | 5 | 04-26 18:52 |
| Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | +190 | $150 | $150 | 10 | 04-25 01:48 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +106 | $3 | $3 | 8 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-26 02:23 |
| Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | +80 | $3 | $3 | 4 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +77 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 04-26 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +69 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 04-26 18:52 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +52 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 04-26 02:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +51 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 04-25 23:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +46 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-24 23:00 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | +32 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 04-26 17:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f5f…1a75 | Yes | +29 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 04-25 23:20 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +24 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-26 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x100a…c6ce | No | +23 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-24 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-25 07:58 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | +18 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 04-26 18:52 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 04-26 02:20 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +15 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 04-26 02:16 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-26 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x44dd…11f9 | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-26 17:43 |
| Calculating-Subsidy 0x1388…c3f2 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-24 15:30 |
| Thin-Counter 0xac5b…edef | No | +5 | $19 | $24 | 9 | 04-24 23:00 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +3 | $-11 | $13 | 2 | 04-25 01:47 |
| Shy-Bump 0x7aab…6cc0 | No | +1 | $6 | $7 | 4 | 04-24 23:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-26 18:52:34 | Scared-Reveal 0x11e4…2528 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 83¢ | $48 | 0x961c45… |
| 04-26 18:52:34 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x961c45… |
| 04-26 18:52:34 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 44 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x961c45… |
| 04-26 18:52:34 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x961c45… |
| 04-26 17:57:40 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xdfde8e… |
| 04-26 17:57:40 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xdfde8e… |
| 04-26 17:55:50 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x063440… |
| 04-26 17:55:50 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x063440… |
| 04-26 17:54:24 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0x32bd4c… |
| 04-26 17:54:24 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 15 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x32bd4c… |
| 04-26 17:43:56 | (anonymous) 0x44dd…11f9 | No | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x5efc0c… |
| 04-26 17:43:56 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x5efc0c… |
| 04-26 17:24:44 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 43 | 88¢ | $38 | 0x9ff9a6… |
| 04-26 17:24:44 | Scared-Reveal 0x11e4…2528 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 88¢ | $38 | 0x9ff9a6… |
| 04-26 03:49:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb77f55… |
| 04-26 03:49:30 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xb77f55… |
| 04-26 03:49:30 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 98¢ | $74 | 0xb77f55… |
| 04-26 02:57:26 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x052431… |
| 04-26 02:57:26 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x052431… |
| 04-26 02:57:26 | (anonymous) 0x26bf…b413 | No | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x052431… |
| 04-26 02:23:24 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x87ec1b… |
| 04-26 02:23:24 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x87ec1b… |
| 04-26 02:20:06 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x97bb94… |
| 04-26 02:20:06 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | Yes | SELL | 106 | 98¢ | $104 | 0x97bb94… |
| 04-26 02:20:06 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x97bb94… |
| 04-26 02:20:06 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 60 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x97bb94… |
| 04-26 02:16:50 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x860ddd… |
| 04-26 02:16:50 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x860ddd… |
| 04-26 02:16:40 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xf73c7b… |
| 04-26 02:16:40 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf73c7b… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | Yes | BUY | 258 | 97¢ | $250 | 0x81b25f… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x81b25f… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x81b25f… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeb0718… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x57e79b… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdf0eb6… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xdf0eb6… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xeb0718… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x81b25f… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | (anonymous) 0x26bf…b413 | No | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x81b25f… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x81b25f… |
| 04-26 02:16:38 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x57e79b… |
| 04-26 00:05:24 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1af123… |
| 04-26 00:05:24 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1af123… |
| 04-26 00:05:18 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | No | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb250b5… |
| 04-26 00:05:18 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb250b5… |
| 04-26 00:05:18 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb250b5… |
| 04-26 00:05:12 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | No | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd78cb3… |
| 04-26 00:05:12 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd78cb3… |
| 04-25 23:20:54 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0bd1d6… |
| 04-25 23:20:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x0bd1d6… |
| 04-25 23:20:54 | (anonymous) 0x2f5f…1a75 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x0bd1d6… |
| 04-25 23:12:12 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe42f82… |
| 04-25 23:12:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe42f82… |
| 04-25 23:12:12 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 78 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xe42f82… |
| 04-25 23:12:12 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe42f82… |
| 04-25 20:03:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xdd68c5… |
| 04-25 20:03:52 | Scared-Reveal 0x11e4…2528 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xdd68c5… |
| 04-25 20:03:52 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdd68c5… |
| 04-25 20:03:52 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdd68c5… |
| 04-25 20:03:52 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | No | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xdd68c5… |
| 04-25 20:03:52 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | No | BUY | 11 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xdd68c5… |
| 04-25 07:58:42 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x860971… |
| 04-25 07:58:42 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x860971… |
| 04-25 07:58:42 | Scared-Reveal 0x11e4…2528 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 93¢ | $100 | 0x860971… |
| 04-25 07:58:42 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x860971… |
| 04-25 01:48:10 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x1b3c34… |
| 04-25 01:48:10 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x1b3c34… |
| 04-25 01:47:50 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x73c189… |
| 04-25 01:47:50 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x73c189… |
| 04-24 23:00:36 | Shy-Bump 0x7aab…6cc0 | No | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xacd721… |
| 04-24 23:00:36 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xacd721… |
| 04-24 23:00:08 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 46 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbb9049… |
| 04-24 23:00:08 | Thin-Counter 0xac5b…edef | No | SELL | 46 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbb9049… |
| 04-24 23:00:02 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 78 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x41b063… |
| 04-24 23:00:02 | Thin-Counter 0xac5b…edef | No | SELL | 78 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x41b063… |
| 04-24 23:00:00 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb9a71c… |
| 04-24 23:00:00 | Upset-Estrogen 0x8bf1…2df7 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb9a71c… |
| 04-24 22:19:34 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 71¢ | $10 | 0xc336ca… |
| 04-24 22:19:34 | Upset-Estrogen 0x8bf1…2df7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x394f4f… |
| 04-24 22:19:34 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x394f4f… |
| 04-24 22:19:34 | Thin-Counter 0xac5b…edef | No | BUY | 15 | 29¢ | $4 | 0xc336ca… |
| 04-24 22:19:12 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 71¢ | $3 | 0x349e9e… |
| 04-24 22:19:12 | Shy-Bump 0x7aab…6cc0 | No | BUY | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x349e9e… |
| 04-24 22:18:52 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 71¢ | $12 | 0x03ef2d… |
| 04-24 22:18:52 | Shy-Bump 0x7aab…6cc0 | No | BUY | 17 | 29¢ | $5 | 0x03ef2d… |
| 04-24 22:18:50 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd6c462… |
| 04-24 22:18:50 | Upset-Estrogen 0x8bf1…2df7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xd6c462… |
| 04-24 22:18:48 | Thin-Counter 0xac5b…edef | No | BUY | 34 | 29¢ | $10 | 0x94d0aa… |
| 04-24 22:18:48 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 71¢ | $24 | 0x94d0aa… |
| 04-24 22:18:12 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 81¢ | $24 | 0x205bf0… |
| 04-24 22:18:12 | Thin-Counter 0xac5b…edef | No | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x205bf0… |
| 04-24 22:18:08 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3939a7… |
| 04-24 22:18:08 | Upset-Estrogen 0x8bf1…2df7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x3939a7… |
| 04-24 22:15:46 | Upset-Estrogen 0x8bf1…2df7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x356929… |
| 04-24 22:15:46 | Shy-Bump 0x7aab…6cc0 | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x356929… |
| 04-24 22:15:42 | Thin-Counter 0xac5b…edef | No | BUY | 35 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x324c94… |
| 04-24 22:15:42 | Rowdy-Position 0x3a59…c2b6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x324c94… |
| 04-24 22:15:42 | Upset-Estrogen 0x8bf1…2df7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x324c94… |
| 04-24 22:15:38 | Upset-Estrogen 0x8bf1…2df7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x35bf6c… |