Upset-Estrogen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-05 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 41% $-97

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 148 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be between 85 and 90?	9	$59	43	43	+0	open	—	04-24 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$28	40	0	+40	open	—	05-04 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$22	39	0	+39	open	—	05-04 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$22	43	0	+43	Up	+$21	05-04 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$21	36	0	+36	Down	+$15	05-05 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$21	36	0	+36	Up	+$15	05-05 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$21	34	0	+34	Down	+$13	05-05 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$21	26	0	+26	open	—	05-04 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	05-04 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	05-04 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$20	37	0	+37	open	—	05-04 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Down	+$16	05-04 20:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$20	136	0	+136	Down	$-20	05-05 02:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$20	1,960	0	+1,960	Up	$-20	05-05 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	05-04 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$19	33	0	+33	Up	$-19	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$19	53	0	+53	Down	$-19	05-05 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$19	56	0	+56	Down	$-19	05-05 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$19	36	0	+36	Up	$-19	05-05 01:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$19	43	0	+43	Up	$-19	05-05 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$19	239	0	+239	Down	$-19	05-05 07:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$19	35	0	+35	Up	$-19	05-05 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$19	50	0	+50	Up	+$30	05-05 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$19	37	0	+37	Up	+$17	05-05 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$19	37	0	+37	open	—	05-04 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$18	43	0	+43	open	—	05-04 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$18	40	0	+40	Up	$-18	05-04 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$17	36	0	+36	open	—	05-04 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$17	38	0	+38	open	—	05-04 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$16	29	0	+29	Down	+$13	05-05 04:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 09:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x13eaed…
05-05 09:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x82cab4…
05-05 09:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd1c604…
05-05 08:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	44¢	$8	0x03d70e…
05-05 08:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x483e2c…
05-05 07:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	239	8¢	$19	0xc2969c…
05-05 07:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xe376df…
05-05 07:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0x78cd1f…
05-05 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	59¢	$19	0x018d79…
05-05 06:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,170	1¢	$12	0xef48c3…
05-05 06:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0x4195d3…
05-05 06:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc817c9…
05-05 05:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1,960	1¢	$20	0x1ba956…
05-05 05:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	39¢	$19	0x108da0…
05-05 05:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	37¢	$19	0x638f10…
05-05 05:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x9901bc…
05-05 04:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x915252…
05-05 04:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	34	62¢	$21	0x3c2288…
05-05 04:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0x3af1e1…
05-05 04:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$19	0x73725d…
05-05 03:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	35¢	$19	0xe67cc0…
05-05 03:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x551747…
05-05 02:45:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x287969…
05-05 02:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	136	14¢	$20	0x71bb2d…
05-05 02:31:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	35	56¢	$19	0xdda8d0…
05-05 01:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	54¢	$19	0xfd4594…
05-04 20:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0x7f03ab…
05-04 20:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xd6f58b…
05-04 19:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x725897…
05-04 19:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x5b72a8…
05-04 19:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xb0b216…
05-04 19:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd635c6…
05-04 19:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbce5b2…
05-04 19:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x701290…
05-04 19:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x250eab…
05-04 19:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x532e5a…
05-04 18:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0x80a58c…
05-04 18:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xe717ed…
05-04 18:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x2f37c2…
05-04 18:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x9432f8…
05-04 18:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xd0f559…
05-04 18:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x30f242…
05-04 18:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xff815b…
05-04 18:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x1a281d…
05-04 18:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xfc013c…
05-04 18:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf49502…
05-04 18:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xbf715e…
05-04 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xa38a05…
05-04 18:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x85afec…
05-04 18:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x475eaa…
05-04 18:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x6eb049…
05-04 18:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x35cc34…
05-04 18:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x409a83…
05-04 18:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xe13853…
05-04 18:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8d219f…
05-04 18:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x5a8fed…
05-04 18:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xcd5a84…
05-04 18:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0xa4cd25…
05-04 17:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xdbaa5d…
05-04 17:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdc41ac…
05-04 17:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2463dc…
05-04 17:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x9cf103…
05-04 17:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x2324d3…
05-04 17:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x4ba690…
05-04 17:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xfbf061…
05-04 17:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x76fe8a…
05-04 17:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0xadad77…
05-04 17:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa70e94…
05-04 17:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa4b97f…
05-04 17:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x6eaf20…
05-04 17:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x598d89…
05-04 17:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xe5b206…
05-04 17:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x47fd47…
05-04 17:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa6041c…
05-04 17:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x9eea6f…
05-04 17:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x6bcb0e…
05-04 17:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0adb62…
05-04 17:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0xd4fc70…
05-04 17:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xd4a054…
05-04 17:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbd6713…
05-04 17:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0xe849ab…
05-04 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5374ba…
05-04 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x50c8b7…
05-04 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0c4ebd…
05-04 17:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x16972e…
05-04 17:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x5f559b…
05-04 17:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x09054c…
05-04 17:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x495a0d…
05-04 16:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x82a6a3…
05-04 16:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xdd033d…
05-04 16:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc6d49f…
05-04 16:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xb8c7ec…
05-04 16:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x71a91d…
05-04 16:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x14c3ba…
05-04 16:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0x4143dc…
05-04 16:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x8c1c12…
05-04 16:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x424fec…
05-04 16:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x7b2a82…
05-04 16:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa7f73f…
05-04 16:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd2bbe4…