Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,298

lifetime

Volume

$39.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 04-30 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

44% 18% $-22

Politics

43% 30% +$43

Tech

12% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	24	$1.9K	1,610	1,610	+0	open	—	04-19 01:47
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	13	$1.2K	764	764	+0	open	—	04-20 10:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	12	$1.2K	1,083	1,083	+0	No	+$12	04-23 19:10
Iran leadership change by April 30?	8	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-23 15:52
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	19	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-18 21:28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	16	$1.1K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-25 12:57
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	15	$1.1K	583	583	+0	open	—	04-24 02:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	20	$954	705	705	+0	open	—	04-20 13:56
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	24	$775	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-24 20:26
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	15	$773	700	800	-100	open	—	04-25 02:49
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	10	$770	698	698	+0	open	—	04-25 01:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	12	$769	800	800	+0	open	—	04-17 00:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	8	$763	600	600	+0	open	—	04-21 22:06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	10	$747	800	800	+0	open	—	04-20 21:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	16	$707	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-19 22:03
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	17	$568	400	400	+0	open	—	04-24 21:19
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	11	$543	300	300	+0	open	—	04-24 11:31
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?	23	$433	333	333	+0	open	—	04-22 14:54
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	15	$417	704	704	+0	open	—	04-22 14:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	5	$389	217	217	+0	open	—	04-18 14:56
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	5	$388	400	400	+0	open	—	04-23 13:03
James Comey arrested by May 15?	5	$386	400	400	+0	open	—	04-29 17:26
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	19	$383	350	350	+0	open	—	04-21 20:01
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	10	$382	300	300	+0	open	—	04-19 22:03
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	18	$382	400	400	+0	open	—	04-21 17:43
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$381	400	200	+200	open	—	04-16 17:14
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$381	400	400	+0	open	—	04-21 22:40
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	10	$381	310	310	+0	open	—	04-25 02:02
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	13	$378	264	264	+0	open	—	04-23 13:11
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?	19	$375	308	308	+0	open	—	04-25 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-30 07:03:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xc122c0…
04-30 05:39:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x572f94…
04-30 02:15:02	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x2c7c78…
04-30 01:48:30	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xa224fd…
04-30 01:30:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x3adb2f…
04-30 01:30:08	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xe74b08…
04-30 01:30:08	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	26	73¢	$19	0x47ebf6…
04-30 00:47:46	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x0e6e89…
04-30 00:32:18	WTT - Men's Singles: French Polynesia vs Moldova	Polynesia	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xa45c9b…
04-29 23:31:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x6d623a…
04-29 22:29:08	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	85¢	$31	0x9acafc…
04-29 22:27:00	Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x496e7b…
04-29 22:06:58	Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x984d62…
04-29 22:00:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0xd0ddfb…
04-29 21:51:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x85c717…
04-29 17:26:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xfc9bf4…
04-29 17:26:08	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xa44f0e…
04-29 17:04:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xc37220…
04-29 17:03:20	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x31bd5e…
04-29 16:14:22	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xefb311…
04-29 15:29:22	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0x3dba7d…
04-29 15:23:00	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	134	94¢	$126	0xfca333…
04-29 12:54:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xfb6459…
04-29 12:54:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	8¢	$8	0x15f6ac…
04-29 12:45:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xaa42f4…
04-29 11:54:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	7¢	$7	0x66dfa9…
04-29 09:21:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	49	5¢	$2	0x495801…
04-29 08:32:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0x145a64…
04-29 08:27:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xe89dec…
04-29 06:35:42	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xdb95b8…
04-29 06:32:06	Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x2c8d37…
04-29 02:12:48	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xe41aff…
04-29 02:02:12	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xaa7caf…
04-29 01:55:40	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xb8a457…
04-29 01:54:48	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x416ed8…
04-29 01:54:38	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x6f84c7…
04-28 23:32:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x07a49b…
04-28 21:59:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xca6a42…
04-28 14:48:44	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x807096…
04-28 14:47:20	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf80fe6…
04-26 14:53:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x40f26c…
04-26 14:46:52	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xf3b928…
04-26 14:46:50	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Warsh" this week?	No	SELL	47	76¢	$36	0x2e5c07…
04-26 14:46:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x2400bb…
04-26 14:29:32	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xc7f15a…
04-26 13:55:14	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xa62d89…
04-26 13:20:02	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Warsh" this week?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xa6a3ad…
04-26 13:16:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x711710…
04-26 11:41:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xfc01cd…
04-26 11:24:14	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x9de241…
04-26 11:13:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x44e227…
04-26 10:41:58	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xfbd39c…
04-26 09:42:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8d090e…
04-26 09:42:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x9f60ab…
04-26 09:38:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x83a8e5…
04-26 05:36:24	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x289b02…
04-26 05:22:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc6d1ad…
04-26 04:40:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x3c62f3…
04-26 04:29:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x9b9e92…
04-26 03:49:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x580d75…
04-26 03:35:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xe0bd0b…
04-26 02:57:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0xaefaa6…
04-26 02:57:26	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be between 85 and 90?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x052431…
04-26 02:57:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x57bb00…
04-26 02:16:38	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 16 be between 85 and 90?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x81b25f…
04-26 00:08:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x81ef55…
04-25 22:33:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x22da48…
04-25 21:51:06	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0xf58b9b…
04-25 20:46:14	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x1c601c…
04-25 20:40:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0x3561ae…
04-25 20:05:22	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x666b9f…
04-25 20:03:40	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x0dd29a…
04-25 19:46:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xd6c93b…
04-25 19:46:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0x9126e8…
04-25 19:46:54	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0xeb1a2b…
04-25 19:40:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb08fd7…
04-25 19:38:32	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x19cb7f…
04-25 19:21:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xd755d9…
04-25 18:21:16	Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xa86d4b…
04-25 18:02:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x68475b…
04-25 17:15:34	PAOK vs. Maroussi	Maroussi	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb8b321…
04-25 16:58:14	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xdaea3e…
04-25 16:42:10	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xf77cfe…
04-25 16:39:44	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xfabecc…
04-25 16:39:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xeac204…
04-25 16:39:42	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x9b8185…
04-25 16:38:36	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 29?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xd062ee…
04-25 16:01:54	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0x6aa911…
04-25 14:48:52	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x81aae5…
04-25 14:30:56	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x40fa61…
04-25 14:12:50	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xea7292…
04-25 14:12:42	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x04d327…
04-25 14:12:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x5b7d94…
04-25 14:11:48	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x752818…
04-25 14:11:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x7c227a…
04-25 14:11:36	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb733a7…
04-25 14:11:36	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x377f61…
04-25 14:11:34	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x34ffe2…
04-25 14:11:28	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x04c13c…
04-25 14:11:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x1ea482…