Substantial-Circulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.86K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.4%

Resolved

3,393

Trades

9,529

lifetime

Volume

$132.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-12 22:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

92% 72% -$5,979

Politics

8% 20% -$887

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$3.7K	25,803	25,803	+0	No	-$257	03-29 03:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$3.2K	6,897	6,897	+0	Yes	-$78	04-01 12:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$2.4K	13,514	13,514	+0	Yes	-$554	03-31 12:18
highest temperature in wellington on march 14 2026 17c	15	$1.8K	1,293	1,293	+0	Yes	+$371	03-14 06:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$1.6K	864	864	+0	Yes	-$40	02-28 20:39
highest temperature in atlanta on february 5 2026 46 47f	15	$1.6K	895	895	+0	No	+$228	02-06 05:28
highest temperature in paris on february 28 2026 12c	12	$1.3K	742	742	+0	No	+$165	02-28 14:13
highest temperature in paris on february 24 2026 17c	8	$1.2K	649	649	+0	No	+$136	02-24 17:59
will the highest temperature in new york city be 31 32f on february 2	24	$1.0K	962	640	+322	No	+$37	02-02 18:08
highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 11c	8	$977	494	494	+0	No	+$10	03-15 14:23
highest temperature in nyc on march 4 2026 48forhigher	32	$649	844	507	+337	Yes	-$30	03-04 17:46
highest temperature in nyc on january 27 20 21f	23	$641	655	517	+138	No	+$38	01-27 16:34
highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 8c	6	$614	354	354	+0	No	+$93	03-04 10:55
highest temperature in london on february 12 2026 11c	4	$607	307	307	+0	Yes	+$7	02-12 18:43
highest temperature in paris on march 4 2026 17c	6	$599	317	317	+0	No	+$34	03-04 13:05
highest temperature in ankara on march 12 2026 13c	17	$568	500	311	+189	No	-$181	03-12 10:19
highest temperature in seattle on february 3 2026 58 59f	6	$547	333	333	+0	No	-$25	02-04 07:39
highest temperature in seattle on february 5 2026 59forbelow	8	$514	291	291	+0	Yes	+$30	02-06 05:28
highest temperature in miami on march 6 2026 80 81f	16	$505	535	232	+303	No	-$41	03-06 16:52
highest temperature in dallas on january 30 48 49f	5	$502	453	132	+320	Yes	-$26	01-30 21:21
highest temperature in london on march 2 2026 16c	7	$487	300	300	+0	Yes	+$112	03-02 16:57
highest temperature in seattle on january 24 44 45f	14	$485	778	0	+778	Yes	-$485	01-24 21:23
highest temperature in nyc on february 28 2026 50forhigher	13	$481	412	412	+0	Yes	+$343	02-28 19:47
highest temperature in seattle on march 14 2026 40 41f	2	$480	500	0	+500	No	+$20	03-14 21:45
highest temperature in nyc on march 4 2026 44 45f	5	$456	489	0	+489	No	+$33	03-04 11:25
highest temperature in dallas on february 6 2026 82forhigher	12	$455	621	0	+621	Yes	-$455	02-06 17:30
highest temperature in ankara on february 5 2026 11c	4	$454	235	235	+0	No	+$14	02-05 18:27
highest temperature in dallas on january 25 19forbelow	30	$449	1,952	0	+1,952	No	-$449	01-25 20:06
highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 32 33f	9	$431	299	302	-3	Yes	+$170	03-03 06:39
highest temperature in chicago on february 2 30 31f	2	$428	233	233	+0	No	+$37	02-03 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 22:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf4411f…
05-12 22:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe255dd…
05-12 22:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc7bffc…
05-12 22:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa69e2b…
05-12 22:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x7c0a64…
05-12 22:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xe05863…
05-12 22:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xf89b04…
05-12 22:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x58dc1d…
05-12 22:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xbf3eff…
05-12 22:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xa887b1…
05-12 14:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x18f03b…
05-12 14:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 12?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xef3d12…
05-12 05:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 12?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$65	0xf77932…
05-12 01:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	No	SELL	97	97¢	$95	0x3581f4…
05-12 01:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x80b12f…
05-11 23:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 12?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x8c094b…
05-11 22:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 11?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xe202e2…
05-11 22:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 11?	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0x0449f1…
05-11 22:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 11?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x52f1c2…
05-11 19:26:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x1a6430…
05-11 19:26:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x71d0d3…
05-11 19:15:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc36a37…
05-11 19:15:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x8eb6ba…
05-11 19:15:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3c8cff…
05-11 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfed5aa…
05-11 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xed1f40…
05-11 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd8f282…
05-11 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xca961a…
05-11 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8ce46c…
05-11 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8210e8…
05-11 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7dec38…
05-11 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x786817…
05-11 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4bb1ff…
05-11 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4322ed…
05-11 19:15:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1274ce…
05-11 18:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 11?	No	SELL	105	97¢	$102	0x26df3f…
05-11 18:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 11?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x4f52b0…
05-11 18:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 11?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x621c4f…
05-11 18:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 11?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5829d6…
05-11 18:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 11?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4e12cf…
05-11 16:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 12?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x43e5c5…
05-11 15:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	92	96¢	$88	0x49a401…
05-11 15:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x02b754…
05-11 15:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x7ded12…
05-11 15:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0e754f…
05-11 15:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa9c3f2…
05-11 15:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x293450…
05-11 15:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xfe04af…
05-11 15:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf09ade…
05-11 15:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 12?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x36ec8a…
05-11 15:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x0454b3…
05-11 15:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8fd648…
05-11 15:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf20b0c…
05-11 15:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb1e78a…
05-11 15:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xaa97e5…
05-11 13:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 11?	No	SELL	118	98¢	$115	0x5fd772…
05-11 12:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 11?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x577186…
05-11 11:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 11?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$56	0xc10286…
05-11 10:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 11?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x3c4bca…
05-11 08:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd53524…
05-11 08:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 12?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0xcc3ff8…
05-11 08:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 12?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0xa6579a…
05-11 07:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x598937…
05-11 07:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 12?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x13ee2a…
05-11 07:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 12?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x6fab22…
05-11 07:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 12?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x593d06…
05-11 07:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 12?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0xac3eeb…
05-11 06:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 11?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xb33670…
05-11 04:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 11?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x54fced…
05-11 03:53:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x60a5d6…
05-11 03:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6155ec…
05-11 03:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x53037e…
05-11 03:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x4b97f5…
05-11 03:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 11?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xe80727…
05-11 01:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 11?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xe12e35…
05-11 01:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 11?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf0fd5e…
05-10 23:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 10?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$39	0xacf712…
05-10 20:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 10?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xa611e7…
05-10 19:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 10?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xdf8b02…
05-10 17:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 10?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0x233bd3…
05-10 11:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 10?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0xcd54cd…
05-10 09:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7b7410…
05-10 09:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xec9bf4…
05-10 09:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe67ccf…
05-10 09:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa307f8…
05-10 09:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x894ad1…
05-10 09:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x47e85b…
05-10 09:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x452ba6…
05-10 09:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0cca10…
05-10 09:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 11?	No	SELL	99	97¢	$96	0x0a6075…
05-10 07:55:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 12?	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x01f2b0…
05-10 07:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 12?	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0x7c7952…
05-10 07:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 12?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xea9b88…
05-10 07:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 12?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x1839d7…
05-10 07:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 12?	No	BUY	79	90¢	$71	0xca1ad4…
05-10 07:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 12?	No	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x2e1ae0…
05-10 06:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 10?	No	SELL	99	96¢	$95	0x525e41…
05-10 06:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 11?	No	BUY	112	83¢	$93	0xf01566…
05-10 06:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x88ca82…
05-10 06:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x6da057…