Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 11?
open
Total volume
$245
$772 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$1,944
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 09:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $48 | $171 | $123 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $37 | $34 |
| Median | 4 | $5 | $10 | $4 |
| Below median | 11 | $17 | $13 | +$5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $97 | $97 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $14 | $14 |
| unranked | 5 | $14 | $1 | +$13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | +110 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 05-09 15:30 |
| Incomplete-Paw 0xf00e…99ac | Yes | +56 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-10 07:12 |
| Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | +42 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 05-09 14:25 |
| Handmade-Measurement 0x8842…dfa7 | Yes | +33 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 04:21 |
| Poised-Footwear 0x561a…7be2 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:23 |
| Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:24 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-10 07:12 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 05:28 |
| Tender-Hemp 0x7b53…b786 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 02:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 15:37 |
| Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-10 07:12 |
| Handmade-Visit 0x553c…230f | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:42 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 09:19 |
| Fluid-Panel 0xa86d…0fd2 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| Altruistic-Likeness 0xbbcb…c018 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:31 |
| Calm-Heartthrob-Airship 0x99c5…b6b6 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:21 |
| Key-Firm 0xfac6…a16e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:12 |
| Thankful-Witness 0xb00b…e0aa | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x04fa…70ee | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:53 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:24:41 | Repulsive-Compress 0x2510…b91b | No | SELL | 26 | 73¢ | $19 | 0xf97f95… |
| 05-10 09:24:18 | Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xd8d504… |
| 05-10 09:23:32 | Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x6e6386… |
| 05-10 09:19:24 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x1b1eef… |
| 05-10 08:33:57 | Key-Firm 0xfac6…a16e | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xbe2678… |
| 05-10 08:18:46 | Bustling-Abundance 0xc553…a7bd | No | SELL | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x30a860… |
| 05-10 08:14:37 | Calm-Heartthrob-Airship 0x99c5…b6b6 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x4d08b3… |
| 05-10 07:12:52 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xb69ed2… |
| 05-10 07:12:49 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | No | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x157f73… |
| 05-10 07:12:47 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xbf64a8… |
| 05-10 07:12:47 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xdf41b5… |
| 05-10 07:12:45 | Incomplete-Paw 0xf00e…99ac | Yes | BUY | 56 | 24¢ | $13 | 0x90eaec… |
| 05-10 06:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xc59b9a… |
| 05-10 06:52:59 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xe3dd01… |
| 05-10 06:52:54 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x7ee9a9… |
| 05-10 06:52:54 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | No | BUY | 3 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xf33bf0… |
| 05-10 06:52:52 | (anonymous) 0x04fa…70ee | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xbeb996… |
| 05-10 06:52:52 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x5164bb… |
| 05-10 06:52:52 | Poised-Footwear 0x561a…7be2 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xddd4f6… |
| 05-10 05:28:08 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x2ea15a… |
| 05-10 04:42:33 | Handmade-Visit 0x553c…230f | No | BUY | 6 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xeb70ac… |
| 05-10 04:31:30 | Altruistic-Likeness 0xbbcb…c018 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x301d2d… |
| 05-10 04:21:42 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | No | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x40d4a2… |
| 05-10 04:21:42 | (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | No | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0xacef22… |
| 05-10 04:21:40 | Handmade-Measurement 0x8842…dfa7 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 27¢ | $9 | 0xfd51b0… |
| 05-10 02:26:24 | Worse-Trinket 0x70cb…f527 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x678ddf… |
| 05-10 02:05:26 | Tender-Hemp 0x7b53…b786 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0x59ea81… |
| 05-09 23:54:23 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x8cf7c9… |
| 05-09 18:52:29 | Fluid-Panel 0xa86d…0fd2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x0ebd84… |
| 05-09 18:20:32 | Thankful-Witness 0xb00b…e0aa | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xad6856… |
| 05-09 15:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | BUY | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0x657114… |
| 05-09 15:30:40 | Substantial-Circulation 0xbdf6…c61b | No | BUY | 110 | 87¢ | $96 | 0x2fbc5a… |
| 05-09 14:25:41 | Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | BUY | 21 | 87¢ | $18 | 0xeb1ce1… |
| 05-09 14:25:31 | Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | BUY | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x116696… |