Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$443
$2,363 in 24h
Trades
59
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$426
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 07:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $33 | $33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $60 | $202 | $142 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $85 | $85 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $3 | $27 | $24 |
| Median | 8 | $9 | $6 | +$3 |
| Below median | 12 | $2 | $23 | $21 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $12 | $59 | $47 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $34 | $33 | +$1 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obvious-Hanger 0x7280…65d2 | Yes | +81 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-09 02:25 |
| Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | +52 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 19:12 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +50 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-10 04:11 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-09 19:22 |
| Limp-Hatred 0x7c48…6b72 | Yes | +21 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 02:15 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 03:08 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 19:42 |
| Kosher-Rebellion 0x885f…7bf9 | Yes | +14 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 03:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xa820…2dce | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:17 |
| Important-Baritone 0x6424…2718 | Yes | +12 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 04:58 |
| Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 02:56 |
| Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 02:56 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 04:01 |
| Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 10:10 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 13:58 |
| Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 02:53 |
| Oblong-Adjustment 0x2f01…4c3a | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 07:23 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:11 |
| Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | No | +6 | $6 | $19 | 2 | 05-10 02:14 |
| Circular-Fat 0xe7fb…5fb7 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 07:08 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:42 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 16:49 |
| Fearless-Bitter 0x012e…7a33 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 05:14 |
| Buzzing-Diffuse 0x3da3…0fdc | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 07:39 |
| Mindless-Angina 0x2b76…2798 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 01:28 |
| Outlying-Cover 0x2f2d…b371 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 03:49 |
| Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-09 21:47 |
| Political-Gown-Sunset 0x5938…7788 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:23:31 | Oblong-Adjustment 0x2f01…4c3a | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0xbcea8d… |
| 05-10 07:11:35 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7cb421… |
| 05-10 07:08:35 | Circular-Fat 0xe7fb…5fb7 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x03a6db… |
| 05-10 05:58:35 | Thirsty-Taco 0x0dc6…5e06 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x97c8a8… |
| 05-10 05:02:04 | (anonymous) 0x2e06…e02c | No | SELL | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xe99465… |
| 05-10 04:58:51 | Important-Baritone 0x6424…2718 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x3e9ce7… |
| 05-10 04:17:23 | Political-Gown-Sunset 0x5938…7788 | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x8fb925… |
| 05-10 04:17:16 | (anonymous) 0xa820…2dce | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x466de5… |
| 05-10 04:11:36 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0x5c1f5d… |
| 05-10 04:01:34 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x4569ea… |
| 05-10 03:46:35 | Kosher-Rebellion 0x885f…7bf9 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xe19c72… |
| 05-10 03:08:57 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | BUY | 19 | 83¢ | $16 | 0x0eb7b5… |
| 05-10 02:57:01 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xca2237… |
| 05-10 02:56:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa01120… |
| 05-10 02:56:28 | Broken-Need 0xbf43…66f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x1f7aa6… |
| 05-10 02:56:02 | Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x857e10… |
| 05-10 02:53:58 | Attentive-Context 0x2698…2941 | No | SELL | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0x31e973… |
| 05-10 02:53:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x32487d… |
| 05-10 02:53:58 | Whole-Jodhpurs 0x6760…6409 | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $6 | 0xa3a3f5… |
| 05-10 02:30:57 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x217d7c… |
| 05-10 02:14:51 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | No | SELL | 8 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x37b19e… |
| 05-10 02:13:58 | (anonymous) 0x87cc…c1b0 | No | SELL | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0x634a48… |
| 05-10 02:13:58 | (anonymous) 0x490e…123a | No | SELL | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xb83e3d… |
| 05-10 02:13:58 | (anonymous) 0xc1a7…f77f | No | SELL | 33 | 90¢ | $29 | 0x8261c8… |
| 05-10 02:13:57 | Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | No | SELL | 51 | 90¢ | $46 | 0xcbcacc… |
| 05-10 02:05:55 | Fixed-Sleep 0xf9dc…1108 | No | BUY | 13 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x70dc84… |
| 05-10 02:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x87cc…c1b0 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x54570c… |
| 05-10 02:05:50 | (anonymous) 0xc1a7…f77f | No | BUY | 33 | 92¢ | $30 | 0x98da06… |
| 05-10 02:05:50 | (anonymous) 0x490e…123a | No | BUY | 7 | 90¢ | $6 | 0xaa89bd… |
| 05-10 02:05:48 | Old-Sunshine 0xaf17…5c20 | No | BUY | 51 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x263c20… |
| 05-10 01:28:18 | Mindless-Angina 0x2b76…2798 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x0e8e9e… |
| 05-10 01:24:55 | Mindless-Angina 0x2b76…2798 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xb027f5… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Fond-Warmth 0xef98…b586 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x06e14d… |
| 05-09 23:16:26 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x3b8098… |
| 05-09 22:25:18 | Usable-Conifer 0x1753…cafd | Yes | SELL | 78 | 21¢ | $16 | 0xcedb84… |
| 05-09 21:47:13 | Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xf4658a… |
| 05-09 19:42:09 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x65b372… |
| 05-09 19:42:04 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x6a071d… |
| 05-09 19:37:25 | Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x6293b0… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x551616… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x0e4bd7… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0xa9aa3a… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x64d354… |
| 05-09 19:22:40 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x08e42d… |
| 05-09 19:12:22 | Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x892806… |
| 05-09 16:49:57 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xc86303… |
| 05-09 15:47:28 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x9ff5f2… |
| 05-09 14:43:52 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xce609e… |
| 05-09 14:43:45 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x421b37… |
| 05-09 13:58:32 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | BUY | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0x4da3de… |
| 05-09 10:10:11 | Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | BUY | 8 | 59¢ | $5 | 0xfe8bc2… |
| 05-09 07:39:48 | Buzzing-Diffuse 0x3da3…0fdc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xe933b8… |
| 05-09 07:04:45 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | 0xff4370… |
| 05-09 07:04:45 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x2d5ca3… |
| 05-09 07:04:43 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0xa03ffa… |
| 05-09 03:49:02 | Outlying-Cover 0x2f2d…b371 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x2e2776… |
| 05-09 02:25:34 | Obvious-Hanger 0x7280…65d2 | Yes | BUY | 81 | 35¢ | $28 | 0xfa999b… |
| 05-09 02:15:21 | Limp-Hatred 0x7c48…6b72 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xf07bdc… |
| 05-08 05:14:12 | Fearless-Bitter 0x012e…7a33 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x581473… |