Circular-Fat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$605

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

2,144

Trades

5,078

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-10 09:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

99% 50% -$518

Crypto

1% 16% -$87

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 74forhigher	24	$232	240	234	+6	No	+$94	04-15 14:59
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 20corhigher	15	$228	118	169	-51	No	+$58	04-15 18:12
highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 18c	26	$180	230	225	+5	Yes	-$65	04-17 13:29
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 84 85f	33	$172	152	169	-18	Yes	+$71	04-15 20:04
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 27?	5	$162	167	166	+1	Yes	+$161	06-27 18:07
highest temperature in hong kong on april 15 2026 29c	26	$144	123	155	-32	No	-$16	04-15 06:59
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 16 2026 28c	14	$143	131	130	+2	Yes	-$27	04-16 16:02
highest temperature in seoul on april 16 2026 24corhigher	7	$117	219	0	+219	Yes	-$117	04-15 20:36
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 90 91f	7	$116	62	62	+0	No	-$1	04-15 06:39
highest temperature in mexico city on april 17 2026 30c	20	$114	119	117	+2	No	-$7	04-17 19:56
highest temperature in denver on april 15 2026 66 67f	23	$113	116	198	-82	No	+$25	04-15 06:36
highest temperature in singapore on april 15 2026 33c	3	$112	59	59	+0	No	+$5	04-15 13:16
highest temperature in san francisco on april 16 2026 68 69f	9	$99	74	72	+1	No	-$5	04-16 19:41
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 17c	15	$77	97	94	+3	No	-$3	04-17 15:10
highest temperature in denver on april 16 2026 76 77f	5	$75	52	52	+0	No	-$2	04-16 19:46
highest temperature in houston on april 17 2026 84 85f	23	$75	93	91	+2	No	-$3	04-17 05:14
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 28c	5	$72	60	59	+1	Yes	-$7	04-16 15:48
highest temperature in houston on april 18 2026 84forhigher	15	$71	72	71	+2	Yes	+$1	04-17 17:16
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	31	$65	121	120	+2	Yes	-$9	04-17 17:17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 28?	8	$64	35	30	+5	Yes	$0	04-27 19:57
highest temperature in hong kong on april 15 2026 28c	11	$64	49	64	-15	Yes	-$5	04-15 07:13
highest temperature in atlanta on april 16 2026 84 85f	13	$62	73	71	+2	Yes	+$6	04-16 15:42
highest temperature in san francisco on april 16 2026 70 71f	4	$61	33	33	+0	No	+$0	04-15 10:35
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 13c	14	$60	55	55	+1	No	-$1	04-17 19:24
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 17c	15	$59	49	58	-10	Yes	+$10	04-15 14:26
highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 28c	4	$59	26	66	-40	No	+$59	04-14 06:23
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 56 57f	6	$58	55	30	+25	No	+$19	04-16 21:40
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 15 2026 35corhigher	12	$56	70	83	-14	Yes	-$25	04-15 11:00
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	21	$56	206	0	+206	No	-$51	04-14 21:11
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 70 71f	8	$56	35	35	+0	No	+$7	04-16 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 09:39:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x9fa79b…
07-09 22:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x88b203…
07-09 19:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 9?	No	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x0afe42…
07-09 19:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0xb8a66a…
07-09 18:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 9?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6c5a33…
07-09 17:43:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x1332bc…
07-09 17:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc1f4be…
07-09 16:48:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3aa1c7…
07-09 14:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?	No	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x28c61d…
07-09 14:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 9?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x588f3d…
07-09 14:10:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?	No	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0xa3c1c4…
07-09 14:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 9?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x6ad1a7…
07-09 14:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x01e63e…
07-09 13:44:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0x1adaef…
07-09 12:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 9?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5273c5…
07-09 12:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?	No	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xf509ce…
07-09 12:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 9?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6a5402…
07-09 12:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc74089…
07-09 12:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb5b25d…
07-09 12:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xe62e0e…
07-09 12:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 9?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7dfb16…
07-09 12:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x782cd0…
07-09 12:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2deae0…
07-09 10:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x986ea3…
07-09 07:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?	No	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x93c3a7…
07-09 07:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	24	18¢	$4	0x057fc3…
07-09 07:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe0532d…
07-08 22:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 9?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xf9c477…
07-08 22:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x9846df…
07-08 22:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0x18c801…
07-08 17:02:17	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0xc575be…
07-08 16:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x815761…
07-08 16:26:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 9?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x515cf7…
07-08 10:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 8?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x2baf6e…
07-08 09:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5955c2…
07-08 09:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x3441bf…
07-08 09:45:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x62b5fb…
07-08 09:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 8?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x0317cd…
07-08 09:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	3,806	0¢	$4	0xe59966…
07-08 09:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	2,546	0¢	$5	0x710dfc…
07-08 07:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x1595e1…
07-08 07:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0xb98240…
07-08 06:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0xb902cc…
07-08 05:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x8b7a1c…
07-07 22:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb5d8a3…
07-07 22:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 8?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xd9376d…
07-07 21:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xcb185e…
07-07 17:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd3e08f…
07-07 17:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 7?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x0ae375…
07-07 16:38:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x74f46f…
07-07 16:34:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 8?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x96979e…
07-07 14:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 7?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x76672e…
07-07 14:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 7?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc73e89…
07-07 14:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?	No	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x29142e…
07-07 13:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x3f1741…
07-07 13:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x0743ef…
07-07 13:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 7?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x4c48d9…
07-07 11:59:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?	No	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0x1f9d93…
07-07 11:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x87138a…
07-07 11:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x804f46…
07-07 09:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x06ce50…
07-07 08:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x28f6b8…
07-07 04:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x568b7e…
07-07 00:55:16	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 7?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xac7453…
07-06 20:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 6?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x7d7c3e…
07-06 17:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x54826f…
07-06 15:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 6?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xf8b20a…
07-06 14:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4a5109…
07-06 14:20:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?	No	BUY	8	56¢	$5	0x16f536…
07-06 13:17:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 6?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x93ed88…
07-06 12:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x9546f0…
07-06 12:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0x072a63…
07-06 11:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xacb6b3…
07-06 11:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x893b59…
07-06 11:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 6?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xe489a3…
07-06 07:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x45e3d2…
07-06 07:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xcbe64d…
07-06 07:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x6eff65…
07-06 07:15:35	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 6?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x9fde6a…
07-06 06:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 6?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6224ce…
07-06 06:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x819d79…
07-06 06:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	1,080	0¢	$4	0x8ac09d…
07-06 06:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	864	0¢	$4	0x022501…
07-06 06:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd0d3a5…
07-06 06:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	518	1¢	$4	0x8bf7f0…
07-06 05:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xec5915…
07-06 03:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xf3aa9c…
07-06 02:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x7ca5d7…
07-05 23:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xc0fc4f…
07-05 22:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1868bc…
07-05 19:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb212a0…
07-05 19:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 5?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x6e9a2b…
07-05 19:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x054f61…
07-05 19:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 5?	No	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0xafda06…
07-05 19:34:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 5?	No	BUY	163	3¢	$4	0xfd4726…
07-05 19:34:19	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 5?	No	BUY	531	1¢	$4	0xec2a00…
07-05 19:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1,005	0¢	$4	0xc0898d…
07-05 19:34:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 5?	No	BUY	286	2¢	$5	0x1f7b48…
07-05 18:50:14	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 5?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x6457fe…
07-05 17:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 5?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x26cebc…