Old-Sunshine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$44.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$426

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

5,888

Trades

30,064

lifetime

Volume

$227.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$502

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-05 03:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 285 days

Categories

Other

98% 23% +$43,942

Politics

1% 36% +$94

Crypto

0% 4% -$117

Sports

0% 20% +$387

Tech

0% 0% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 298 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?	Yes	+500	$10	96¢	$478	+$468	11-01 21:07
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?	Yes	+500	$12	4¢	$20	+$7	11-01 20:01
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	+250	$54	2¢	$5	-$49	11-01 19:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 29?	12	$11.4K	12,126	12,126	+0	Yes	+$11,306	08-29 23:55
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 24?	6	$2.1K	4,143	0	+4,143	No	+$21	08-23 22:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-27 17:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 9?	19	$1.4K	1,201	1,201	+0	Yes	+$391	08-09 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 24?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$35	08-23 22:25
highest temperature in san francisco on march 26 2026 68 69f	2	$1.1K	564	564	+0	No	+$11	03-26 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?	3	$1.1K	633	633	-0	Yes	+$21	05-25 17:46
highest temperature in seoul on february 14 2026 11corhigher	15	$1.0K	1,164	1,120	+44	Yes	+$838	02-14 04:41
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on August 26?	3	$1.0K	532	532	+0	No	+$49	08-26 20:45
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 16?	2	$994	500	500	+0	No	+$4	05-15 20:11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	13	$975	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$955	08-27 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 18?	5	$857	2,075	802	+1,273	No	-$353	10-17 20:15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	4	$806	1,550	550	+1,000	No	-$388	05-30 14:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 6?	5	$806	861	83	+778	Yes	+$11	05-06 03:27
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?	7	$798	792	792	+0	Yes	+$784	07-14 03:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?	16	$788	766	766	+0	Yes	+$735	07-07 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	5	$777	468	468	+0	Yes	+$140	10-24 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	4	$775	1,470	470	+1,000	No	+$144	10-22 21:06
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 5?	9	$731	1,517	758	+758	Yes	+$1,468	10-05 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	2	$702	438	438	+0	No	+$149	10-22 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on July 31?	17	$700	694	694	+0	Yes	+$675	07-31 23:38
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 30corhigher	22	$694	530	530	+0	Yes	+$115	03-16 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on June 29?	16	$661	652	652	+0	Yes	+$604	06-29 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	63	$658	1,356	617	+740	Yes	+$1,101	10-28 17:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?	21	$655	569	543	+26	Yes	+$397	05-22 14:57
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 10 2026 29c	53	$637	1,069	306	+763	No	+$11	03-10 17:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?	4	$630	560	560	+0	Yes	+$433	06-25 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?	8	$621	610	610	+0	Yes	+$587	07-09 11:30
highest temperature in busan on april 7 2026 14c	5	$614	344	341	+4	No	+$71	04-07 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 16?	2	$602	600	600	+0	Yes	+$596	05-16 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 03:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x81676b…
11-05 03:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x28782b…
11-05 03:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x86ef45…
11-05 03:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	27	13¢	$3	0x4c5b4a…
11-05 03:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x6de188…
11-05 03:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	73	13¢	$10	0x791d10…
11-04 23:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf64156…
11-04 23:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x1d9c53…
11-04 23:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x62c153…
11-04 23:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x56047a…
11-04 23:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc1cea8…
11-04 23:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6d43c8…
11-04 23:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x217a06…
11-04 23:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd55b1a…
11-04 23:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x492528…
11-04 23:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x385b63…
11-04 23:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x643239…
11-04 23:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0a1720…
11-04 23:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x33ce5d…
11-04 23:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd1bc76…
11-04 23:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x083d26…
11-04 23:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x618eb2…
11-04 23:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x932c10…
11-04 23:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc78056…
11-04 23:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5f7b27…
11-04 23:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x140ff5…
11-04 23:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7bc701…
11-04 23:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0945e9…
11-04 23:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0d5bf8…
11-04 23:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xffd4eb…
11-04 23:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa3770a…
11-04 23:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xc5ea1a…
11-04 23:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x571eb3…
11-04 23:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xbc006c…
11-04 22:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xee7613…
11-04 22:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xbd9c86…
11-04 22:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x6d9dea…
11-04 22:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x65051f…
11-04 22:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x3b4d61…
11-04 22:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	77	25¢	$19	0xf0154a…
11-04 22:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xcd0bcf…
11-04 22:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	32	25¢	$8	0x6de841…
11-04 22:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x0db924…
11-04 22:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xb944af…
11-04 22:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x85b256…
11-04 22:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x4231c5…
11-04 22:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe1c059…
11-04 22:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7e4698…
11-04 22:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x4a8339…
11-04 22:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xe85801…
11-04 22:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on November 5?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x53e21f…
11-04 22:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0x382efe…
11-04 21:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	55	22¢	$12	0x6699e7…
11-04 21:51:18	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	130	19¢	$25	0xbf067f…
11-04 21:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	193	4¢	$8	0x00c412…
11-04 20:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x6b498d…
11-04 20:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x96266c…
11-04 20:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0x6dcb50…
11-04 20:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	169	6¢	$9	0x367328…
11-04 20:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	225	38¢	$85	0xfd6f5e…
11-04 20:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	408	7¢	$27	0x7d9ed5…
11-04 20:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	209	1¢	$3	0x75d8ef…
11-04 19:53:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb3deb9…
11-04 19:53:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3920b7…
11-04 19:53:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6a3ab8…
11-04 19:52:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	72	5¢	$4	0xb1b15c…
11-04 19:52:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x95f6a7…
11-04 19:52:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	No	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0xf32509…
11-04 19:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x4729e7…
11-04 19:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	140	19¢	$27	0xf8ce1e…
11-04 19:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0x1bcac9…
11-04 19:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	117	10¢	$12	0x9bbade…
11-04 19:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x734cc8…
11-04 19:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xb1a543…
11-04 19:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x1d926f…
11-04 19:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd834d4…
11-04 17:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x16150b…
11-04 17:08:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on November 4?	No	BUY	153	12¢	$18	0xbe645f…
11-04 15:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	120	14¢	$17	0xfc39a9…
11-04 15:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	321	0¢	$2	0x97f143…
11-04 15:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4a7863…
11-04 15:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x94fb09…
11-04 14:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x7f52e1…
11-04 14:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x81ba09…
11-04 14:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xc31c7d…
11-04 13:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xaf8319…
11-04 12:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xfc216b…
11-04 12:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x907d52…
11-04 12:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x6fa859…
11-04 12:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x021181…
11-04 12:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdaf36e…
11-04 11:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0xc18826…
11-04 11:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x456010…
11-04 08:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xe4cafc…
11-04 08:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	46	0¢	$0	0x13d9ba…
11-04 08:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3d11e1…
11-04 08:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2fdfc4…
11-04 08:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0xdc3d10…
11-04 08:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xad5743…
11-04 08:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x326089…