Important-Baritone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$752

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

2,006

Trades

3,410

lifetime

Volume

$72.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 07-10 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

97% 57% +$706

Crypto

2% 41% +$2

Politics

1% 17% +$62

Tech

0% 0% -$17

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 7?	2	$639	490	490	+0	Yes	+$336	07-07 20:56
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?	2	$504	308	308	+0	No	+$112	07-09 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 5?	2	$437	277	277	+0	No	+$115	07-05 19:08
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 9?	2	$434	274	274	+0	No	+$113	07-09 10:14
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 5?	2	$432	272	272	+0	Yes	+$111	07-05 19:09
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 5?	2	$426	269	269	+0	No	+$111	07-05 19:08
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 7?	2	$422	271	271	+0	No	+$119	07-07 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 6?	2	$421	259	259	+0	No	+$97	07-06 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 6?	2	$412	250	250	+0	No	+$87	07-06 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 6?	2	$409	247	247	+0	No	+$85	07-06 23:39
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?	2	$408	246	246	+0	No	+$83	07-06 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 7?	2	$398	247	247	+0	No	+$95	07-07 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 8?	2	$395	253	253	+0	No	+$111	07-08 21:32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 7?	2	$390	239	239	+0	No	+$87	07-08 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 6?	2	$389	227	227	+0	No	+$65	07-06 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 7?	2	$384	232	232	+0	No	+$80	07-07 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 8?	2	$376	238	238	+0	No	+$92	07-08 21:34
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 8?	2	$375	233	233	+0	No	+$91	07-08 21:32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 8?	2	$365	224	224	+0	No	+$81	07-08 21:32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on July 6?	2	$361	199	199	+0	No	+$37	07-06 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 8?	2	$358	217	217	+0	No	+$75	07-08 21:32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 7?	2	$356	205	205	+0	No	+$53	07-07 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 6?	2	$356	194	194	+0	No	+$32	07-06 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 5?	2	$353	192	192	+0	No	+$31	07-05 19:08
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 5?	2	$352	191	191	+0	No	+$30	07-05 19:08
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 8?	2	$350	209	209	+0	No	+$67	07-08 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 6?	2	$350	199	199	+0	No	+$48	07-06 20:56
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 9?	2	$350	190	190	+0	No	+$29	07-09 10:15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 8?	2	$347	206	206	+0	No	+$64	07-08 21:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?	3	$345	205	205	+0	No	+$65	07-08 21:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 10:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 11?	Yes	BUY	1,070	16¢	$173	0x066388…
07-10 10:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 11?	No	BUY	198	88¢	$173	0xfeef29…
07-10 10:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 11?	No	BUY	207	84¢	$173	0xf4b62d…
07-10 10:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 11?	No	BUY	285	61¢	$173	0xb98d5f…
07-10 10:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 11?	No	BUY	206	84¢	$173	0x49dfe9…
07-10 10:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 11?	No	BUY	214	81¢	$173	0x39052d…
07-10 10:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 11?	No	BUY	206	84¢	$173	0xf59977…
07-10 10:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 11?	No	BUY	204	85¢	$173	0xc65c89…
07-10 10:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	510	34¢	$173	0x6390fd…
07-10 10:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 11?	No	BUY	247	70¢	$173	0x2f633f…
07-10 10:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	299	40¢	$119	0xfa8b50…
07-10 10:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 11?	No	BUY	206	84¢	$173	0xb93e4d…
07-10 10:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 11?	No	BUY	205	84¢	$173	0xb7055a…
07-10 10:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?	No	BUY	216	80¢	$173	0x5cb4a8…
07-10 10:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 11?	No	BUY	216	80¢	$173	0x8a71f5…
07-10 10:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	517	33¢	$173	0x3d5716…
07-09 22:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x9a9c67…
07-09 22:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc55f18…
07-09 22:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 10?	No	BUY	62	83¢	$51	0xaabdef…
07-09 22:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	303	56¢	$170	0x0c8499…
07-09 22:48:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x08b861…
07-09 22:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 10?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xa8dec3…
07-09 22:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	211	34¢	$72	0x847de2…
07-09 22:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 10?	No	BUY	288	59¢	$170	0x716ec8…
07-09 22:03:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?	No	BUY	129	61¢	$79	0x4d84aa…
07-09 22:03:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 10?	No	BUY	204	83¢	$170	0x3a7615…
07-09 22:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	39	83¢	$32	0x149799…
07-09 10:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$7	0xf87700…
07-09 10:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 10?	No	BUY	263	68¢	$177	0xccbcb7…
07-09 10:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 10?	No	BUY	189	87¢	$163	0xbe416c…
07-09 10:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	734	24¢	$177	0x894348…
07-09 10:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 10?	No	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0x775181…
07-09 10:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 10?	No	BUY	83	79¢	$65	0x573a92…
07-09 10:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 10?	No	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x4aef60…
07-09 10:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 10?	No	BUY	209	85¢	$177	0x255292…
07-09 10:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x4eb149…
07-09 10:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 9?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$189	0x08b435…
07-09 10:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 9?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$273	0xebd68b…
07-09 10:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$308	0xadc62e…
07-09 10:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	525	23¢	$119	0xeca08f…
07-09 10:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	264	36¢	$95	0xb95eeb…
07-09 10:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 10?	No	BUY	214	83¢	$177	0xb7f709…
07-09 10:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10?	No	BUY	61	53¢	$33	0xad37c9…
07-09 10:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	133	87¢	$116	0x41c315…
07-09 10:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on July 10?	Yes	BUY	344	28¢	$96	0x19caf7…
07-09 10:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	260	35¢	$92	0x129dd6…
07-09 10:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or higher on July 10?	Yes	BUY	575	31¢	$177	0xec5a86…
07-09 10:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 10?	No	BUY	215	83¢	$177	0xd7e97a…
07-09 10:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 10?	No	BUY	215	82¢	$177	0x0e11b0…
07-09 10:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 10?	No	BUY	199	86¢	$171	0x0785ab…
07-09 00:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 9?	No	BUY	37	84¢	$31	0x952f57…
07-09 00:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	479	33¢	$159	0x342543…
07-09 00:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	203	32¢	$64	0xfc4ec2…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 9?	No	BUY	177	91¢	$160	0xf12292…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?	No	BUY	275	58¢	$160	0xe7a3d4…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	201	33¢	$66	0xe264a6…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 9?	No	BUY	162	91¢	$147	0xd6e797…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	177	71¢	$126	0x9d7132…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 9?	No	BUY	53	82¢	$43	0x9cb48e…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 9?	No	BUY	144	90¢	$130	0x946014…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 9?	No	BUY	274	59¢	$160	0x890da3…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?	Yes	BUY	468	24¢	$112	0x80484b…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 9?	No	BUY	190	85¢	$160	0x798aff…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 9?	No	BUY	250	64¢	$160	0x5aa57d…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 9?	No	BUY	183	68¢	$124	0x5a521a…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 9?	No	BUY	240	67¢	$160	0x2265b4…
07-08 22:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 9?	No	BUY	173	81¢	$140	0x0eeb8a…
07-08 22:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 9?	No	BUY	196	82¢	$160	0xb836c1…
07-08 22:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 9?	No	BUY	96	81¢	$78	0x93e723…
07-08 22:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	415	39¢	$160	0x69cbf5…
07-08 22:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 9?	No	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x66b756…
07-08 22:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	377	31¢	$117	0x664551…
07-08 22:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 9?	No	BUY	178	82¢	$147	0x61c7b7…
07-08 22:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 9?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x5b95d2…
07-08 22:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 9?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x339de0…
07-08 21:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 8?	No	SELL	238	98¢	$234	0xb1d617…
07-08 21:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 8?	No	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0xc22225…
07-08 21:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 8?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$168	0xed82c8…
07-08 21:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 8?	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xdbe901…
07-08 21:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 8?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xf70c73…
07-08 21:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 8?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x86c0fb…
07-08 21:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 8?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0xca5d96…
07-08 21:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 8?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0xafa9b7…
07-08 21:32:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?	No	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xeb4085…
07-08 21:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 8?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$205	0x1b349d…
07-08 21:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 8?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$216	0x524dc4…
07-08 21:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 8?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$223	0x843a5e…
07-08 21:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 8?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0xab1184…
07-08 21:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 8?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0x19b440…
07-08 10:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 9?	No	BUY	234	84¢	$196	0x6be7db…
07-08 10:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?	No	BUY	308	64¢	$196	0x3d0f5e…
07-08 10:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 9?	No	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x190d64…
07-08 10:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 9?	No	BUY	245	80¢	$196	0xde138d…
07-08 10:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 9?	No	BUY	243	81¢	$196	0xdd2159…
07-08 10:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 9?	No	BUY	306	64¢	$196	0xd0764a…
07-08 10:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 9?	No	BUY	233	84¢	$196	0x6354a8…
07-08 10:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 9?	No	BUY	240	82¢	$196	0x3dc11e…
07-08 10:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 9?	No	BUY	240	82¢	$196	0x238f0d…
07-08 10:07:38	highest temperature in buenos aires on july 9 2026 18c	No	BUY	311	63¢	$196	0x061e60…
07-08 07:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 8?	No	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0x8444c4…