Obvious-Hanger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.3%

Resolved

1,125

Trades

4,491

lifetime

Volume

$40.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 05-22 17:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

62% 25% -$3,064

Crypto

17% 35% -$727

Sports

13% 31% -$529

Politics

4% 18% -$92

Tech

3% 40% +$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	52	$1.4K	886	886	+0	No	-$1	03-06 10:52
ethereum above 1800 on february 28	3	$1.1K	586	586	+0	Yes	-$12	02-28 12:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 12	50	$680	799	1,127	-328	No	-$42	02-12 16:57
will bitcoin reach 70k february 23 march 1	26	$545	1,682	1,682	+1	No	-$126	03-01 01:37
highest temperature in atlanta on march 16 2026 55forbelow	117	$484	18,956	15	+18,941	No	-$484	03-16 04:13
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 10c	22	$481	2,044	993	+1,052	No	-$314	03-16 19:58
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	18	$376	384	384	+0	Yes	-$22	03-15 03:46
nba phx tor 2026 03 13	10	$361	336	336	+0	Raptors	+$61	03-14 01:50
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	43	$344	604	603	+1	Yes	+$7	02-27 17:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 12	30	$329	199	200	-1	No	+$58	02-12 16:05
nba phx tor 2026 03 13 spread home 4pt5	8	$305	280	211	+68	Raptors	-$20	03-14 01:56
nhl nyi ana 2026 03 04	17	$303	299	299	+0	Ducks	$0	03-05 05:04
cs2 ast10 ts7 2026 03 13	4	$302	239	239	+0	Astralis	+$58	03-13 23:15
mex pue tig 2026 03 04 tig	11	$300	809	283	+526	No	-$53	03-05 02:40
bitcoin above 72k on march 12	4	$289	154	154	+0	No	-$2	03-12 08:31
highest temperature in ankara on march 14 2026 13c	35	$275	336	336	+0	Yes	+$71	03-14 14:47
highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 46 47f	9	$269	204	204	+0	Yes	+$126	03-12 11:40
highest temperature in toronto on march 14 2026 2c	3	$264	207	207	+0	Yes	+$148	03-14 22:00
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	25	$258	188	188	+0	No	+$8	02-27 06:59
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	22	$250	337	337	+0	Yes	-$1	02-27 15:10
nba min gsw 2026 03 13	7	$249	607	428	+178	Timberwolves	-$114	03-14 04:05
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$241	1,009	1,009	+0	No	+$4	03-15 05:30
nba phx tor 2026 03 13 spread home 5pt5	9	$240	267	134	+133	Raptors	-$94	03-14 02:02
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	21	$238	261	261	+0	Yes	-$1	03-04 23:16
highest temperature in london on march 15 2026 11c	23	$236	332	332	+0	No	-$43	03-14 21:28
gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	22	$236	167	167	+0	No	+$11	02-27 06:58
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 9c	36	$235	2,619	1,062	+1,556	No	-$184	03-16 20:04
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	10	$233	252	230	+22	Yes	+$24	02-13 11:01
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	22	$224	195	195	+0	Yes	-$23	03-05 20:18
highest temperature in wellington on march 15 2026 20c	18	$220	208	208	+0	Yes	+$55	03-15 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 17:36:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x77010a…
05-22 17:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	39	11¢	$4	0x801b20…
05-22 17:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$2	0xd3ecb4…
05-22 17:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	47	18¢	$8	0xa245af…
05-22 17:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	41	29¢	$12	0x38afad…
05-22 17:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	41	38¢	$16	0x17cca6…
05-21 00:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0xb63aff…
05-21 00:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xf6fcde…
05-21 00:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	45	43¢	$19	0x945c88…
05-21 00:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0xf47a60…
05-21 00:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	45	23¢	$10	0x8ccea5…
05-19 19:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xe9b203…
05-19 19:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xf4af23…
05-19 19:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x6d91f7…
05-19 19:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x4e0dad…
05-19 19:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x1c15f8…
05-17 02:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xb133b2…
05-17 02:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	47	12¢	$6	0xb57ec3…
05-17 02:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	47	33¢	$16	0x8fa5ad…
05-17 02:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	47	27¢	$13	0x2620ad…
05-15 04:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbe568d…
05-15 04:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x21bbb1…
05-15 04:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x15e531…
05-15 01:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0xfeb3cc…
05-15 01:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xdebc2d…
05-15 01:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	38	38¢	$14	0x48ab28…
05-15 01:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x198610…
05-13 17:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0x8ac9d0…
05-13 17:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0x837be6…
05-13 17:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	34	39¢	$13	0x7269a4…
05-13 07:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0xd7b959…
05-13 07:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x5d0429…
05-13 07:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x5660e9…
05-13 07:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x447b6a…
05-13 07:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x1f0113…
05-11 22:00:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x7fa80b…
05-11 22:00:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0x7640f0…
05-11 22:00:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0x23979a…
05-11 22:00:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0xd401c6…
05-11 22:00:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xca3d9e…
05-11 17:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc92f72…
05-11 17:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 13?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x95ca19…
05-11 17:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x8c8326…
05-11 03:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 12?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x8e75cc…
05-11 03:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	19	34¢	$6	0x5f5dc9…
05-11 03:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x42aacf…
05-10 05:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xd1093f…
05-10 01:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xf7ee82…
05-10 01:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xdd886a…
05-10 01:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xa7fe4e…
05-10 01:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0xc87f65…
05-10 01:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xabc3fa…
05-09 22:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x34aabe…
05-09 18:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xd6280a…
05-09 18:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xc30fb8…
05-09 18:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x723f39…
05-09 17:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x6b1fd3…
05-09 17:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x53c351…
05-09 17:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x45703d…
05-09 17:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0x204ce9…
05-09 17:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x1ef737…
05-09 17:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x8d6e48…
05-09 03:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xd505fc…
05-09 03:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x5e81b6…
05-09 03:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x35d77f…
05-09 02:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	81	35¢	$28	0xfa999b…
05-09 02:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	81	8¢	$7	0xe941e0…
05-09 02:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	81	9¢	$7	0xc1a9a6…
05-08 23:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 8?	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xba6e9c…
05-08 22:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	39	30¢	$12	0x7c7bc7…
05-08 22:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x54917d…
05-08 22:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x0ab957…
05-08 22:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xa428de…
05-08 18:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	58	13¢	$8	0xf6f22d…
05-08 18:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0xbafc49…
05-08 18:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on May 10?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x94874a…
05-08 14:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x1c2ece…
05-08 06:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	34	33¢	$11	0xab8c0a…
05-08 06:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	34	20¢	$7	0xce67bb…
05-08 06:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	34	19¢	$6	0x99d2f9…
05-08 06:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x3524bf…
05-08 06:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x0b9ada…
05-08 05:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x292f13…
05-07 23:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	51	18¢	$9	0xe5aafa…
05-07 23:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0xc86592…
05-07 23:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	51	15¢	$8	0xa052ce…
05-07 23:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0x59a040…
05-07 23:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x5494f5…
05-07 14:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x12bbf1…
05-07 08:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xfa3a70…
05-07 08:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0xe61d65…
05-07 08:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x98c4c4…
05-07 08:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x21594f…
05-07 07:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x3dc4e8…
05-07 07:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 7?	Yes	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x7aa3d0…
05-07 07:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 6?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x65f77d…
05-06 15:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0xa4b382…
05-06 15:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0x7ec81e…
05-06 15:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 8?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x12cd11…
05-06 15:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on May 6?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x9eae61…