Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on May 10?
open
Total volume
$948
$2,709 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$847
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 09:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+99.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $0
vs crowd: 1% YES on $947)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $96 | $96 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $6 | $845 | $839 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $33 | $33 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $87 | $87 |
| Median | 11 | — | $790 | $790 |
| Below median | 7 | $5 | $16 | $11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | No | +391 | $389 | $389 | 3 | 05-10 08:08 |
| Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | No | +332 | $331 | $331 | 5 | 05-10 08:12 |
| Frail-Pitch 0x33e5…a25e | Yes | +150 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 08:11 |
| Obvious-Hanger 0x7280…65d2 | Yes | +58 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 18:22 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +53 | $53 | $53 | 4 | 05-10 08:11 |
| Silly-Remains 0x1ddd…f13b | Yes | +52 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:38 |
| Tender-Pantsuit 0x5a8b…808e | Yes | +46 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 08:31 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +34 | $33 | $33 | 5 | 05-10 06:48 |
| Flat-Opponent 0xde2a…fac1 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x20e7…84a7 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:06 |
| Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 05:39 |
| Gullible-Rib 0xf376…e767 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 06:47 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 11:24 |
| Serpentine-Freezing 0x8d84…cf8e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 20:46 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 08:03 |
| Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 09:09 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 17:24 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 19:57 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 06:33 |
| Visible-Cricketer 0x4d21…b569 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 17:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x42ea…6239 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd73…ec44 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc4a…2a19 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xba4c…bf7e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 10:15 |
| Dim-Storm 0x1037…b0a9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:34 |
| Lavish-Truck 0xe7a0…69ae | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:09 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 08:15 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:11 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:34:55 | Dim-Storm 0x1037…b0a9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x93eb5f… |
| 05-10 09:09:59 | Definite-Chiffonier 0xa768…0971 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xe9f711… |
| 05-10 08:31:37 | Tender-Pantsuit 0x5a8b…808e | Yes | BUY | 46 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc5e30d… |
| 05-10 08:14:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0981b… |
| 05-10 08:12:45 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0xab775f… |
| 05-10 08:12:26 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x6fb301… |
| 05-10 08:11:42 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x123958… |
| 05-10 08:11:40 | Frail-Pitch 0x33e5…a25e | Yes | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x5eafb5… |
| 05-10 08:09:22 | Lavish-Truck 0xe7a0…69ae | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0c9b97… |
| 05-10 08:08:37 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | No | BUY | 86 | 100¢ | $86 | 0x82a8b2… |
| 05-10 08:08:23 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | No | BUY | 220 | 100¢ | $219 | 0x675331… |
| 05-10 08:03:46 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xab3cfd… |
| 05-10 07:28:36 | Mature-Veldt 0xd9bd…4459 | No | BUY | 85 | 99¢ | $84 | 0x40bdba… |
| 05-10 06:48:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xdf8874… |
| 05-10 06:47:18 | Gullible-Rib 0xf376…e767 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xdd1d8c… |
| 05-10 06:38:05 | Silly-Remains 0x1ddd…f13b | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6cc7b3… |
| 05-10 06:33:44 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x8564b5… |
| 05-10 06:28:38 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x960587… |
| 05-10 06:28:25 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | No | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0x45f2ca… |
| 05-10 06:28:13 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | No | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xdcc070… |
| 05-10 06:17:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0f3525… |
| 05-10 06:13:08 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x7170e0… |
| 05-10 04:11:10 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xe6f6cc… |
| 05-10 04:07:08 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xbf6615… |
| 05-10 04:06:56 | Flat-Opponent 0xde2a…fac1 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0x8a0157… |
| 05-10 04:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x20e7…84a7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1c7e10… |
| 05-10 03:26:10 | (anonymous) 0x42ea…6239 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5e9b06… |
| 05-10 03:26:10 | (anonymous) 0xcc4a…2a19 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5fd2ed… |
| 05-10 03:26:08 | (anonymous) 0xbd73…ec44 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xaa2ec1… |
| 05-10 02:47:10 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa7f773… |
| 05-10 01:10:51 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xfd66b5… |
| 05-10 00:05:19 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xb82604… |
| 05-10 00:01:51 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1b9170… |
| 05-09 23:54:49 | Great-Prosecution 0x700d…d345 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd08d2e… |
| 05-09 19:57:57 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x23c451… |
| 05-09 17:24:03 | Visible-Cricketer 0x4d21…b569 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x6a4531… |
| 05-09 17:24:03 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x60d389… |
| 05-09 12:52:28 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0x2e2486… |
| 05-09 10:15:23 | (anonymous) 0xba4c…bf7e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xba46f1… |
| 05-09 08:15:08 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x11292c… |
| 05-09 07:29:48 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0dbe36… |
| 05-08 20:46:06 | Serpentine-Freezing 0x8d84…cf8e | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf46478… |
| 05-08 18:22:46 | Obvious-Hanger 0x7280…65d2 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x94874a… |
| 05-08 11:24:44 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x667e9b… |
| 05-08 05:39:35 | Plaintive-Bob 0x0820…4b09 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf32c0a… |