Lavish-Truck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

690

lifetime

Volume

$7.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-13 05:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

53% 100% +$1

Other

44% 100% +$3

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+10	$3	26¢	$3	$-0	06-03 02:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	19	$383	239	186	+52	open	—	04-09 01:42
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	13	$347	184	184	+0	open	—	04-11 18:54
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	14	$197	284	141	+143	open	—	03-29 06:54
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	8	$189	99	99	+0	open	—	04-12 09:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	17	$155	140	89	+52	open	—	04-15 22:58
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$128	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 22:55
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	9	$120	80	65	+15	open	—	04-30 19:07
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	8	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	04-22 14:34
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 21c	7	$119	128	125	+3	open	—	04-09 12:19
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	11	$111	58	58	+0	open	—	04-06 18:50
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?	6	$99	61	41	+20	open	—	04-20 13:34
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	5	$91	66	30	+36	open	—	04-13 20:32
highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	4	$86	44	44	+0	open	—	04-13 19:53
highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 27c	9	$85	44	44	+0	open	—	04-16 16:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	5	$81	44	44	+0	open	—	04-26 21:10
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	9	$80	75	75	+0	open	—	04-10 11:12
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	4	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	04-14 15:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	8	$77	40	40	+0	open	—	04-25 19:08
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	4	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	04-07 09:47
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 31 2026 119	5	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	04-01 04:52
israeli forces enter nabatieh by may 31	4	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	06-05 00:03
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	4	$69	30	40	-10	open	—	05-27 06:22
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	6	$68	36	36	+0	open	—	04-23 21:10
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	9	$67	76	54	+21	open	—	03-27 13:03
highest temperature in madrid on april 12 2026 18c	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	04-12 16:14
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	4	$66	120	120	+0	open	—	04-04 16:03
will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	4	$65	41	41	+0	open	—	04-12 00:34
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?	10	$65	38	38	+0	open	—	04-25 05:35
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?	4	$64	44	44	+0	open	—	04-22 18:50
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?	3	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	04-01 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 05:19:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd18904…
06-12 21:02:57	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15 20260612142709365	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x59d3dc…
06-12 09:36:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdf6b4a…
06-11 23:27:55	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x344ddc…
06-11 21:58:48	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xfe1f9d…
06-10 21:56:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc9ca5b…
06-10 21:41:48	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x592c34…
06-10 21:37:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe66def…
06-10 21:36:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe56e58…
06-10 11:11:01	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xe28db9…
06-08 22:20:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xfcba09…
06-08 22:20:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8ea758…
06-07 22:02:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xb749ab…
06-07 21:22:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x293333…
06-07 21:13:01	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2f4455…
06-07 21:12:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7b067c…
06-06 20:19:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd24684…
06-05 00:03:07	israeli forces enter nabatieh by may 31	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x39b029…
06-04 23:36:10	israeli forces enter nabatieh by may 31	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x93f4ad…
06-04 09:20:04	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8295c9…
06-03 13:00:08	Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x76388a…
06-03 07:55:42	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x047a12…
06-03 02:48:24	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb66309…
06-02 22:25:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x90d6fd…
06-02 22:25:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3f3040…
06-02 00:05:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x24448a…
06-01 22:36:54	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x179ca0…
05-28 10:26:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf0048b…
05-27 16:23:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaf4b88…
05-27 06:22:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4bef5b…
05-25 23:06:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf8ebc1…
05-25 20:37:41	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2751ee…
05-25 19:58:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4edf75…
05-25 19:57:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x22bdf9…
05-25 15:42:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2ad0e0…
05-25 00:35:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe9be69…
05-24 23:36:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4299de…
05-24 22:26:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7a3cfa…
05-24 20:25:23	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x2f7f81…
05-24 19:54:42	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x28c449…
05-24 17:20:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9c9f50…
05-24 17:16:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xeefdba…
05-23 21:05:44	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x0a56f7…
05-23 20:05:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x7c0406…
05-23 19:41:30	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6f48a8…
05-23 19:17:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xd9c581…
05-23 08:41:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xc4af79…
05-23 08:41:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x24671c…
05-23 08:41:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xff749b…
05-23 08:40:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x8d4ea3…
05-23 00:37:46	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x3ad7e1…
05-23 00:24:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x271af2…
05-23 00:23:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x2ce89f…
05-22 19:32:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc0ebcc…
05-22 10:02:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x593e2c…
05-21 22:23:03	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xaf61a5…
05-21 22:22:49	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4e7eae…
05-21 21:48:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x3ee27d…
05-21 21:34:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9e67db…
05-21 21:30:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0f68d8…
05-21 21:30:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa55bf3…
05-21 21:20:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0x26357d…
05-19 17:08:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xbc342e…
05-19 16:10:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x1187da…
05-17 08:52:53	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x43435d…
05-16 22:51:11	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xda93cc…
05-15 16:24:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x367ee7…
05-14 12:26:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x838006…
05-12 19:07:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xe396c1…
05-12 17:04:02	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x534cac…
05-11 21:44:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x6524e6…
05-11 19:09:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4ba30a…
05-11 18:59:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x725e1d…
05-11 15:44:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaa0d1a…
05-11 03:32:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcc1a0f…
05-10 22:00:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x58bbe7…
05-10 21:10:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf82741…
05-10 20:59:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x43a4b4…
05-10 04:20:32	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x566d0e…
05-09 22:06:00	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x128ec2…
05-09 14:10:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb255d1…
05-08 09:51:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3c55cb…
05-08 09:50:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc0c911…
05-07 20:44:06	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x18c566…
05-07 18:16:38	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x3341e5…
05-07 17:10:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcf5cbd…
05-07 17:03:26	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x89861d…
05-07 17:00:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x0ef54a…
05-07 17:00:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6cad12…
05-07 16:22:10	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xfe7320…
05-07 06:33:12	Will United Kingdom be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xc703c8…
05-05 15:49:58	Will Tatsuro Taira win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x7c71ed…
05-04 16:47:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xa973d8…
05-04 16:16:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd8411c…
05-04 16:01:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xdc2e63…
05-04 01:27:02	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0c3362…
05-03 20:20:22	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf534dd…
05-03 16:33:24	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x40ac00…
05-03 14:50:18	Will Tatsuro Taira win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc11f82…
05-02 21:16:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x77f5b6…