Lavish-Truck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$128

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

84.9%

Resolved

639

Trades

1,625

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$45

9 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 10-27 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 190 days

Categories

Other

71% 86% +$13

Politics

23% 79% +$107

Tech

5% 62% +$11

Sports

0% 40% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will wti reach 110 in october 2026	No	+10	$7	92¢	$9	+$2	09-27 11:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+10	$5	66¢	$7	+$1	08-17 21:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-24 22:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-24 23:05
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	98¢	$5	+$0	10-17 20:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	10-27 00:23
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+5	$4	80¢	$4	+$0	10-26 09:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+8	$5	34¢	$3	-$2	07-07 21:42
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+10	$3	26¢	$3	$0	06-03 02:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	19	$383	239	186	+52	Yes	+$28	04-09 01:42
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	13	$347	184	184	+0	No	+$15	04-11 18:54
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	14	$197	284	141	+143	Yes	-$5	03-29 06:54
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	8	$189	99	99	+0	No	+$2	04-12 09:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	17	$155	140	89	+52	No	-$17	04-15 22:58
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$128	100	100	+0	Yes	+$44	04-07 22:55
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	9	$120	80	65	+15	No	+$6	04-30 19:07
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	8	$120	63	63	+0	No	+$5	07-19 18:52
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	4	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	05-06 11:58
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	8	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$1	04-22 14:34
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 21c	7	$119	128	125	+3	No	-$4	04-09 12:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 23?	5	$117	60	60	+0	No	+$3	09-23 18:51
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	11	$111	58	58	+0	Yes	+$3	04-06 18:50
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	4	$108	60	60	+0	No	+$11	08-21 19:39
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	4	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-08 16:32
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?	6	$99	61	41	+20	No	+$1	04-20 13:34
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	6	$99	51	51	+0	No	+$3	05-18 21:44
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	5	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$2	05-22 10:27
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	5	$91	66	30	+36	No	+$5	04-13 20:32
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	4	$89	50	50	+0	Yes	+$10	08-17 02:59
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	7	$89	50	50	+0	No	+$11	08-15 03:02
highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	4	$86	44	44	+0	No	+$3	04-13 19:53
highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 27c	9	$85	44	44	+0	No	+$0	04-16 16:04
Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	6	$85	75	45	+30	Yes	-$16	07-19 18:55
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$83	50	50	+0	No	+$8	09-07 20:01
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?	8	$83	45	45	+0	No	+$7	07-17 23:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	5	$81	44	44	+0	No	$0	04-26 21:10
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	8	$80	79	15	+64	No	-$4	06-07 22:04
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	9	$80	75	75	+0	Yes	+$11	04-10 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 6?	3	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	10-06 06:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:23:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7fe794…
10-27 00:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8bf870…
10-26 09:24:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb77791…
10-26 09:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xad8a45…
10-26 09:19:12	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xeef606…
10-26 07:04:12	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4b292a…
10-26 00:42:53	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x1745f6…
10-25 13:42:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xd012f7…
10-25 13:40:50	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xac3418…
10-25 13:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc02d1e…
10-25 13:21:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae86d7…
10-25 00:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef9422…
10-24 23:05:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbc2819…
10-24 22:42:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x93758e…
10-24 22:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd7a1bc…
10-22 13:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 23?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9c96d3…
10-22 11:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 23?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbe58c4…
10-22 11:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x77d75f…
10-21 21:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd41118…
10-20 23:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa7d5fa…
10-20 16:46:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeae9d9…
10-20 16:42:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on October 20?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9209fd…
10-20 16:37:48	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf80f9b…
10-20 12:14:36	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x278d71…
10-20 10:22:08	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xa143ac…
10-20 09:02:49	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x869bd0…
10-20 08:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xa7d985…
10-20 06:33:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x27174c…
10-20 05:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea41e2…
10-20 04:33:12	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb4f97f…
10-20 04:29:44	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb853db…
10-19 21:35:40	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x964414…
10-19 20:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0a1162…
10-19 09:31:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6b2a01…
10-18 00:33:39	highest temperature in singapore on october 19 2026 29c	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xea2dcd…
10-17 20:19:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x598d91…
10-16 22:26:20	highest temperature in singapore on october 18 2026 30c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x98f18b…
10-16 22:21:00	highest temperature in paris on october 18 2026 16c	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7a8b29…
10-16 22:02:39	highest temperature in singapore on october 18 2026 30c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6d74c8…
10-16 20:10:39	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x19c386…
10-16 11:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 17?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2a7e32…
10-16 10:42:42	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x420cc1…
10-16 07:31:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1e9d29…
10-15 20:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x32cd41…
10-15 08:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20ea60…
10-14 16:06:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7ce6e2…
10-14 15:35:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xecdfbd…
10-14 00:12:58	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x10012c…
10-13 21:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3c1053…
10-13 21:27:19	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x3a56be…
10-13 20:05:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x079954…
10-12 05:23:09	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbd4041…
10-12 00:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x05d239…
10-11 23:16:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x826b35…
10-11 20:55:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x38c041…
10-10 22:06:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 10?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x69d16c…
10-10 22:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 12?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xbcd2a4…
10-10 22:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x089298…
10-10 16:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 11?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x86dde9…
10-09 21:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xad5c3a…
10-08 23:53:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 10?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x7750b7…
10-08 23:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x216da5…
10-08 23:47:20	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x9e731e…
10-08 23:46:41	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd80c9f…
10-08 23:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 9?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9c7ccd…
10-08 09:23:27	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8568a9…
10-08 08:54:37	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x52649c…
10-08 08:54:05	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa76d3d…
10-08 04:27:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 8?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfb69ca…
10-07 23:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 9?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x630f2f…
10-07 21:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x67f447…
10-07 19:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 9?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x84a4d3…
10-07 18:12:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 9?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbc99d8…
10-07 18:09:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 8?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x924876…
10-07 18:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5c3298…
10-07 18:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 9?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbada3e…
10-06 08:01:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x8a228c…
10-06 06:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 6?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9f44c1…
10-06 06:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 6?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc75e47…
10-06 00:35:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x4f3518…
10-05 18:20:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 7?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3b585c…
10-05 14:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 6?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcad386…
10-05 13:02:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xcff855…
10-05 13:01:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x8cceb5…
10-05 12:59:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x837a4c…
10-05 12:54:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 7?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x6815e1…
10-05 12:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb70ec1…
10-05 12:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfe2443…
10-05 12:52:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x687df7…
10-05 12:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdeb835…
10-05 12:45:47	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x5a14b4…
10-05 01:08:38	Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x937e5b…
10-05 01:08:38	Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x566882…
10-05 01:08:38	Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x256c17…
10-05 00:05:29	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x38751f…
10-04 20:57:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x983d3d…
10-04 20:46:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe128dc…
10-04 20:31:46	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xcea4ab…
10-04 20:29:16	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x29c2c8…
10-04 18:35:17	will spacexai officially rename itself to spacexsi by october 15	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc35a32…