Lavish-Truck — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,677 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$339

$19.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$26

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 11-06 23:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Other

71% 87% +$17

Politics

24% 80% +$111

Tech

5% 62% +$4

Sports

0% 40% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 8?	No	—	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	11-06 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	11-06 18:24
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026?	No		+10	$7	47¢	$5	-$3	11-03 22:46
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?	Yes		+5	$4	57¢	$3	-$1	10-31 10:59
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+8	$5	33¢	$3	-$2	07-07 21:42
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+28	$1	3¢	$1	$0	11-04 13:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	19	$383	239	186	+52	Yes	+$28	04-09 01:42
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	13	$347	184	184	+0	No	+$15	04-11 18:54
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	14	$197	284	141	+143	Yes	-$5	03-29 06:54
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	8	$189	99	99	+0	No	+$2	04-12 09:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	17	$155	140	89	+52	No	-$17	04-15 22:58
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$128	100	100	+0	Yes	+$44	04-07 22:55
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	9	$120	80	65	+15	No	+$6	04-30 19:07
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	8	$120	63	63	+0	No	+$5	07-19 18:52
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	4	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	05-06 11:58
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	8	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$1	04-22 14:34
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 21c	7	$119	128	125	+3	No	-$4	04-09 12:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 23?	5	$117	60	60	+0	No	+$3	09-23 18:51
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	11	$111	58	58	+0	Yes	+$3	04-06 18:50
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	4	$108	60	60	+0	No	+$11	08-21 19:39
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	4	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-08 16:32
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?	6	$99	61	41	+20	No	+$1	04-20 13:34
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	6	$99	51	51	+0	No	+$3	05-18 21:44
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	5	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$2	05-22 10:27
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	5	$91	66	30	+36	No	+$5	04-13 20:32
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	4	$89	50	50	+0	Yes	+$10	08-17 02:59
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	7	$89	50	50	+0	No	+$11	08-15 03:02
highest temperature in madrid on april 13 2026 17c	4	$86	44	44	+0	No	+$3	04-13 19:53
highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 27c	9	$85	44	44	+0	No	+$0	04-16 16:04
Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	6	$85	75	45	+30	Yes	-$16	07-19 18:55
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	5	$83	50	50	+0	No	+$8	09-07 20:01
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?	8	$83	45	45	+0	No	+$7	07-17 23:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	5	$81	44	44	+0	No	$0	04-26 21:10
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	8	$80	79	15	+64	No	-$4	06-07 22:04
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	9	$80	75	75	+0	Yes	+$11	04-10 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 6?	3	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	10-06 06:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 23:30:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 7?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xea45df…
11-06 23:30:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 7?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7dd362…
11-06 18:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 8?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x68b321…
11-06 11:31:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on November 8?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x377842…
11-06 11:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 7?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x636b1b…
11-06 11:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on November 7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb8a56f…
11-05 21:41:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8306b8…
11-05 21:41:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x00b4cc…
11-05 03:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on November 6?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4beef4…
11-04 13:36:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xecde1d…
11-04 13:35:09	Israel military action against Iraq by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa0aa70…
11-04 13:08:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on November 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc4fa68…
11-04 04:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 4?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x643cc6…
11-04 01:01:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x230265…
11-04 00:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7b974…
11-03 22:46:39	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1b7fb6…
11-03 18:56:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8cf7be…
11-03 18:48:45	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in November 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x91bee8…
11-03 02:24:28	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x6a81e8…
11-02 15:35:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on November 3?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9ea66d…
11-02 15:19:00	will there be 13 earthquakes of 5pt5 or above magnitude worldwide oct19 25 copy copy	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x66c341…
11-02 15:17:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x54162d…
11-02 07:55:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on November 3?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5758c1…
11-01 13:05:19	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6ae64e…
11-01 13:05:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x480d3c…
11-01 12:08:15	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x28969a…
11-01 08:35:06	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4be3df…
11-01 08:17:12	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xf6bcd3…
11-01 08:17:12	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x602eee…
11-01 08:17:12	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x144f63…
11-01 00:37:16	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xbaee72…
11-01 00:07:33	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x84cc17…
10-31 23:51:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe33cc1…
10-31 23:50:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd0f1a4…
10-31 23:45:15	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x75d6ad…
10-31 19:28:37	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xbc3573…
10-31 19:28:37	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb3ee00…
10-31 19:28:37	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x8b12bc…
10-31 10:59:34	Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x907462…
10-31 10:46:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x47fe14…
10-29 05:46:41	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x961ee0…
10-29 05:43:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x45cfc7…
10-28 20:32:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1213de…
10-28 20:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x41faab…
10-28 03:06:17	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5d49b9…
10-27 22:44:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x97ea94…
10-27 22:43:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdf43fa…
10-27 22:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x98ccb4…
10-27 22:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd019ec…
10-27 22:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcdacb4…
10-27 00:23:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7fe794…
10-27 00:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8bf870…
10-26 09:24:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb77791…
10-26 09:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 27?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xad8a45…
10-26 09:19:12	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xeef606…
10-26 07:04:12	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4b292a…
10-26 00:42:53	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x1745f6…
10-25 13:42:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xd012f7…
10-25 13:40:50	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xac3418…
10-25 13:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc02d1e…
10-25 13:21:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae86d7…
10-25 00:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xef9422…
10-24 23:05:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbc2819…
10-24 22:42:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x93758e…
10-24 22:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 25?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd7a1bc…
10-22 13:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 23?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x9c96d3…
10-22 11:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 23?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbe58c4…
10-22 11:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x77d75f…
10-21 21:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 22?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd41118…
10-20 23:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 21?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa7d5fa…
10-20 16:46:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeae9d9…
10-20 16:42:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on October 20?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9209fd…
10-20 16:37:48	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf80f9b…
10-20 12:14:36	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x278d71…
10-20 10:22:08	Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xa143ac…
10-20 09:02:49	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x869bd0…
10-20 08:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C or higher on October 20?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xa7d985…
10-20 06:33:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x27174c…
10-20 05:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on October 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea41e2…
10-20 04:33:12	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb4f97f…
10-20 04:29:44	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb853db…
10-19 21:35:40	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x964414…
10-19 20:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 20?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0a1162…
10-19 09:31:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6b2a01…
10-18 00:33:39	highest temperature in singapore on october 19 2026 29c	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xea2dcd…
10-17 20:19:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x598d91…
10-16 22:26:20	highest temperature in singapore on october 18 2026 30c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x98f18b…
10-16 22:21:00	highest temperature in paris on october 18 2026 16c	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7a8b29…
10-16 22:02:39	highest temperature in singapore on october 18 2026 30c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6d74c8…
10-16 20:10:39	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x19c386…
10-16 11:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 17?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2a7e32…
10-16 10:42:42	Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x420cc1…
10-16 07:31:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1e9d29…
10-15 20:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x32cd41…
10-15 08:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x20ea60…
10-14 16:06:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7ce6e2…
10-14 15:35:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 16?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xecdfbd…
10-14 00:12:58	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x10012c…
10-13 21:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3c1053…
10-13 21:27:19	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x3a56be…