Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$155
Trades
31
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$812
Latest YES mid
34¢
Latest NO mid
66¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 03:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $40 | $103 | $64 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $7 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| Below median | 9 | $13 | $66 | $53 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $12 | $4 | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $9 | $5 | +$5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $20 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +52 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 05-12 09:37 |
| Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | +29 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-13 01:21 |
| Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | +28 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-13 03:08 |
| Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | +28 | $9 | $11 | 3 | 05-12 22:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | +21 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 02:08 |
| Weekly-Bolero 0x0619…0379 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-12 23:23 |
| Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 02:08 |
| Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 02:08 |
| Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:36 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 01:32 |
| Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 22:42 |
| Torn-Vane-Milkshake 0xfddf…1686 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 18:51 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 03:28 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 23:45 |
| Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 03:11 |
| Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 22:02 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 22:37 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 02:08 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 05-12 22:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x00eb…b035 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 03:28:08 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x000ca0… |
| 05-13 03:11:17 | (anonymous) 0x00eb…b035 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xdb4447… |
| 05-13 03:11:13 | Oval-Poor 0x7a1b…1c78 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xe1a626… |
| 05-13 03:08:51 | Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | BUY | 14 | 69¢ | $10 | 0x47ca02… |
| 05-13 02:14:05 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xd6aa59… |
| 05-13 02:08:59 | Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x8ecf2d… |
| 05-13 02:08:59 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | BUY | 4 | 70¢ | $3 | 0x89ea89… |
| 05-13 02:08:55 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xf2a234… |
| 05-13 02:08:53 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x064129… |
| 05-13 02:08:52 | Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | No | BUY | 14 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x26931c… |
| 05-13 01:32:59 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x0247f7… |
| 05-13 01:21:52 | Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xc417ee… |
| 05-13 01:01:45 | Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xdefb00… |
| 05-13 00:42:16 | Acrobatic-Drama 0xec8b…2554 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xd0f2b9… |
| 05-12 23:45:53 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x0f558b… |
| 05-12 23:23:20 | Weekly-Bolero 0x0619…0379 | No | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xf707e8… |
| 05-12 22:42:02 | Illustrious-Oxford 0x558b…f41b | No | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0xdc5ba0… |
| 05-12 22:37:57 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xc9fd72… |
| 05-12 22:36:54 | Hollow-Commitment 0x11a4…f434 | No | BUY | 8 | 67¢ | $5 | 0x03103b… |
| 05-12 22:02:57 | Glorious-Foam 0xe54c…2c69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x65b35f… |
| 05-12 22:02:56 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x67a939… |
| 05-12 22:02:56 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x008ce8… |
| 05-12 22:02:56 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | SELL | 0 | 33¢ | $0 | 0x144ad7… |
| 05-12 21:58:02 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | SELL | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x0133a0… |
| 05-12 21:58:02 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x8348e4… |
| 05-12 21:58:02 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 32¢ | $0 | 0xd31b86… |
| 05-12 19:41:23 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x5f7f2f… |
| 05-12 18:51:36 | Torn-Vane-Milkshake 0xfddf…1686 | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x035ca8… |
| 05-12 09:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xf285c6… |
| 05-12 09:37:26 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | BUY | 32 | 31¢ | $10 | 0x6f2872… |
| 05-12 09:37:26 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 52 | 73¢ | $38 | 0xf92f4f… |