Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$99
$611 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$1,832
Latest YES mid
22¢
Latest NO mid
78¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 12:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $21 | $25 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $5 | $4 | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | $3 | +$2 |
| Median | 3 | — | $12 | $12 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $3 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $9 | $32 | $22 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-11 08:00 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 04:48 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:02 |
| Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 13:51 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 23:31 |
| Torn-Vane-Milkshake 0xfddf…1686 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:20 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 10:17 |
| Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 09:57 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 10:17 |
| Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 13:52 |
| Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 06:06 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-11 10:18 |
| Complete-Cough 0x4cfe…1bc6 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:52 |
| Which-Axis 0x3aba…debf | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 20:12 |
| Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 12:03:22 | Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 26¢ | $3 | 0xfd458b… |
| 05-11 10:18:08 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x41e49d… |
| 05-11 10:17:59 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0x4dd63f… |
| 05-11 10:17:59 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x460219… |
| 05-11 10:17:47 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x8b86cd… |
| 05-11 08:00:03 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 72¢ | $21 | 0x6cf7c5… |
| 05-11 08:00:03 | (anonymous) 0xd56e…9457 | No | SELL | 8 | 69¢ | $6 | 0x854513… |
| 05-11 06:04:37 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x51bd1f… |
| 05-11 04:48:38 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 30¢ | $5 | 0xd48e45… |
| 05-11 02:56:10 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x0ac264… |
| 05-11 02:56:08 | Bowed-Postbox 0x099c…18e8 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0xbb1fc2… |
| 05-11 01:14:17 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x309b1b… |
| 05-10 23:31:39 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xdb8e18… |
| 05-10 20:12:09 | Which-Axis 0x3aba…debf | Yes | BUY | 3 | 32¢ | $1 | 0x1570bd… |
| 05-10 16:20:11 | Torn-Vane-Milkshake 0xfddf…1686 | No | BUY | 7 | 69¢ | $5 | 0xde8a0f… |
| 05-10 13:52:15 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x8c1a6c… |
| 05-10 13:51:51 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 8 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x4ac103… |
| 05-10 09:57:10 | Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x9e9e56… |
| 05-10 09:57:10 | Each-Caliber 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x2b6fff… |
| 05-10 09:02:24 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0xb3051e… |
| 05-10 08:19:31 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | SELL | 19 | 31¢ | $6 | 0xc16f8e… |
| 05-10 08:18:28 | Bowed-Postbox 0x099c…18e8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x06afca… |
| 05-10 08:18:07 | Bowed-Postbox 0x099c…18e8 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0xd012f3… |
| 05-10 08:17:30 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | SELL | 16 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x914177… |
| 05-10 07:52:29 | Complete-Cough 0x4cfe…1bc6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xfb6666… |
| 05-10 06:28:20 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x774738… |
| 05-10 06:27:19 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x28f1ab… |
| 05-10 06:06:38 | Instructive-Spec 0x6641…55d0 | No | BUY | 4 | 71¢ | $3 | 0x2c5eae… |
| 05-10 06:06:17 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xad9e73… |
| 05-10 05:02:00 | Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | BUY | 2 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x6cb926… |