Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 8?
open
Total volume
$132
$1,877 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$401
Latest YES mid
27¢
Latest NO mid
73¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 06:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $52 | $79 | $28 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $17 | $18 | $1 |
| Median | 5 | $1 | $16 | $15 |
| Below median | 5 | $5 | $7 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $21 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $27 | — | +$27 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obvious-Hanger 0x7280…65d2 | Yes | +51 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 23:26 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +41 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-08 06:35 |
| Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | +29 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Jagged-Current 0x4a28…d58b | Yes | +21 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 20:21 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +21 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Famous-Scientist 0x4de1…18a2 | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:14 |
| Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-07 20:46 |
| Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | +19 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 08:41 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-07 22:16 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Buzzing-Access 0xb060…9572 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 14:34 |
| Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2aa…3e28 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Svelte-Proximity 0xd673…1ca5 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:14 |
| Bubbly-Countess 0x1b10…aac9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Greedy-Ratio 0x35fd…7d53 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 06:35:43 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 30¢ | $6 | 0x529a22… |
| 05-08 06:03:47 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 27¢ | $6 | 0x74d460… |
| 05-08 05:38:18 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x2dcbe0… |
| 05-08 04:14:46 | Famous-Scientist 0x4de1…18a2 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xe13302… |
| 05-08 04:14:46 | Svelte-Proximity 0xd673…1ca5 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x4d46a2… |
| 05-08 00:13:03 | Fitting-Greens 0x6136…64f8 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd2fa8c… |
| 05-07 23:26:39 | Obvious-Hanger 0x7280…65d2 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 18¢ | $9 | 0xe5aafa… |
| 05-07 23:01:11 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x393bf4… |
| 05-07 23:01:08 | (anonymous) 0xbf61…21ab | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x07c5c3… |
| 05-07 23:01:06 | Bubbly-Countess 0x1b10…aac9 | No | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0xb7c081… |
| 05-07 23:01:06 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x3f61cb… |
| 05-07 23:01:06 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xe0ab0f… |
| 05-07 23:01:06 | Greedy-Ratio 0x35fd…7d53 | No | BUY | 3 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x8b75bc… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x2bd8e4… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x6ec8d3… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | No | BUY | 29 | 74¢ | $21 | 0xdf9783… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | (anonymous) 0xb2aa…3e28 | No | BUY | 7 | 74¢ | $5 | 0x268a5f… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0x18386f… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0xd92795… |
| 05-07 23:01:04 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 21 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x26ef10… |
| 05-07 22:16:01 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xfe576f… |
| 05-07 22:15:47 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x97a87e… |
| 05-07 20:46:47 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | No | BUY | 10 | 65¢ | $7 | 0xbada5e… |
| 05-07 20:36:23 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0x63da09… |
| 05-07 20:21:14 | Jagged-Current 0x4a28…d58b | Yes | BUY | 21 | 42¢ | $9 | 0x07ac1e… |
| 05-07 14:34:27 | Buzzing-Access 0xb060…9572 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0x5cdddf… |
| 05-07 03:08:13 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xa26468… |
| 05-06 08:41:26 | Lavish-Sibling 0x9008…09f0 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0x6628ff… |