Happy-Precedence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.33K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

2,313

Trades

8,840

lifetime

Volume

$343.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 09-20 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

88% 69% -$549

Crypto

9% 75% -$417

Politics

1% 77% -$87

Sports

1% 72% -$282

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 25?	9	$4.4K	4,468	0	+4,468	No	+$107	04-24 23:15
highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 17c	16	$4.3K	2,247	2,238	+9	No	+$175	04-24 03:39
highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 16c	16	$3.2K	3,294	0	+3,294	No	+$78	04-24 01:17
highest temperature in dallas on april 1 2026 74 75f	3	$2.8K	1,430	1,430	+0	No	+$17	04-01 11:55
highest temperature in austin on april 6 2026 76 77f	14	$2.3K	1,155	1,153	+3	No	+$50	04-07 05:40
highest temperature in dallas on april 6 2026 76 77f	19	$2.2K	1,153	1,149	+3	No	+$58	04-07 04:28
highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 26corhigher	16	$2.2K	2,286	0	+2,286	No	+$125	04-21 01:01
highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 29c	13	$2.1K	2,182	0	+2,182	No	+$73	04-20 22:50
highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 25c	13	$2.1K	2,845	75	+2,770	No	+$832	04-21 04:42
highest temperature in los angeles on april 5 2026 67forbelow	23	$2.0K	1,037	1,034	+3	No	+$41	04-04 16:09
highest temperature in austin on april 8 2026 82 83f	35	$2.0K	1,329	946	+383	No	-$93	04-08 22:40
highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 20c	36	$2.0K	1,450	853	+597	No	+$52	04-24 04:38
highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 24corhigher	7	$1.8K	1,835	0	+1,835	No	+$80	04-21 22:50
highest temperature in seoul on april 10 2026 12c	2	$1.6K	1,655	0	+1,655	Yes	+$23	04-10 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 6?	31	$1.6K	1,510	164	+1,346	No	+$44	05-06 00:08
highest temperature in dallas on april 5 2026 74forhigher	50	$1.6K	889	884	+5	No	+$52	04-05 23:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	9	$1.6K	1,677	0	+1,677	Yes	-$1,591	04-27 02:41
highest temperature in singapore on march 23 2026 27c	12	$1.6K	1,657	0	+1,657	No	+$71	03-19 14:42
highest temperature in singapore on april 6 2026 29c	12	$1.6K	795	794	+1	No	+$23	04-06 03:49
highest temperature in tokyo on april 20 2026 24corhigher	13	$1.5K	1,539	100	+1,439	No	+$118	04-19 11:07
highest temperature in singapore on april 20 2026 29c	14	$1.5K	1,545	0	+1,545	No	+$54	04-19 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 26?	11	$1.5K	1,533	0	+1,533	No	+$61	04-26 00:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 28?	10	$1.4K	1,521	0	+1,521	No	+$77	04-28 00:20
highest temperature in los angeles on april 2 2026 59forbelow	10	$1.4K	732	732	+0	No	+$23	04-02 04:51
highest temperature in tokyo on april 12 2026 18c	36	$1.4K	818	640	+178	No	+$18	04-11 20:58
highest temperature in houston on april 1 2026 78 79f	5	$1.4K	1,506	0	+1,506	No	+$97	03-30 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 25?	20	$1.4K	1,369	101	+1,268	No	+$62	04-25 00:37
highest temperature in singapore on april 15 2026 29c	12	$1.4K	1,448	0	+1,448	No	+$60	04-14 08:02
highest temperature in dallas on april 8 2026 80 81f	14	$1.3K	1,360	100	+1,260	No	+$98	04-08 20:15
highest temperature in austin on april 5 2026 74forhigher	7	$1.3K	678	677	+1	No	+$28	04-06 00:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 12:56:48	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x5cd661…
08-02 23:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 3?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x288d8e…
08-02 23:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 3?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xc4dce4…
08-02 05:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd66de2…
08-02 04:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x92117c…
08-02 04:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x30c4d0…
08-02 04:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4a6731…
08-02 04:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xad157b…
08-02 04:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x686936…
08-02 04:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x2033e7…
08-02 04:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7eace8…
08-02 04:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf433df…
08-02 04:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x8d784c…
08-02 04:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xf3c801…
08-02 04:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x66803c…
08-02 04:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xf92e28…
07-31 12:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xe356a8…
07-31 12:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xb9f9a3…
07-31 12:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x96372b…
07-31 12:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xb82627…
07-31 12:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xffa102…
07-31 12:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x626743…
07-31 12:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x247005…
07-31 12:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 2?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xa63a47…
07-28 07:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 29?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xd28f61…
07-28 07:33:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 28?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x26df82…
07-28 07:25:21	alexandra leclerc pregnant in 2026 20260724192735364	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xd98ff5…
07-28 07:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 28?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x353ed1…
07-28 07:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 29?	No	BUY	167	93¢	$155	0x954c20…
07-28 07:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 29?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$73	0xa82e06…
07-19 00:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 20?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xf6c2e4…
07-18 23:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 19?	No	BUY	350	89¢	$310	0xdf45a0…
07-18 23:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 19?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x865887…
07-18 22:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	248	98¢	$244	0x24d179…
07-18 22:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6c1cf5…
07-18 22:52:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 19?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$395	0x8a009a…
07-06 23:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 7?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x16ff24…
07-06 23:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 7?	No	BUY	221	84¢	$186	0xce046b…
07-06 23:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 7?	No	BUY	190	98¢	$187	0x04c60e…
07-05 06:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xfb9ba3…
07-05 06:24:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 5?	No	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x986d0b…
07-05 06:24:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 5?	No	BUY	375	92¢	$346	0xd080b6…
07-05 06:24:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 5?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0x8a76c9…
07-05 06:23:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xe78b95…
07-05 06:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	88	79¢	$70	0x9d3054…
07-05 06:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	106	79¢	$83	0xac39ba…
07-05 06:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$157	0x455541…
07-05 06:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 5?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xe812e0…
06-29 06:39:59	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xe4ade5…
06-29 06:09:01	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xe299e4…
06-29 04:24:07	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x43aa75…
06-29 04:23:55	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	86	94¢	$81	0xd72842…
06-28 10:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8bd4c3…
06-28 10:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x283140…
06-28 10:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$262	0xd3e055…
06-28 10:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x64f219…
06-25 09:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 26?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0xfc1a14…
06-20 06:06:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$34	0x992361…
06-20 05:01:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xf73fae…
06-20 04:33:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$34	0x2c6e2f…
06-20 04:28:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xe9607b…
06-20 04:28:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xe3ba23…
06-19 22:28:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 20?	No	BUY	500	95¢	$477	0xb9df31…
06-14 05:24:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x3883df…
06-14 05:24:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 14?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0xc5df5b…
06-14 05:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14?	No	BUY	215	99¢	$213	0xdc7bd8…
06-14 05:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x293394…
06-14 05:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x13ec48…
06-11 23:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x3802bd…
06-11 23:48:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x7cf4d5…
06-11 16:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 12?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0xd1be1f…
06-07 15:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x38a7ea…
06-07 13:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x96fa92…
06-07 13:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x970286…
06-07 13:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x53c964…
06-06 01:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 6?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xe8ae55…
06-06 01:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 6?	No	BUY	194	94¢	$183	0x874f43…
06-05 09:33:07	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x2220cf…
06-05 09:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?	No	BUY	131	97¢	$127	0x317e2c…
06-03 01:56:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xad313c…
06-03 00:26:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x4402fb…
06-03 00:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xc59051…
06-03 00:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x100e5b…
06-03 00:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x010fa5…
06-03 00:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	81	24¢	$20	0x892d3a…
06-03 00:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xeb772e…
06-03 00:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x931c85…
06-03 00:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x299271…
06-03 00:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x329ea1…
06-02 01:46:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	140	89¢	$125	0xe3e860…
06-02 01:44:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	116	97¢	$113	0xe14884…
06-02 01:44:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 2?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xca1eb5…
06-02 01:43:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x774d11…
06-02 01:43:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	122	87¢	$106	0x59eda6…
06-02 01:43:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 2?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7a09ba…
06-01 01:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xae8bd7…
06-01 01:53:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xeff2f2…
06-01 01:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x002fdf…
06-01 01:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	23	7¢	$2	0x0a1a63…
06-01 01:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x3b97ad…