Candid-Vest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$332

Unrealized P&L

-$58

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

986

Trades

1,783

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$614

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 06-20 21:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

93% 31% -$304

Politics

6% 67% -$81

Crypto

1% 100% +$66

Sports

0% 0% -$19

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-370	-$311	96¢	$-355	-$45	05-08 23:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	-100	-$51	92¢	$-92	-$40	05-24 12:16
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	No	-100	-$61	86¢	$-86	-$25	05-15 23:16
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-85	-$68	83¢	$-71	-$3	05-07 04:24
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	-90	-$65	12¢	$-10	+$54	05-24 12:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$311	0	370	-370	open	—	05-08 23:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?	2	$250	309	0	+309	Yes	+$59	05-16 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on May 14?	1	$200	211	0	+211	Yes	+$11	05-14 11:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$180	144	144	+0	No	+$19	04-25 15:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$173	100	100	+0	No	+$11	05-05 09:07
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	7	$166	1,035	1,035	+0	No	-$133	05-03 19:50
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$149	120	120	+0	Yes	+$51	05-01 08:33
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 13?	3	$140	168	0	+168	No	+$28	05-13 17:42
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	2	$135	100	100	+0	No	+$13	04-18 20:39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?	2	$132	162	0	+162	Yes	+$30	05-14 16:32
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$116	70	70	+0	No	+$16	04-24 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 13?	2	$100	115	0	+115	No	-$16	05-13 18:49
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 27?	4	$86	183	183	+0	Yes	+$44	05-27 22:55
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 25?	2	$80	90	0	+90	No	-$80	05-25 10:47
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	52	$77	100	100	+0	No	+$21	04-27 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?	6	$71	152	133	+19	No	-$35	05-15 13:44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of April 27 2026?	3	$71	60	60	+0	No	+$25	04-28 10:00
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	3	$70	40	40	+0	Yes	+$10	04-29 22:37
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	2	$69	40	40	+0	Michael	+$7	04-29 22:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$68	0	85	-85	open	—	05-07 04:24
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	1	$66	0	102	-102	Yes	+$66	05-07 08:53
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	1	$65	0	90	-90	open	—	05-24 12:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?	3	$62	103	103	+0	Yes	+$2	05-24 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?	5	$62	50	50	+0	No	+$18	05-29 18:55
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	1	$61	0	100	-100	open	—	05-15 23:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?	3	$56	51	51	+0	Yes	+$16	05-16 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 26?	14	$53	110	110	+0	No	+$18	05-25 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	1	$51	80	0	+80	No	+$29	05-10 22:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$51	0	100	-100	open	—	05-24 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	1	$50	75	0	+75	No	+$25	05-27 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 21:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd10839…
06-20 21:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x657ee8…
06-20 21:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x92f40b…
06-20 11:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xb61fea…
06-20 10:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb3be24…
06-20 10:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xb373ca…
06-20 10:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x00d3a8…
06-20 09:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x451ced…
06-19 21:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0474a4…
06-19 21:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x9434f8…
06-19 21:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x14bc33…
06-19 21:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x4d7ce9…
06-19 14:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xec2472…
06-19 14:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe9b6cc…
06-19 14:31:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 19?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xfcf0ec…
06-19 14:31:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x3f8478…
06-19 14:31:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 19?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x8d9c6c…
06-19 14:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x5ea2cd…
06-19 14:30:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x9d93f9…
06-19 14:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xfb9d98…
06-19 12:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x310ed9…
06-19 12:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x77dd34…
06-19 12:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x1bec50…
06-19 10:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa07b93…
06-19 10:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe92736…
06-19 09:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4e9fed…
06-19 09:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xa88cb8…
06-19 09:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xdd2070…
06-19 09:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x11a3ee…
06-19 09:22:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xb8618f…
06-19 09:22:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x25937f…
06-19 09:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0xdacb58…
06-19 09:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x3fe05e…
06-19 07:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe82b5d…
06-19 07:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xa98359…
06-19 07:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x62f7dd…
06-19 07:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc99891…
06-19 07:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xb8f2ab…
06-19 07:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x6ee6ba…
06-19 07:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc05bd0…
06-18 23:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4dd006…
06-18 23:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 19?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xe41b9c…
06-18 22:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xafd0a6…
06-18 21:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xcf7957…
06-18 21:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x4c699c…
06-18 21:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xabc41f…
06-18 11:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xd42da3…
06-18 11:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xdbcfcc…
06-18 11:08:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2c61be…
06-18 09:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc3f355…
06-18 08:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xa34b1d…
06-18 08:50:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xc42ec0…
06-18 08:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x431fa3…
06-18 08:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xd23df6…
06-18 08:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2bcad7…
06-18 08:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x236dd3…
06-18 08:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x1911ef…
06-18 00:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x63bf62…
06-17 23:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x1b30b4…
06-17 23:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xf3db21…
06-17 23:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 18?	No	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x3f7106…
06-17 23:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 18?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xde51f3…
06-17 23:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x47817f…
06-17 23:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x1e566f…
06-17 23:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xb1c389…
06-17 23:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x9c4d4d…
06-17 23:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?	No	BUY	16	22¢	$3	0x7156bd…
06-17 22:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x2b35cf…
06-17 22:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x5592c7…
06-17 21:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xe1d078…
06-17 21:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xe2ba33…
06-17 21:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xc2b2ac…
06-17 21:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 17?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x832ad3…
06-17 21:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x58f65b…
06-17 20:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x153150…
06-17 20:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2edd1d…
06-17 20:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x4729ba…
06-17 20:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0xa400b3…
06-17 20:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x5413ac…
06-17 20:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x81daf7…
06-17 20:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x949f0f…
06-17 20:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 17?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xafe788…
06-17 20:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x540243…
06-17 19:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3c3086…
06-17 19:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x0f58ef…
06-17 19:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x17382f…
06-17 16:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 17?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe76d3c…
06-17 16:08:05	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x8333e4…
06-17 16:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 17?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfed1d8…
06-17 16:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	26	11¢	$3	0x5441b5…
06-17 15:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x1305b7…
06-17 14:44:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x460169…
06-17 14:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x7700b3…
06-17 14:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x078879…
06-17 14:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x36fbbb…
06-17 14:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x81ede5…
06-17 13:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x8477a6…
06-17 13:40:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x424db6…
06-17 13:39:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xdc3948…
06-17 13:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 17?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xc49c3d…