Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 13?
open
Total volume
$107
$1,072 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$2,906
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 02:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $38 | $42 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $6 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $22 | $19 |
| Median | 8 | $14 | $3 | +$11 |
| Below median | 6 | $10 | $2 | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 4 | $10 | $10 | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | +27 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-12 05:09 |
| Different-Scripture 0xb21b…c396 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 08:22 |
| Petty-Task 0x5426…6c6c | Yes | +16 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 01:41 |
| Sinful-Noodles 0x6c52…0a0f | Yes | +16 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 02:03 |
| Crazy-Sock 0x45a4…de86 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 00:20 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:33 |
| Oval-Island 0x9e7e…f3a1 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 02:49 |
| Elderly-Immigrant 0x7699…817c | Yes | +11 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 20:31 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 22:01 |
| Weepy-Creche 0x8fbf…0771 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 21:20 |
| Canine-Fun 0xa8be…d006 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 22:02 |
| High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 18:01 |
| Humming-Owner 0xe0d2…7222 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 05:46 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 12:07 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 04:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 02:03:47 | (anonymous) 0x0c8f…5846 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xc167ab… |
| 05-13 02:03:47 | Sinful-Noodles 0x6c52…0a0f | Yes | BUY | 16 | 37¢ | $6 | 0x64d460… |
| 05-13 01:41:07 | Petty-Task 0x5426…6c6c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 36¢ | $6 | 0x8ac8b7… |
| 05-13 00:41:20 | Watery-Boatyard 0x4477…fb85 | No | SELL | 4 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x290e3f… |
| 05-13 00:20:43 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | SELL | 9 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xa80e37… |
| 05-13 00:20:41 | Crazy-Sock 0x45a4…de86 | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x9351fb… |
| 05-13 00:02:59 | Acrobatic-Drama 0xec8b…2554 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0xbc9ff1… |
| 05-12 23:57:35 | Hurtful-Captain 0x2b13…62d3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x16d861… |
| 05-12 22:42:48 | Sandro 0xbc5d…4536 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x3a6ebe… |
| 05-12 22:02:52 | Canine-Fun 0xa8be…d006 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x0cf8a2… |
| 05-12 22:01:46 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x3d548d… |
| 05-12 21:20:59 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $5 | 0xd677c1… |
| 05-12 20:31:33 | Elderly-Immigrant 0x7699…817c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x45f447… |
| 05-12 18:01:27 | High-Level-Sturgeon 0xbf84…cd79 | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x8bc11f… |
| 05-12 16:22:07 | Sad-Hourglass 0x2579…ec02 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 34¢ | $4 | 0x33a9be… |
| 05-12 13:08:01 | Firm-Luxury 0x9838…8469 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0xd09bf9… |
| 05-12 12:07:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x20a1df… |
| 05-12 11:52:28 | Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x3bd6bc… |
| 05-12 08:22:19 | Different-Scripture 0xb21b…c396 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xf74fd9… |
| 05-12 07:36:18 | Lone-Remark 0xe2b5…4558 | No | SELL | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x5bb0c8… |
| 05-12 05:46:06 | Humming-Owner 0xe0d2…7222 | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xb67652… |
| 05-12 05:09:07 | (anonymous) 0x62a8…2132 | No | BUY | 27 | 83¢ | $22 | 0x261f94… |
| 05-12 04:00:54 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x4e3fdf… |
| 05-12 02:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xa07194… |
| 05-12 02:49:07 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | SELL | 4 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x21fe8c… |
| 05-12 02:49:07 | Oval-Island 0x9e7e…f3a1 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x48a9ed… |
| 05-12 00:38:45 | Weepy-Creche 0x8fbf…0771 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa521a8… |
| 05-11 10:33:04 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc4b12c… |