Watery-Boatyard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,989

lifetime

Volume

$4.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 05-24 04:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 37% $-10

Other

33% — —

Politics

11% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	04-07 22:24
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	4	$42	29	29	+0	open	—	04-17 09:07
btc updown 15m 1774839600	3	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	03-30 03:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$39	45	45	+0	open	—	04-08 09:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	04-01 07:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$32	21	21	+0	open	—	04-16 10:23
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	8	$32	26	26	+0	open	—	03-23 05:48
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$31	6	46	-40	open	—	05-14 05:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$30	36	35	+1	open	—	04-09 01:29
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	4	$30	163	163	+0	open	—	04-21 21:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	5	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 08:01
highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 13c	3	$27	33	18	+15	open	—	03-24 03:09
btc updown 15m 1774831500	6	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	03-30 00:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-13 23:53
highest temperature in tokyo on april 13 2026 23corhigher	4	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	04-13 04:11
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	3	$24	23	23	+0	open	—	04-18 22:39
btc updown 15m 1774830600	4	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-30 00:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	04-16 10:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-02 07:45
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 21c	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-18 08:32
btc updown 15m 1775122200	2	$22	19	18	+1	open	—	04-02 09:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	11	$22	47	47	+0	open	—	05-05 00:35
nba phi sac 2026 03 19	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-20 05:41
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-31 23:51
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 20c	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-18 06:14
btc updown 5m 1773986400	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-20 06:06
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 12c	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-02 00:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	03-31 11:55
highest temperature in toronto on march 21 2026 6corhigher	2	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	03-20 02:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$18	18	18	+0	open	—	04-07 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 04:02:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x6ab997…
05-23 22:53:34	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x20144e…
05-23 22:53:01	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x2bfffc…
05-15 11:41:07	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x5dd29b…
05-15 11:41:05	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x64d17a…
05-15 11:41:00	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x613d06…
05-15 09:02:06	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x2e99b2…
05-15 09:01:55	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xf8ad04…
05-15 08:57:28	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x3597c5…
05-15 08:56:47	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x69866c…
05-15 08:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x99f59c…
05-15 08:35:35	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x56ada2…
05-15 08:34:58	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe90907…
05-15 08:34:51	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa8e9e6…
05-15 08:34:46	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe78dec…
05-15 01:54:57	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe9a220…
05-15 00:51:05	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xaa96d1…
05-14 13:19:58	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xdaf97f…
05-14 09:58:29	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6b570a…
05-14 06:44:48	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe7a9e0…
05-14 05:37:37	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7428e1…
05-14 05:34:04	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x6c55bf…
05-14 03:51:50	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x07af89…
05-14 03:32:05	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x94b74b…
05-14 03:31:15	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2964df…
05-14 02:32:34	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x393363…
05-14 02:32:25	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc46b1b…
05-14 02:32:07	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xb585f9…
05-14 02:32:04	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x42d676…
05-14 02:30:10	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x07c7e9…
05-14 02:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x2c195f…
05-14 02:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf428bb…
05-14 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xf45ac9…
05-14 01:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6d4d9b…
05-14 01:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7ede36…
05-14 01:47:16	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb2f046…
05-14 01:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x6fb5fd…
05-14 01:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xab6f9a…
05-14 01:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x75db20…
05-14 01:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xe99b59…
05-14 01:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa51fff…
05-14 01:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0x7080db…
05-14 01:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf372f1…
05-14 00:56:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x11c30b…
05-14 00:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc02979…
05-13 07:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x638102…
05-13 07:34:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x72b822…
05-13 07:34:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x751200…
05-13 07:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4c67de…
05-13 07:17:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x281333…
05-13 07:12:47	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x36bdd4…
05-13 07:12:13	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf7daf1…
05-13 07:12:10	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x61b00c…
05-13 07:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xc58b9b…
05-13 07:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb550cf…
05-13 06:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x209d36…
05-13 06:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa6b35d…
05-13 06:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf8d1dc…
05-13 06:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x4f07b7…
05-13 06:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1c7ad6…
05-13 06:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x79a514…
05-13 06:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xdcdaae…
05-13 06:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x181f45…
05-13 06:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc19416…
05-13 06:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x5d9327…
05-13 06:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0b348a…
05-13 04:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x58d8be…
05-13 04:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf4c992…
05-13 04:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9e7e37…
05-13 03:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xc7018c…
05-13 03:54:46	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x797013…
05-13 03:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5fb99f…
05-13 03:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1485fb…
05-13 03:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x295506…
05-13 03:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x82f36c…
05-13 03:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfd1893…
05-13 03:20:02	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5e35d5…
05-13 03:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb474e4…
05-13 03:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6b4f3e…
05-13 03:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x243b4a…
05-13 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x304dbe…
05-13 03:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0162f2…
05-13 02:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x58f961…
05-13 02:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x65731e…
05-13 02:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7b4cc4…
05-13 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x763264…
05-13 02:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0f3c80…
05-13 02:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xad7a23…
05-13 02:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x403022…
05-13 02:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe710f3…
05-13 01:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1afd1b…
05-13 01:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x0c3f18…
05-13 01:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf59f45…
05-13 01:03:12	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe02637…
05-13 01:01:26	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x546488…
05-13 00:59:32	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x423a9f…
05-13 00:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x64998e…
05-13 00:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xde3db6…
05-13 00:01:31	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x0e7f9d…
05-13 00:01:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x17086b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	600	$47.0K	9,445	05-14 02:13
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	595	$272.0K	19,296	05-14 02:13
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	559	$238.0K	43,907	05-14 02:13
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	555	$1.35M	64,701	05-13 07:45
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	549	$175.4K	26,423	05-14 02:13
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	549	$13.6K	1,638	04-23 08:50
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	548	$310.7K	88,763	05-14 02:14
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	547	$204.5K	76,810	05-14 02:14