Watery-Boatyard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$148

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

1,361

Trades

2,900

lifetime

Volume

$5.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-25 22:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 54% +$10

Other

42% 40% -$132

Politics

8% 43% -$18

Sports

1% 20% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	2	$44	29	29	+0	Yes	+$4	04-07 22:24
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	4	$42	29	29	+0	Yes	+$2	04-17 09:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 03:00 UTC	3	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	03-30 03:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$39	45	45	+0	No	-$1	04-08 09:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$33	18	18	+0	No	+$3	04-01 07:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$32	21	21	+0	No	+$3	04-16 10:23
highest temperature in seoul on march 23 2026 16corhigher	8	$32	26	26	+0	No	+$4	03-23 05:48
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$31	6	46	-40	No	+$1	05-14 05:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$30	36	35	+1	Yes	-$9	04-09 01:29
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	4	$30	163	163	+0	No	-$10	04-21 21:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	5	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	04-29 08:01
highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 13c	3	$27	33	18	+15	No	-$13	03-24 03:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 00:45 UTC	6	$26	20	20	+0	Down	-$2	03-30 00:59
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$25	38	0	+38	Yes	+$12	06-15 13:43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	04-13 23:53
highest temperature in tokyo on april 13 2026 23corhigher	4	$24	17	17	+0	Yes	+$4	04-13 04:11
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	3	$24	23	23	+0	No	-$6	04-18 22:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 20?	12	$23	50	50	+0	No	$0	05-20 14:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 00:30 UTC	4	$23	16	16	+0	Down	-$1	03-30 00:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$23	17	17	+0	Yes	+$3	04-16 10:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	04-02 07:45
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 21c	2	$23	13	13	+0	Yes	+$3	04-18 08:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 09:30 UTC	2	$22	19	18	+1	Down	+$1	04-02 09:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	11	$22	47	47	+0	No	-$2	05-05 00:35
nba phi sac 2026 03 19	2	$22	12	12	+0	76ers	+$2	03-20 05:41
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	03-31 23:51
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 20c	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-18 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 06:00 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-20 06:06
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 12c	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	04-02 00:17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$19	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	03-31 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:05:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x468f7f…
10-23 23:21:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xc58345…
10-23 14:49:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x421160…
10-23 01:48:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa494cd…
10-22 08:35:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x18a7a7…
10-22 02:50:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x321920…
10-22 02:46:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$3	0x1a00cd…
10-21 23:38:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x546a81…
10-21 12:47:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x4f7332…
10-21 09:21:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xa6a002…
10-21 03:15:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0xf09092…
10-21 03:02:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa28463…
10-21 03:02:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x3e4d21…
10-21 00:59:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x70265d…
10-20 14:47:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x631df7…
10-20 02:42:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6fa2d4…
10-19 10:23:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x16b93a…
10-17 01:38:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xca10f0…
10-16 14:21:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x8ace48…
10-16 13:14:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5371ae…
10-16 11:14:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x6647e4…
10-16 07:57:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc46b0f…
10-16 05:20:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xf3d7a9…
10-16 05:20:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x9b3243…
10-16 03:39:39	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1a0cab…
10-16 02:10:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb536da…
10-15 08:39:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x632768…
10-11 14:49:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 11?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0x54ee62…
10-11 03:29:38	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x1fb59b…
10-11 03:24:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x9c4b60…
10-11 02:31:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x10c793…
10-10 12:27:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 10?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x67c3ef…
10-10 01:04:29	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x07770b…
10-09 11:13:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x21d6da…
10-09 10:13:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xf11b17…
10-09 09:44:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x02a254…
10-09 09:43:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0x983c35…
10-09 02:54:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xa66928…
10-09 00:27:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8e7511…
10-08 13:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x468008…
10-08 13:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x39fa8f…
10-08 13:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xaab462…
10-08 12:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x99d206…
10-08 12:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xe20857…
10-08 12:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf8c312…
10-08 12:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x8650e5…
10-08 12:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x64eb3d…
10-08 12:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x23de40…
10-08 12:03:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 8?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xebfd67…
10-08 01:08:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x1b3d1a…
10-07 11:19:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 7?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7b00a4…
10-07 11:18:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 7?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x7fbdc9…
10-07 02:08:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa12ccd…
10-06 23:54:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x2d5d5b…
10-06 13:37:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x55b94f…
10-06 13:18:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xe23d78…
10-06 12:43:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xdca567…
10-06 12:30:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	Yes	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0xa28420…
10-06 02:18:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa34f0a…
10-05 22:30:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3c844f…
10-05 13:27:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6f7436…
10-05 13:27:47	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 6?	Yes	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xef3a9a…
10-05 13:27:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	12	52¢	$6	0x0ef652…
10-05 08:15:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x1f531a…
10-05 06:54:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb27ec0…
10-05 04:03:34	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x48ca2e…
10-03 23:27:59	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfc212e…
10-03 23:17:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 5?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x807b25…
10-03 04:53:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4d67aa…
10-03 04:52:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x869363…
10-03 04:52:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x978a38…
10-02 14:45:14	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 2?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x876875…
10-02 05:03:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0xb4bed8…
10-02 03:58:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x877bf4…
10-02 02:43:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xec8274…
10-02 02:41:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x23f974…
10-01 12:29:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa1e6c3…
10-01 07:47:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcb8afe…
09-30 14:40:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 1?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x25457b…
09-30 14:39:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 1?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x88cd0a…
09-30 14:37:57	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xb2807c…
09-30 13:10:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcafbb0…
09-30 13:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1da8b7…
09-29 07:12:14	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x9c4886…
09-29 00:16:11	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8580ad…
09-29 00:15:57	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa47029…
09-24 01:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x5bd648…
09-24 01:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa86ee7…
09-24 01:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x2e2607…
09-24 01:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa36f26…
09-24 00:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xae1180…
09-24 00:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xfb229f…
09-24 00:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb6d2e5…
09-24 00:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb9cc1d…
09-24 00:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcd2437…
09-23 13:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x30fb0c…
09-23 13:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb5c3cf…
09-23 12:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xcd864e…
09-23 12:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6d5e2d…
09-23 12:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x17dc31…