Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$268
$859 in 24h
Trades
64
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$1,614
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 09:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $125 | $70 | +$55 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 11 | $66 | $33 | +$33 |
| Median | 8 | $1 | $24 | $22 |
| Below median | 8 | $16 | $17 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| unranked | 2 | $25 | — | +$25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | +100 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 09:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x97aa…903b | Yes | +77 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-10 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x0aed…feac | Yes | +70 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 07:03 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +47 | $7 | $16 | 15 | 05-10 09:21 |
| Hateful-Basket-Mandolin 0x08de…76b9 | Yes | +34 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 08:02 |
| Miserable-Buggy 0xf419…5f89 | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:15 |
| Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | +31 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 05-10 04:49 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-10 09:44 |
| Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-09 19:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 05:32 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 03:07 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +13 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 04:54 |
| Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Salty-Towtruck 0x1400…935a | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 08:48 |
| Burly-Forearm 0xaf2e…9382 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 03:51 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 08:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf46d…aae7 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:48 |
| Alert-Bribery 0x2598…17df | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:52 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 05:22 |
| Uncommon-Billion 0xb25e…a93b | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 05:23 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 08:48 |
| Ill-Keyboard 0xe86a…5ad2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:47 |
| Reflecting-Divan 0x3908…c8c4 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 08:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 09:52:18 | Aged-Compass 0x1941…deea | Yes | BUY | 100 | 30¢ | $30 | 0xb62135… |
| 05-10 09:44:20 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 73¢ | $22 | 0xd7b17c… |
| 05-10 09:44:20 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x0ab43e… |
| 05-10 09:44:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x893351… |
| 05-10 09:44:18 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x9cdae6… |
| 05-10 09:44:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x8d1371… |
| 05-10 09:40:03 | (anonymous) 0x97aa…903b | Yes | BUY | 77 | 30¢ | $23 | 0x029d15… |
| 05-10 09:21:35 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xa52e09… |
| 05-10 08:56:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x16e47c… |
| 05-10 08:53:09 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x9cf3d3… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x74c411… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x05bf10… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xaf09bc… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xc73d00… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x2726b6… |
| 05-10 08:48:01 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x0dfad2… |
| 05-10 08:37:33 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 25¢ | $17 | 0xcc13a2… |
| 05-10 08:31:30 | Reflecting-Divan 0x3908…c8c4 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x8ef00b… |
| 05-10 08:24:36 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x8e006e… |
| 05-10 08:02:57 | Hateful-Basket-Mandolin 0x08de…76b9 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 30¢ | $10 | 0x99a9b6… |
| 05-10 07:39:20 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x6176ab… |
| 05-10 07:03:20 | (anonymous) 0x0aed…feac | Yes | BUY | 70 | 29¢ | $20 | 0xc9b68a… |
| 05-10 06:58:17 | Infatuated-Domain 0xa581…b552 | No | BUY | 12 | 74¢ | $9 | 0xc57bab… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x1927a1… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 26¢ | $4 | 0xd646da… |
| 05-10 06:58:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x5c3a6a… |
| 05-10 06:11:30 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 25¢ | $3 | 0xebbda9… |
| 05-10 06:02:42 | Electric-Steamroller 0xd661…2750 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xfd67a9… |
| 05-10 05:56:19 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x107947… |
| 05-10 05:32:57 | (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | BUY | 15 | 73¢ | $11 | 0xe245a0… |
| 05-10 05:23:21 | Uncommon-Billion 0xb25e…a93b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xd066f4… |
| 05-10 05:22:09 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x618735… |
| 05-10 04:54:02 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 13 | 73¢ | $9 | 0x01989f… |
| 05-10 04:52:44 | Alert-Bribery 0x2598…17df | No | BUY | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xa769b2… |
| 05-10 04:51:56 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x0272fb… |
| 05-10 04:49:00 | Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xb27aa1… |
| 05-10 04:48:54 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xe1c391… |
| 05-10 04:48:37 | Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x4a2295… |
| 05-10 04:48:35 | Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x09ee07… |
| 05-10 04:48:33 | (anonymous) 0xf46d…aae7 | No | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0x9eb77a… |
| 05-10 04:47:29 | Ill-Keyboard 0xe86a…5ad2 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x677b0c… |
| 05-10 04:36:53 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 20¢ | $0 | 0x2edf76… |
| 05-10 04:33:53 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xce7b46… |
| 05-10 04:18:54 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 6 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xdb5872… |
| 05-10 04:09:51 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x87c9e8… |
| 05-10 03:51:18 | Burly-Forearm 0xaf2e…9382 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x3389df… |
| 05-10 03:24:46 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc12b72… |
| 05-10 03:21:45 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7c4f36… |
| 05-10 03:18:49 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x606fa0… |
| 05-10 03:15:45 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x50a711… |
| 05-10 03:09:48 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xeeb2b9… |
| 05-10 03:07:21 | Inconsequential-Spectacles 0x14da…0af1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x8b3b88… |
| 05-10 03:07:16 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 14 | 85¢ | $12 | 0x28b58d… |
| 05-10 03:06:48 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9a93ee… |
| 05-10 01:28:41 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xc649ad… |
| 05-10 01:15:47 | Miserable-Buggy 0xf419…5f89 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xb6cd43… |
| 05-09 19:23:03 | Fond-Warmth 0xef98…b586 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xde03b3… |
| 05-09 19:07:42 | Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | BUY | 14 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x54c1cd… |
| 05-09 19:02:18 | Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x89a339… |
| 05-09 18:57:44 | Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xc1bc50… |
| 05-09 18:56:27 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x029b93… |
| 05-09 18:56:27 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4037c3… |
| 05-09 18:55:11 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9ba49c… |
| 05-09 18:52:18 | Salty-Towtruck 0x1400…935a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xd76eb5… |